Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2026
Serie A Betting Preview: Roma vs Fiorentina
Roma square off against Fiorentina at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 4 May.
We’re confident in the chances of Roma when they clash with Fiorentina, with our selection appealing on the Full-Time Result market. Take the odds of -167 that the favourites claim a victory.
Roma got the win in their last game. A 2-0 victory occurred on the road at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara when meeting Bologna. Gian Piero Gasperini's side had just 39% possession and recorded two shots on target, while Donyell Malen and Neil El Aynaoui scored one goal apiece.
Fiorentina drew 0-0 in their previous game. This was at home against Sassuolo at Stadio Artemio Franchi. La Viola were 48% in the possession stakes and recorded five shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Roma have beaten Fiorentina in the last two clashes. When travelling to Stadio Artemio Franchi, the scoreline was 2-1 following a 1-0 home win at Stadio Olimpico. We’ve seen five Roma wins, three Fiorentina victories and two draws for the past 10 matches involving these teams.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Roma |
34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 48:29 | 61 |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38:45 | 37 |
Roma have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. I Giallorossi have averaged 50.5% possession, 447.2 passes and 5.0 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.5 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 3.9 corners.
Donyell Malen is the top goalscorer with 8, Evan N'Dicka has 3, with Neil El Aynaoui and two other players on 1. Devyne Rensch has the most assists with 3, while goalkeeper Mile Svilar has 4 clean sheets.
Fiorentina have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 3.2 shots on goal, 11.0 attempts and 1.1 goals. Paolo Vanoli's men average 48.0% possession, 419.7 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 12.6 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Moise Kean and Nicolo Fagioli on 2, with Jack Harrison getting 1. Rolando Mandragora and Jack Harrison have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while David de Gea has 5 clean sheets to his name.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Roma predicted lineup (4-4-2): Mile Svilar (GK), Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Mario Hermoso, Devyne Rensch, Muhammed Bah, Bryan Cristante, Wesley, Matias Soule, Niccolo Pisilli, Donyell Malen.
Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-3-3): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Daniele Rugani, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Jack Harrison, Albert Gudmundsson, Manor Solomon.
Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Roma vs Fiorentina preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We’re confident with our selection of Roma to land a victory, with odds of -167 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Serie A game.
Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Serie A recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.
Key Roma vs Fiorentina league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 62.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
As an alternative, you could consider the Asian Handicap where you can back Roma to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
Roma can be backed at +600 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) has covered the 1.5 shots total in three of his past four Serie A games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get +105 that he goes over the line.
Donyell Malen (Roma) has racked up six goals in his past seven Serie A home games. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +102.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
4 of the past 5 Fiorentina away games have seen them fall short of 3.5 corners, while Roma have conceded an average of 2.30 corners in the past 10 home matches. We think Fiorentina might fall short of the mark, with odds of -161 available when it comes to this Team Corners pick.
Roma
Fiorentina
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a same-game multi, go for Roma to claim a victory, less than three goals to be registered and also Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina) to cover the 1.5 Player Shots line.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Roma vs Fiorentina Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 63% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Roma are favourites to prosper in this Serie A encounter and they’re available at -167 with the bookies. If you’re interested in wagering Fiorentina, you can get +450 for the underdog.
Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Roma -0.75 at -128 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Fiorentina by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.
The Total Goals market could be a toss-up considering that Under and Over 2.5 Goals are available at similar odds. Both Teams to Score is a two-way market and, when it comes to latest odds, there’s not much to separate Yes and No.
All of the Serie A matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.
Donyell Malen is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +280 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +102.
Roma haven’t been beaten in three straight games at Stadio Olimpico. Gian Piero Gasperini's side have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Fiorentina have swerved defeat on their travels in the previous three matches. La Viola have racked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Roma beat Fiorentina 1-0 when they last met at Stadio Olimpico. The 7 most recent H2H meetings at Stadio Olimpico have included five Roma victories along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roma Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 2.90 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
Fiorentina Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 05/10 2025 Fiorentina 1 Roma 2
- Serie A: 04/05 2025 Roma 1 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 27/10 2024 Fiorentina 5 Roma 1
- Serie A: 10/03 2024 Fiorentina 2 Roma 2
- Serie A: 10/12 2023 Roma 1 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 27/05 2023 Fiorentina 2 Roma 1
- Serie A: 15/01 2023 Roma 2 Fiorentina 0
- Serie A: 09/05 2022 Fiorentina 2 Roma 0
- Serie A: 22/08 2021 Roma 3 Fiorentina 1
- Serie A: 03/03 2021 Fiorentina 1 Roma 2
Roma League Stats
Fiorentina League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 2.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 48.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Roma this season are Donyell Malen (11), Matias Soule (6), Lorenzo Pellegrini (4)
- Top Assistors for Roma this season are Matias Soule (5), Devyne Rensch (4), Evan Ferguson (2)
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Roma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Roma vs Fiorentina team news before you bet. Get the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Roma Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Fiorentina Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Roma Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Fiorentina Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Roma Lineups
Previous Fiorentina Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Gian Piero Gasperini
Fiorentina Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 52:33 | 70 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:28 | 62 |
| 6 | Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 47:32 | 55 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 48 |
| 10 | Udinese | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | 46 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 39:58 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 40:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 24:47 | 32 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | 28 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 35 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 25:63 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 47:15 | 41 |
| 2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Juventus | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:13 | 36 |
| 4 | Roma | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 36 |
| 5 | Como | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 34:15 | 33 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 25:14 | 33 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | 32 |
| 8 | Lazio | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25:21 | 27 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 10 | Torino | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 24 |
| 11 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20:20 | 22 |
| 13 | Genoa | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 14 | Bologna | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 16:20 | 20 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 16 | Parma | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | 18 |
| 17 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:23 | 17 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | 13 |
| 19 | Pisa | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9:23 | 10 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12:25 | 8 |
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