Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Aug 2026

Roma vs Fiorentina Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Roma Asian Hcp -1 @ -103

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We like Roma -1 at betting odds of -103. This Asian Handicap bet means we need the hosts to win by two goals to land a return, with our money back if they beat Fiorentina by a one-goal margin.

Read on for our full Roma vs Fiorentina betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Roma vs Fiorentina Preview

Roma square off against Fiorentina at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 24 August.

Roma, who finished third in the 2025/26 Serie A with 73 points from 38 matches, ended the season with a 2-0 away victory over Hellas Verona at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi. I Giallorossi had seven shots on target and enjoyed 68% possession, while Donyell Malen and Stephan El Shaarawy each scored one goal.

Fiorentina finished 15th in Serie A last season with 42 points from 38 matches. They ended the season with a 1-1 home draw against Atalanta at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Fabio Grosso's team were restricted to 40% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Roberto Piccoli finding the net.

The new season got off to a winning start for Fiorentina, who beat Serie B side Benevento 4-1 at home in the Coppa Italia.

Roma 4-0 Victors When Teams Met Last

Roma have three consecutive wins against Fiorentina. In their last encounter, Roma enjoyed a 4-0 scoreline on home soil at Stadio Olimpico. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Roma wins, two draws and three Fiorentina victories.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. Roma have had 54.1% possession, 491.8 passes and 5.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Donyell Malen is the top scorer with 8 goals, while Gianluca Mancini has 4 and Mario Hermoso 2. Paulo Dybala is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Mile Svilar keeping 6 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 4, lost 1 and drawn 5, with an average of 10.2 attempts, 3.2 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. La Viola average 44.7% possession, 387.6 passes, 3.8 corners in their favour and 4.8 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 5.2 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts.

Roberto Piccoli and Cher Ndour have scored 2, followed by Rolando Mandragora with 1. Rolando Mandragora and Jack Harrison are the top assist makers on 2, with David de Gea recording 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Roma predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar (GK), Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Mario Hermoso, Nahuel Molina, Bryan Cristante, Neil El Aynaoui, Devyne Rensch, Matias Soule, Paulo Dybala, Donyell Malen.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): David de Gea (GK), Alex Jimenez, Radu Dragusin, Viery, Luca Ranieri, Christ Inao Oulai, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Arthur Atta, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.

Main Match Prediction

Roma can be taken at -1 on the Asian Handicap. There are odds of -103 for the favourites and we think they have the capability of winning this Serie A clash by a two goal margin or bigger.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The -1 line has been covered by Roma in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1 line has been covered by Roma in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1 line has been covered by Roma in 2 consecutive games.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Serie A verdict is reached.

The best football betting sites make it a 50.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Roma Asian Hcp -1 @ -103 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 22, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Roma 2 - 0 Fiorentina

Let’s take a chance on the +575 available that Roma secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rolando Mandragora Over 0.5 Shots On Target +160

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has had one or more shots on goal in three consecutive Serie A games on the road. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of +160.

Latest Rolando Mandragora Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

---

Donyell Malen to Score +105

Donyell Malen (Roma) has registered eight goals in his past ten Serie A games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +105.

Latest Donyell Malen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+105

First

+280

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Shots

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -143

We’ve seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered in six consecutive Roma games. There are odds of -143 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Roma

Total

10.30 5.40 4.90

Home

8.70 6.00 2.70

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

Fiorentina

Total

8.60 3.80 4.80

Home

9.40 5.80 3.60

Away

8.30 2.70 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

+102

Roma Corners

Over 5.5

-118

Under 5.5

-120

Fiorentina Corners

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+123

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+650

2

+280

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Roma vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Roma at -179 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 64% likely to win this Serie A encounter according to the latest betting odds. If you want to back the outsider, Fiorentina are available at +480.

You can take advantage of the Half-Time Result market if you think a team will lead at the break. There's the chance to back Roma at +110, go for Fiorentina at +450 or take the draw at +130.

If you want to bet on the number of goals, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

Serie A matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

-179

X

+285

2

+480

Half-Time Result

1

+110

X

+130

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-833

12

-417

X2

+133

Draw No Bet

1

-556

2

+300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-103

2 Hcp +1

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-115

Over 2.5

-112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-122

You will find Donyell Malen at +280 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +105 that he finds the net at anytime.

Donyell Malen (Roma)

First

+280

Anytime

+105

Santiago Castro (Roma)

First

+400

Anytime

+155

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

First

+500

Anytime

+195

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

First

+600

Anytime

+240

Matías Soulé (Roma)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+750

Anytime

+290

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

First

+1150

Anytime

+440

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

First

+1150

Anytime

+450

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

First

+1400

Anytime

+575

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

First

+1400

Anytime

+600

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1600

Anytime

+650

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Giovanni Fabbian (Fiorentina)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Gianluca Mancini (Roma)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Jan Ziolkowski (Roma)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Daniele Ghilardi (Roma)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Konstantinos Koulierakis (Roma)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Donyell Malen (Roma)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Castro (Roma)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Fabbian (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Gianluca Mancini (Roma)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-

Jan Ziolkowski (Roma)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Daniele Ghilardi (Roma)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Konstantinos Koulierakis (Roma)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-

Donyell Malen (Roma)

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-

Santiago Castro (Roma)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Paulo Dybala (Roma)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Robinio Vaz (Roma)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Niccolò Pisilli (Roma)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Neil El Aynaoui (Roma)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Matías Soulé (Roma)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Wesley Vinícius França Lima (Roma)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Bryan Cristante (Roma)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Kouadio Kone (Roma)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Devyne Rensch (Roma)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Fabbian (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Gianluca Mancini (Roma)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Jan Ziolkowski (Roma)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Evan Ndicka (Roma)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Serie A matches only
Roma have avoided defeat in their last ten matches at Stadio Olimpico. I Giallorossi have managed seven wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.50.

Fiorentina have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

The previous Stadio Olimpico encounter involved a 4-0 Roma win against Fiorentina. 6 of the past 8 H2H matches at Stadio Olimpico have gone the way of Roma, with two draws also occurring.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Roma Home Stats		7-3-0	2.70	2.20	0.50	4	6	3	7
Fiorentina Away Stats		5-2-3	3.00	1.50	1.50	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Roma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

The Roma vs Fiorentina team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.

Roma Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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