Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

Roma Should Have the Edge

Champions League-chasing Roma and Fiorentina clash in this intriguing Serie A encounter at Stadio Olimpico.

We’re confident in the chances of Roma when they lock horns with Fiorentina, with our selection appealing on the Full-Time Result market. Take the odds of -154 that the favourites claim a victory.

5-1 Fiorentina Win When Teams Last Clashed

Roma have won two on the spin, triumphing 1-0 in their previous game. This was away to Inter Milan at San Siro. Claudio Ranieri's team had just 31% possession and recorded seven shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Matias Soule in the 22nd minute.

Fiorentina claimed a home win in their previous Serie A game. A 2-1 triumph against Empoli at Stadio Artemio Franchi made it back-to-back league victories. La Viola enjoyed 54% possession and had three shots on goal, with Yacine Adli and Rolando Mandragora on the scoresheet.

On Thursday night, Fiorentina lost 2-1 when visiting Real Betis in the first leg of the Europa Conference League semi-final tie.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fiorentina have not lost any of the past four games against Roma. In their last encounter, hosts Fiorentina came out with a 5-1 win at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The previous 10 H2H games have ended in five Roma victories, two draws and three Fiorentina wins.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
7	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Roma have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. I Giallorossi have averaged 54.5% possession, 524.2 passes and 5.6 corners per match, conceding 0.3 goals and 4.0 corners from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts.

Top scorer Matias Soule has found the net 4 times, with Eldor Shomurodov and Artem Dovbyk getting 3 apiece. Eldor Shomurodov, Matias Soule and Bryan Cristante have the most assists with 2, while goalie Mile Svilar has recorded 7 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 8.4 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. The Florence outfit average 50.0% possession, 409.9 passes, 2.6 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 10.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Robin Gosens has top scored with 3, while Rolando Mandragora, Moise Kean and Albert Gudmundsson are next on 2. Dodo has been the top assist maker on 3, with David De Gea notching 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Roma confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Mile Svilar (GK), Mehmet Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Matias Soule, Bryan Cristante, Kouadio Kone, Angelino, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Artem Dovbyk, Eldor Shomurodov.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-5-2): David De Gea (GK), Pietro Comuzzo, Pablo Mari, Marin Pongracic, Fabiano Parisi, Cher Ndour, Amir Richardson, Rolando Mandragora, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Zaniolo, Moise Kean.

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

We believe there’s a strong case for siding with Roma. That’s because we think they could prove too strong in this Serie A encounter and odds of -154 are highly attractive.

Football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key Roma vs Fiorentina league stats:

• Roma have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Roma have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Roma have won 2 consecutive games.
• Fiorentina have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Roma to Win Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 60.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing Roma. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.

Our Match Prediction

Roma To Win @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Roma 2 - 0 Fiorentina

Roma can be backed at +600 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Matías Soulé Over 0.5 Shots On Target -137

Matías Soulé (Roma) can be backed to record a minimum of one shot on goal at -137. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Matías Soulé Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+2000

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

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Alexis Saelemaekers to Score +350

Alexis Saelemaekers (Roma) has registered five goals in his past nine Serie A home matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +350.

Latest Alexis Saelemaekers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-185

Shots

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Over 3.5 Corners -100

Fiorentina have had over 3.5 corners in three consecutive away games, with Roma conceding over 3.5 corners in the past five matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Fiorentina Team Corners line to get covered at -100.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Roma

Total

9.60 5.60 4.00

Home

8.00 4.40 3.60

Away

10.20 5.80 4.40

Fiorentina

Total

6.60 2.60 4.00

Home

6.90 2.80 4.10

Away

8.30 2.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-125

Roma Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Fiorentina Corners

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+525

2

+185

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Roma vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Roma Win

Roma are the shortest price to win this Serie A game according to the bookies, with the gambling operators giving them a 60% probability due to their -150 betting odds. At +425, Fiorentina are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Under and Over 2.5 Goals trading at a similar price.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-150

X

+270

2

+425

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+125

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-599

12

-350

X2

+115

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-109

2 Hcp +0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Artem Dovbyk Favourite to Find the Net First

Favourite Artem Dovbyk is available at +390 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

First

+165

Anytime

+390

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

First

+230

Anytime

+525

Eldor Shomurodov (Roma)

First

+240

Anytime

+540

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Alexis Saelemaekers (Roma)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Leandro Paredes (Roma)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Lucas Beltrán (Fiorentina)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Nicolò Zaniolo (Fiorentina)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Michael Folorunsho (Fiorentina)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Lucas Gourna-Douath (Roma)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Zeki Çelik (Roma)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Matías Soulé (Roma)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Saud Abdulhamid (Roma)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Amir Richardson (Fiorentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Edoardo Bove (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Yacine Adli (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Danilo Cataldi (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+114

Eldor Shomurodov (Roma)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+104

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-103

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-143

Alexis Saelemaekers (Roma)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-185

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-192

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-200

Lucas Beltrán (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-217

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-227

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-238

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-263

Nicolò Zaniolo (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-278

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Leandro Paredes (Roma)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-294

Michael Folorunsho (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-333

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-345

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-455

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-625

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-714

Zeki Çelik (Roma)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-833

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-1000

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-

Eldor Shomurodov (Roma)

Over 2.5

-109

Under 2.5

-

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 1.5

-370

Under 1.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Roma)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Tommaso Baldanzi (Roma)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Beltrán (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Roma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Roma vs Fiorentina team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The Serie A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Roma Team Page Fiorentina Team Page