Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma, in the hunt for a Champions League spot, square off against survival hopefuls Fiorentina at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 4 May.

We’re confident in the chances of Roma when they clash with Fiorentina, with our selection appealing on the Full-Time Result market. Take the odds of -167 that the home team claim a victory.

Roma got the win in their last game. A 2-0 victory occurred on the road at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara when meeting Bologna. Gian Piero Gasperini's side had just 39% possession and recorded two shots on target, while Donyell Malen and Neil El Aynaoui scored one goal apiece.

Fiorentina drew 0-0 in their previous game. This was at home against Sassuolo at Stadio Artemio Franchi. La Viola were 48% in the possession stakes and recorded five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Roma have beaten Fiorentina in the last two clashes. When travelling to Stadio Artemio Franchi, the scoreline was 2-1 following a 1-0 home win at Stadio Olimpico. We’ve seen five Roma wins, three Fiorentina victories and two draws for the past 10 matches involving these teams.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Roma	36	21	4	11	55	31	24	55:31	67
15	Fiorentina	36	8	14	14	38	49	-11	38:49	38

View Full Table

Roma have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. I Giallorossi have averaged 50.5% possession, 447.2 passes and 5.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 3.9 corners.

Donyell Malen is the top goalscorer with 8, Evan N'Dicka has 3, with Neil El Aynaoui and two other players on 1. Devyne Rensch has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Mile Svilar has 4 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 11.0 attempts and 1.1 goals. Paolo Vanoli's men average 48.0% possession, 419.7 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 12.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Moise Kean and Nicolo Fagioli on 2, with Jack Harrison getting 1. Rolando Mandragora and Jack Harrison have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while David de Gea has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Roma confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Mile Svilar (GK), Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Mario Hermoso, Mehmet Zeki Celik, Niccolo Pisilli, Manu Kone, Wesley, Matias Soule, Bryan Cristante, Donyell Malen.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (4-3-3): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Robin Gosens, Marco Brescianini, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Jack Harrison, Albert Gudmundsson, Manor Solomon.

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Roma vs Fiorentina preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Roma to land a victory, with odds of -167 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Serie A game.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Serie A recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Roma vs Fiorentina league stats:

• Roma have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Roma have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Roma have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 62.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

As an alternative, you could consider the Asian Handicap where you can back Roma to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Roma To Win @ -167 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 2, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Roma 2 - 0 Fiorentina

I Giallorossi can be backed at +575 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Albert Gudmundsson Over 1.5 Shots +105

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three of his past four Serie A games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get +105 that he goes over the line.

Latest Albert Gudmundsson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+430

First

+1200

Shots

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

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Donyell Malen to Score +102

Donyell Malen (Roma) has racked up six goals in his past seven Serie A home games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +102.

Latest Donyell Malen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-105

First

+280

Shots

Over 3.5

-227

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Fiorentina Under 3.5 Corners -161

4 of the past 5 Fiorentina away games have seen them fall short of 3.5 corners, while Roma have conceded an average of 2.30 corners in the past 10 home matches. We think Fiorentina might fall short of the mark, with odds of -161 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Roma

Total

8.90 5.00 3.90

Home

8.30 6.00 2.30

Away

8.10 3.80 4.30

Fiorentina

Total

8.50 3.90 4.60

Home

9.70 5.90 3.80

Away

8.50 2.70 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-114

Roma Corners

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-139

Fiorentina Corners

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+700

2

+260

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Roma vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 66% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Roma are favourites to prosper in this Serie A encounter and they’re available at -192 with the bookies. If you’re interested in wagering Fiorentina, you can get +500 for the underdog.

Roma -1 on the Asian Handicap can be wagered at -109. A victory by two goals or more against Fiorentina means a full payout. A win by one and you will get all your stake refunded.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.

All of the Serie A matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-192

X

+320

2

+500

Half-Time Result

1

+106

X

+140

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-455

X2

+140

Draw No Bet

1

-526

2

+310

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-109

2 Hcp +1

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-122

No

-108

Donyell Malen is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +280 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at -105.

Donyell Malen (Roma)

First

-105

Anytime

+280

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

First

+155

Anytime

+420

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Alessandro Arena (Roma)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Matías Soulé (Roma)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Lorenzo Venturino (Roma)

First

+250

Anytime

+650

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Bryan Zaragoza (Roma)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+430

Anytime

+1200

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Manor Solomon (Fiorentina)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Gianluca Mancini (Roma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Jack Harrison (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Donyell Malen (Roma)

Over 3.5

-227

Under 3.5

-

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Artem Dovbyk (Roma)

Over 2.5

-213

Under 2.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Manor Solomon (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Bryan Zaragoza (Roma)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Pellegrini (Roma)

Over 1.5

-152

Under 1.5

-

Lorenzo Venturino (Roma)

Over 1.5

-217

Under 1.5

-

Stephan El Shaarawy (Roma)

Over 1.5

-227

Under 1.5

-

Alessandro Arena (Roma)

Over 1.5

-244

Under 1.5

-

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Gianluca Mancini (Roma)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Jack Harrison (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Roma haven’t been beaten in three straight games at Stadio Olimpico. I Giallorossi have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Fiorentina have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. La Viola have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Roma beat Fiorentina 1-0 when they last met at Stadio Olimpico. The 7 most recent H2H meetings at Stadio Olimpico have included five Roma victories along with two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Roma Home Stats		6-3-1	2.90	2.10	0.80	4	6	4	6
Fiorentina Away Stats		4-2-4	2.90	1.40	1.50	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Roma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Roma vs Fiorentina team news before you bet. Get the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Roma Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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