Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Jun 2026
WNBA Betting Preview: Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever
The Phoenix Mercury go up against the Indiana Fever at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off scheduled for 20:00 on Monday, June 22.
We’ve identified a betting angle for Mercury vs Fever on the totals. Our prediction is Under 177.5 points which is currently available at odds of -110.
Phoenix Mercury claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 93-73 win occurred against Seattle Storm.
Indiana Fever were beaten last game and this was on the road at Gateway Center Arena. Atlanta Dream claimed a 113-96 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The Mercury have won the last two matchups against the Fever. They achieved winning scorelines of 95-60 and 85-79 at Mortgage Matchup Center. We’ve seen six Fever wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.
| WNBA | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
Fever
|
9 | 7 | 1479 | 1435 | 44 | 6-3 | 3-4 | 2L |
12
Mercury
|
5 | 12 | 1402 | 1461 | -59 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 1W |
Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks
Our Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
Go for Under at -110. It might be defenses on top when these WNBA rivals meet, with the 177.5 points line looking on the high side on the totals.
The WNBA experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any basketball predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.
Key Mercury vs Fever stats:
Under 177.5 Probability
According to the best basketball sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There are different ways to maximise a potential profit on the Total lines. Moving the line for your Under wager means the chance to secure bigger odds.
Before you bet, see what free bets you can claim today. Our guide highlights the best welcome bonuses and offers available now.
Player Prop Picks
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) is available at +107 to rack up Under 2.5 assists. We’re happy to take her to fall short of the Player Assists total and go for the Unders option.
Latest Kelsey Mitchell Player Prop Odds
Natasha Mack (Mercury) can be backed to total Over 8.5 rebounds at -135. We’re anticipating a strong performance from her, so it makes sense that she will cover the line.
Latest Natasha Mack Player Prop Odds
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Try out our same game parlay pick which starts with Under 177.5. We’ve also gone for Fever -6.5 and Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) to get Under 2.5 assists.
A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular basketball game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Correct Score Prediction
81
-
90
Fever
There are lots of different ways to back the Fever on the correct score betting and something like 90-81 in their favor might be along the right lines at massive odds.
Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Indiana Fever are regarded as having a 72% chance of winning this WNBA game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -263. Phoenix Mercury are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +210.
The current spread is 6.5 and the total points line is 177.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 177.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.
You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every women's hoops matchup, with the top basketball sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.
Caitlin Clark is the favorite to score most points. She is priced at -127 to score Over 20.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -105.
- WNBA: 03/09 2025 Fever 79 Mercury 85
- WNBA: 08/08 2025 Fever 60 Mercury 95
- WNBA: 31/07 2025 Mercury 101 Fever 107
- WNBA: 17/08 2024 Mercury 89 Fever 98
- WNBA: 13/07 2024 Mercury 86 Fever 95
- WNBA: 30/06 2024 Fever 88 Mercury 82
- WNBA: 21/08 2023 Fever 83 Mercury 73
- WNBA: 02/08 2023 Mercury 71 Fever 72
- WNBA: 30/06 2023 Fever 63 Mercury 85
- WNBA: 11/06 2023 Mercury 85 Fever 82
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Phoenix Mercury Stats
Indiana Fever Stats
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
- 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 164.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 177.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 177.5 on the Road: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.10 pts and allowed 85.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.90 pts and allowed 80.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 183.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 187.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 177.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
- Over 177.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 91.70 pts and allowed 91.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 97.60 pts and allowed 90.30 pts in the last 10 home games
WNBA Table Select Season
| Team | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
Lynx
|
13 | 4 | 1556 | 1354 | 202 | 6-3 | 7-1 | 1L |
2
Aces
|
12 | 4 | 1441 | 1371 | 70 | 4-2 | 8-2 | 2W |
3
Dream
|
11 | 4 | 1353 | 1246 | 107 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 3W |
4
Liberty
|
11 | 6 | 1514 | 1419 | 95 | 6-4 | 5-2 | 2L |
5
Valkyries
|
10 | 7 | 1424 | 1349 | 75 | 7-3 | 3-4 | 2L |
6
Wings
|
10 | 6 | 1407 | 1333 | 74 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 1W |
|
7
Fever
|
9 | 7 | 1479 | 1435 | 44 | 6-3 | 3-4 | 2L |
8
Mystics
|
8 | 7 | 1235 | 1283 | -48 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 3W |
9
Sparks
|
8 | 8 | 1414 | 1461 | -47 | 3-6 | 5-2 | 1W |
9
Tempo
|
8 | 8 | 1433 | 1466 | -33 | 4-3 | 4-5 | 1W |
11
Fire
|
8 | 9 | 1398 | 1497 | -99 | 6-5 | 2-4 | 1W |
|
12
Mercury
|
5 | 12 | 1402 | 1461 | -59 | 2-6 | 3-6 | 1W |
13
Sky
|
4 | 11 | 1255 | 1330 | -75 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 5L |
14
Storm
|
3 | 14 | 1308 | 1434 | -126 | 2-6 | 1-8 | 10L |
15
Sun
|
2 | 15 | 1346 | 1526 | -180 | 1-7 | 1-8 | 7L |
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