Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Aug 2026

Santa Clara vs Nacional Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -154

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We believe that odds of -154 are appealing when it comes to wagering Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We’re of the opinion that Santa Clara and Nacional will play out a low-scoring contest.

The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Santa Clara vs Nacional, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Santa Clara vs Nacional Preview

Santa Clara host Nacional at Estadio do Sao Miguel in the final match of the Portuguese Primeira Liga opening round, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Monday 10 August.

Santa Clara finished 13th in the Primeira Liga last season with 36 points from 34 matches. They ended the campaign with a 1-0 away defeat to champions Porto at Estadio do Dragao. The Azores outfit had 47% possession but failed to register a shot on target.

Nacional secured a 14th-place finish in the Primeira Liga last season with 34 points from 34 matches. They closed out the campaign with a 2-0 home win against Vitória de Guimarães at Estadio da Madeira. The White and Black had just 34% possession and registered three shots on target, with Jesus Ramirez bagging a brace.

H2H: Teams’ Last Clash Saw 2-0 Santa Clara Win

Santa Clara have not lost to Nacional in the past three meetings. Their last encounter was at Estadio do Sao Miguel, with Santa Clara claiming a 2-0 home win. The previous 6 H2H meetings have involved four Santa Clara wins, a single draw and one Nacional victory.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12	4	8	12:4	18
16	Nacional	8	1	1	6	9	18	-9	9:18	4

View Full Table

Santa Clara have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 8.9 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. The Azoreans have averaged 47.3% possession, 339.0 passes and 4.7 corners per game, conceding 1.0 goals and 5.0 corners from 10.4 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Gabriel Silva leads the way with 3 goals, with Elias Manoel and Goncalo Paciencia getting 2 apiece. Luis Fernando is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalkeepers Gabriel Batista and Joao Afonso collectively have 5 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 0.9 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.6% possession, 341.3 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 6.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.

Jesus Ramirez has top scored with 5, while Filipe Soares, Paulinho Boia and Miguel Baeza are next on 1. Witi, Daniel and Jose Gomes have had 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Kaique Pereira has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Santa Clara confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Franca (GK), Diogo Calila, Sidney Lima, Pedro Pacheco, Guilherme Romao, Pedro Ferreira, Daniel Borges, Sorriso, Jose Tavares, Vinicius, Goncalo Paciencia.

Nacional confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Renato Marin (GK), Leonardo Santos, Matheus Dias, Ze Vitor, Wesley, Liziero, Joel da Silva, Markus Gustav Jensen, Miguel Baeza, Pablo Ruan, Daniel.

Main Match Prediction

A low goal count could be on the cards for this Primeira Liga encounter. On this basis, we’ll land the -154 for Under 2.5, with the two sides unlikely to reach a combined three goals or more between them.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Santa Clara games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Santa Clara games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Santa Clara games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 5 Nacional games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Nacional games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 17 Nacional games on the road.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Primeira Liga action.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we have this number between 65-70% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.

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Under 2.5 Goals @ -154 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 8, 21:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Santa Clara 1 - 0 Nacional

Santa Clara can be backed at +360 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Frederico Venancio To Score +800

Frederico Venancio (Santa Clara) is available at +800 to score. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Frederico Venancio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

--100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -118

It’s been five straight Nacional away games where 9.5 corners has been covered, while the same outcome has happened in three consecutive Santa Clara matches. We’re content to wager the -118 for the teams to cover the Total Corners line as this looks appealing.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Santa Clara

Total

9.70 4.70 5.00

Home

8.40 3.90 4.50

Away

10.50 5.60 4.90

Nacional

Total

11.80 5.00 6.80

Home

10.80 5.00 5.80

Away

10.90 3.80 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-147

Santa Clara Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-156

Nacional Corners

Over 3.5

-127

Under 3.5

-112

Most Corners

1

-175

X

+600

2

+175

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Santa Clara vs Nacional Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Santa Clara are the shortest price to win this Primeira Liga clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 56% probability due to their -128 betting odds. The +335 means that Nacional are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

Santa Clara are -130 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is like backing them on the Full-Time Result market. Alternatively, you can get -110 for Nacional +0.5 and get the draw on your side.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. The Both Teams to Score No option is -172 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Primeira Liga game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-128

X

+215

2

+335

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

-105

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-357

X2

-116

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-130

2 Hcp +0.5

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+140

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+118

No

-172

Gonçalo Paciência (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+185

Vinícius Lopes (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+200

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+205

João Pedro Augusto Mourão Costa (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+270

Henrique Pereira (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+275

Jader Gentil (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+310

Welinton Macedo dos Santos (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+320

Stavros Gavriel (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+410

João Vasconcelos Faria Gonçalves (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+480

Vitor Hugo Amorim de Assis (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+600

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+650

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+650

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+750

Frederico Venancio (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+800

Pedro Pacheco (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+800

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+900

Sidney Alexssander Pena de Lima (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+1000

Lucas Soares (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+1000

Matheus ''MT'' Faugundes de Araújo (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+1000

Diogo Calila (Santa Clara)

First

-

Anytime

+1050

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+1300

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+1400

Daniel de la Cruz (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+1600

Gasolina (Nacional)

First

-

Anytime

+1700

Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Santa Clara have managed five losses, four victories and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Nacional have finished with seven defeats, two draws and one win in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the sides last met at Estadio do Sao Miguel, Santa Clara beat Nacional 2-0. For the past 3 H2H meetings at Estadio do Sao Miguel, Santa Clara have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Santa Clara Home Stats		4-1-5	2.10	1.00	1.10	3	7	3	7
Nacional Away Stats		1-2-7	2.50	0.80	1.70	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Santa Clara vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

Check the Santa Clara vs Nacional team news before you place your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Santa Clara Team Page Nacional Team Page

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