San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026

Primera División Betting Preview: San Lorenzo vs Independiente

San Lorenzo host Independiente, with kick-off set for 17:45 on Saturday 2 May.

We’ll back San Lorenzo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Independiente. A victory delivers a nice payout at -139 although a draw would still mean a return.

San Lorenzo got the win in their last Primera División game. A 1-0 triumph occurred on their travels when meeting Platense. El Ciclón had 44% possession and six shots on target, with Rodrigo Auzmendi getting the all-important goal in the 27th minute.

On Tuesday night, San Lorenzo drew 1-1 in the Copa Sudamericana when hosting Santos.

Independiente were beaten in their previous game and this was on their travels. Deportivo Riestra claimed a 2-0 win. Gustavo Quinteros' team dominated possession with 65% of the ball and racked up nine shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Independiente boast an unbeaten record in the past eight matches against San Lorenzo, with the last encounter being a 1-1 draw. The previous 8 H2H games have featured six draws and two Independiente victories.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	San Lorenzo	15	5	7	3	13	12	1	13:12	22
14	Independiente	15	5	6	4	22	19	3	22:19	21

View Full Table

San Lorenzo de Almagro have 3 wins, 1 loss and 6 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts. Gustavo Alvarez's men have averaged 49.7% possession and 3.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.8 goals from 4.2 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Rodrigo Auzmendi leads the way with 3 goals, with Alexis Cuello and Luciano Dario Vietto scoring 2 each. The leading assistors are Facundo Gulli and Mathias De Ritis with 2.

Independiente have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 9.6 attempts, 4.8 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. The Avellaneda outfit average 55.4% possession, 6.3 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.

Gabriel Avalos got 7 goals, Matias Abaldo notched 3, while Maximiliano Gutierrez and two other players scored 1. Look no further than Gabriel Avalos for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

San Lorenzo predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Orlando Gill (GK), Ezequiel Herrera, Jhohan Romaña, Lautaro Montenegro, Nicolás Tripichio, Facundo Gulli, Manuel Insaurralde, Mathías de Ritis, Matías Reali, Alexis Cuello, Rodrigo Auzmendi.

Independiente predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Santiago Arias, Kevin Lomonaco, Sebastián Valdéz, Milton Valenzuela, Mateo Pérez Curci, Ivan Marcone, Maximiliano Gutiérrez, Santiago Montiel, Matías Abaldo, Gabriel Ávalos.

San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert San Lorenzo vs Independiente betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

San Lorenzo +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Primera División game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -139.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming Primera División action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key San Lorenzo vs Independiente league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Lorenzo in 5 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Lorenzo in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Lorenzo in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 5 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 16 of their last 19 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by San Lorenzo in 6 of their last 8 games against Independiente.

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are willing to move the line. If you’re prepared for additional risk, more juice can be landed from your betting selections.

Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

San Lorenzo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 30, 23:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

San Lorenzo 1 - 0 Independiente

There’s the option to wager on San Lorenzo to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +500 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rodrigo Auzmendi to Score +420

Rodrigo Auzmendi (San Lorenzo) has registered three goals in his past six Primera División games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +420 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Rodrigo Auzmendi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

San Lorenzo Under 4.5 Corners -147

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by San Lorenzo in five straight games, while the past three Independiente away matches have seen under 4.5 corners conceded. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -147 that San Lorenzo come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

San Lorenzo

Total

8.10 3.70 4.40

Home

9.40 4.70 4.70

Away

7.70 2.90 4.80

Independiente

Total

9.90 6.30 3.60

Home

10.30 6.50 3.80

Away

8.50 4.80 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-120

Under 8.5

-118

San Lorenzo Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Independiente Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-109

X

+600

2

+115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

San Lorenzo vs Independiente Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The 1x2 odds are available for this Primera División encounter and you can secure +148 that Independiente are victorious and +215 that San Lorenzo get the job done. Those wanting to wager the draw with the bookmakers can secure +190.

The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Independiente are -154, while San Lorenzo are alternatively priced at +105.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -172.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Primera División matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+190

2

+148

Half-Time Result

1

+285

X

-118

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-192

12

-263

X2

-286

Draw No Bet

1

+105

2

-154

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-139

2 Hcp -0.25

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-250

Over 2.5

+185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+125

No

-172

Gabriel Ávalos is the market leader at +430 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+210

Anytime

+430

Alexis Cuello (San Lorenzo)

First

+220

Anytime

+480

Luciano Vietto (San Lorenzo)

First

+290

Anytime

+550

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Matías Hernández (San Lorenzo)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Rodrigo Auzmendi (San Lorenzo)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Ignacio Malcorra (Independiente)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Diego Herazo (San Lorenzo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Matías Reali (San Lorenzo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Nahuel Barrios (San Lorenzo)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Francisco Perruzzi (San Lorenzo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Federico Mancuello (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ezequiel Cerutti (San Lorenzo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Gonzalo Abrego (San Lorenzo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Lautaro Millán (Independiente)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Mauricio Cardillo (San Lorenzo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

San Lorenzo vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the San Lorenzo vs Independiente team news. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Primera División along with up-to-date injury news.

San Lorenzo Team Page Independiente Team Page

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