Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Oct 2026
Roma vs Real Madrid Predictions
Roma look like the value bet on the Asian Handicap against Real Madrid. You can get the home team at +0.5 at -111 which means a return if they draw or win, with both outcomes possible here.
Check out the complete Roma vs Real Madrid betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Roma vs Real Madrid Preview
Italian Serie A team Roma host Spanish La Liga outfit Real Madrid at Stadio Olimpico, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Wednesday 14 October.
Roma played out a 0-0 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia against Como in Serie A. Gian Piero Gasperini's men recorded just 35% possession and had two shots on target.
Real Madrid claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 1-0 La Liga win occurred against Villarreal at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues had 47% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Yan Diomande finding the net in the 62nd minute.
When last playing in the Champions League, Roma drew 1-1 when visiting Fenerbahce, while Real hosted Inter Milan and landed a 2-1 victory.
| Champions League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Real Madrid |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
Roma have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. I Giallorossi have averaged 56.6% possession, 526.3 passes and 5.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.6 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 2.8 corners.
Top goalscorer Donyell Malen has found the net 9 times, with Manu Kone, Niccolo Pisilli, Matias Soule and Gianluca Mancini scoring 2 each. Paulo Dybala is top assists maker with 8, while goalies Mile Svilar and Pierluigi Gollini have kept 6 clean sheets between them.
Real have won 8 and lost 2, with an average of 2.5 goals from 7.2 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 52.8% possession, 518.4 passes, 6.3 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.
Kylian Mbappe has scored 9 goals, followed by Jude Bellingham on 4 and Carlos Espi with 2. Vinicius Junior has clocked up 3 assists, with Thibaut Courtois keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Roma predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar (GK), Gianluca Mancini, Evan N'Dicka, Mario Hermoso, Devyne Rensch, Marten de Roon, Manu Kone, Wesley, Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule, Donyell Malen.
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Denzel Dumfries, Ibrahima Konate, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Federico Valverde, Brahim Diaz, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande, Kylian Mbappe.
Main Match Prediction
We can feel confident with our bet on Roma +0.5 at odds of -111. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this Champions League game and this pick has the stats to back up a positive outcome.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (domestic league and Champions League matches):
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Champions League stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 52.6% likelihood of our pick winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
We suggest a Bet Builder for anyone looking to back Roma to cover the line along with other selections. This option gives you the chance to secure bigger odds by adding a number of picks on the same game.
Don’t start wagering without checking our guide to the newest betting promo codes, best welcome bonuses and free bet offers.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
2
Real Madrid
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the teams playing out a 2-2 draw. Odds of +900 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Paulo Dybala (Roma) has had over 2.5 shots in three straight matches on home soil. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Player Shots and you can secure -118 that he goes over the line.
Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) has managed four goals in his past ten matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +270 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Real Madrid have not covered the 5.5 corners line in two consecutive away games, with Roma conceding under 5.5 corners in their past five home matches. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -152 for this Real wager.
Roma
Real Madrid
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder picks are Roma on the Asian Handicap at +0.5, BTTS Yes together with Paulo Dybala (Roma) to manage Over 2.5 shots.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Roma vs Real Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Real Madrid are the -111 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 53% chance of triumphing in this Champions League encounter according to the latest odds. Roma are the +260 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Roma are +160 here. However, if you want to back favourites Real, then -238 is on offer.
If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -250.
The best football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Champions League matches, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Kylian Mbappé is available at -159 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +260 to find the net first.
Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Roma Stats
Real Madrid Stats
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 2.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Roma vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News
Always review the Roma vs Real team news before locking in your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Champions League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Roma Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Roma Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Roma Lineups
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Gian Piero Gasperini
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
Champions League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Man City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Sh. Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | LASK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Man United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | AEK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 12 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Man City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Real Betis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 | Sh. Donetsk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 | Inter Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Atlético Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 | LASK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | Viking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 | Galatasaray | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 27 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 28 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 29 | Sabah FK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 30 | Slovan Bratislava | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 31 | Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 32 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 33 | Club Brugge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 34 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 36 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Serie A Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Atalanta | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Roma | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Lazio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Sassuolo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 7 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 8 | Napoli | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Como | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 11 | Parma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Genoa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 15 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 16 | Lecce | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 18 | Udinese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
La Liga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Alavés | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Getafe | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 11 | Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Levante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Málaga | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
| 20 | Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
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