São Paulo vs Santos Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Oct 2026

São Paulo vs Santos Predictions

Main Match Prediction

São Paulo To Win @ -103

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The standout bet can be found on the Full-Time Result market where São Paulo are currently priced at -103. We think they can overcome Santos and this looks a value play.

Our São Paulo vs Santos betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

São Paulo vs Santos Preview

São Paulo clash with Santos, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Friday 2 October.

São Paulo won their last league game, beating Internacional by a 1-0 scoreline which made it three straight Série A home wins. Tricolor Paulista recorded one shot on target and had 44% possession, with the winning goal scored by Jonathan Calleri in the 15th minute.

Santos have triumphed in four consecutive games. On the road, Remo were recently beaten 2-1. Cuca's side enjoyed 51% possession and had four shots on goal, with Rony and Gabriel Barbosa finding the net.

H2H: Teams Drew 1-1 in Previous Head-to-Head Clash

The outcome was a 1-1 draw when São Paulo last played Santos, with the former being away from home. The past 10 H2H games have featured four triumphs for Santos, three for São Paulo and three draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	1	41:40	38
11	São Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	2	32:30	36

View Full Table

São Paulo have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts. Dorival Junior's team have averaged 54.8% possession and 6.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 11.2 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Jonathan Calleri and Luciano Neves are the top scorers with 2 goals each, while Iago has 1. Artur Guimaraes, Lucas Ramon and Joao Victor are the leading assists makers with 1.

Santos have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 15.7 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 53.0% possession, 5.8 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Gabriel Barbosa is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, Alvaro Barreal has 3, with Christian Oliva and Neymar both on 2. Benjamin Rollheiser has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Rafael (GK), Rafael Toloi, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Pedro Lima, Djhordney Ferreira, Marcos Antônio, Iago Borduchi, Artur, Luciano, Gustavo Santana.

Santos predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Diogenes (GK), Rodinei, Willian Arao, Lucas Verissimo, Gonzalo Escobar, Arthur, Christian Oliva, Benjamín Rollheiser, Gustavo Henrique, Everton, Gabriel Barbosa.

Main Match Prediction

There’s every chance that São Paulo can get the upper hand in this Série A game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of -103 look too good to resist.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• São Paulo have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• São Paulo have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Série A stats before coming up with a verdict.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.8% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Want to back São Paulo for the win but in search of larger odds? How about taking the bigger Double Result price when it comes to our pick leading at both half-time and full-time.

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São Paulo To Win @ -103 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 1, 01:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 0 Santos

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves São Paulo to win 1-0. The odds of +540 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima Over 0.5 Shots On Target +230

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo) can be backed at +230 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

---

Aldemir Ferreira To Score +360

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo) can be backed to score at +360. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Aldemir Ferreira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Santos Under 4.5 Corners -143

Santos have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in four straight away matches, while the previous 5 São Paulo home games have seen them concede an average of 3.60 corners. We’re expecting Santos to fall short of the line, with this Team Corners bet on offer at -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

11.80 6.70 5.10

Home

12.70 8.70 4.00

Away

11.20 6.00 5.20

Santos

Total

10.00 5.80 4.20

Home

10.60 7.20 3.40

Away

9.20 3.30 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-119

Under 10.5

-119

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

-105

Santos Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-143

Most Corners

1

-175

X

+700

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

São Paulo vs Santos Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

São Paulo are forecasted to have a 51% chance of triumphing in this Série A encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -103. If you want to back the outsider, Santos are available at +280.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with São Paulo needing to win at -104 for your bet to be successful. Santos +0.5 at -119 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

No matter what Série A game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

-103

X

+230

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+110

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-333

X2

-125

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+165

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-104

2 Hcp +0.5

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-122

Jonathan Calleri is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +475 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +200.

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+475

Anytime

+200

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+475

Anytime

+200

Gabigol (Santos)

First

+600

Anytime

+250

Neymar (Santos)

First

+700

Anytime

+290

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Moisés Vieira da Veiga (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

Gustavo Caballero (Santos)

First

+1000

Anytime

+400

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

First

+950

Anytime

+410

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+420

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+440

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

First

+1500

Anytime

+600

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+650

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Santos)

First

+1600

Anytime

+700

Rodinei (Santos)

First

+1700

Anytime

+700

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+750

Amaral Borduchi Iago (São Paulo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Cebolinha (Santos)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Christian Oliva (Santos)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Gabigol (Santos)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Neymar (Santos)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Moisés Vieira da Veiga (Santos)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Gustavo Caballero (Santos)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Benjamín Rollheiser (Santos)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Álvaro Barreal (Santos)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Ronielson Rony (Santos)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Thaciano Mickael Silva (Santos)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Miguel Terceros (Santos)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Santos)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-

Rodinei (Santos)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Cebolinha (Santos)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Amaral Borduchi Iago (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Christian Oliva (Santos)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-

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São Paulo vs Santos Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for São Paulo vs Santos before you bet. Expect the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with timely injury updates.

São Paulo Team Page Santos Team Page

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