São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Oct 2026

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Vasco Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -111

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Vasco da Gama look a nice wager to topple São Paulo and we can take them at -111 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

Our São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama betting coverage includes detailed reasoning for the main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Preview

São Paulo take on Vasco da Gama, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 17 October.

São Paulo were winners in their last game, enjoying a 2-1 home triumph over Vitória. Tricolor Paulista had most of the ball boasting 55% possession and six shots on target, while Jonathan Calleri grabbed the goals.

Vasco da Gama played out a 0-0 draw against Remo in their previous Série A game, with this being at home. Pedro Emanuel's side had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 63% possession and five shots on goal.

On Tuesday night, Vasco claimed a 1-0 victory when facing Boca Juniors away in the Copa Sudamericana.

H2H: 2-1 Win for Vasco in Pair’s Last Meeting

The scoreline was 2-1 in favour of home side Vasco when they last played São Paulo. We’ve seen the past 10 H2H games involve five São Paulo wins. There have also been two draws and three Vasco victories.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	São Paulo	30	11	6	13	35	35	0	35:35	39
14	Vasco da Gama	29	9	8	12	36	42	-6	36:42	35

View Full Table

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts. São Paulo have had 53.2% possession and 7.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.2 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Top scorers are Jonathan Calleri and Luciano Neves on 3 goals, while Iago has racked up 1. Iago, Artur Guimaraes and Lucas Ramon have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Vasco have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.4 goals from 18.2 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 53.9% possession, 7.6 corners awarded and 4.2 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 10.1 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.

Facundo Colidio has scored 3, followed by Alan Lescano, David and Andres Gomez with 2 goals apiece. Bruno Duarte has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Rafael (GK), Newton Araujo, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Lucas Ramon, Damián Bobadilla, Marcos Antônio, Iago Borduchi, Artur, Luciano, Jonathan Calleri.

Vasco da Gama predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim (GK), José Luis Rodríguez, Alan Saldivia, Robert Renan, Cuiabano, Santiago Sosa, Thiago Mendes, Carlos Andres Gomez, Alan Lescano, Nuno Moreira, Bruno Duarte.

Main Match Prediction

When Vasco da Gama kick off this Série A match, we will wager them at -111 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vasco in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vasco in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vasco in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 6 of their last 10 games.

The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Série A stats to get the full picture.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 52.6% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to try and leverage a large potential pay out from your stake, a Bet Builder is a potential way forward. Bet Vasco to cover the line along with other picks.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Vasco Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 16, 02:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 1 - 2 Vasco

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +950 and it involves Vasco winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alan Lescano to Score +420

Alan Lescano (Vasco) has managed two goals in his past four Série A matches. We’re happy to take the +420 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Alan Lescano Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Shots

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vasco Over 4.5 Corners -105

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Vasco da Gama in six consecutive matches. We think it’s possible that Vasco will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -105 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

12.70 7.80 4.90

Home

12.90 9.10 3.80

Away

11.50 5.70 5.80

Vasco

Total

11.80 7.60 4.20

Home

10.10 6.40 3.70

Away

10.30 5.90 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-125

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-130

Vasco Corners

Over 4.5

-122

Under 4.5

-122

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest São Paulo odds are +117 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 46% prospect of securing a victory. For those wanting to back Vasco da Gama, you will find +230 about this outsider.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then São Paulo are -189 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Vasco are +128 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. There are always two Both Teams to Score choices, with Yes available at -120 and No at -115.

The top football betting sites cover Série A matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+225

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+108

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-313

X2

-152

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-118

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-115

Jonathan Calleri is the First Goalscorer favourite at +480 and there’s an opportunity to back him to find the net anytime at +210.

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+480

Anytime

+210

Bruno Duarte da Silva (Vasco)

First

+600

Anytime

+260

Claudio Spinelli (Vasco)

First

+700

Anytime

+320

Facundo Colidio (Vasco)

First

+750

Anytime

+330

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+850

Anytime

+360

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+400

David Corrêa da Fonseca (Vasco)

First

+950

Anytime

+410

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+420

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+420

Alan Lescano (Vasco)

First

+900

Anytime

+420

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+480

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+575

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

First

+1400

Anytime

+700

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

First

+1700

Anytime

+750

Amaral Borduchi Iago (São Paulo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+800

Tchê Tchê (Vasco)

First

+2000

Anytime

+850

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1050

Bruno Duarte da Silva (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

Claudio Spinelli (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Facundo Colidio (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

David Corrêa da Fonseca (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Alan Lescano (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Amaral Borduchi Iago (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Tchê Tchê (Vasco)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-286

Under 2.5

-

Claudio Spinelli (Vasco)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Facundo Colidio (Vasco)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Alan Lescano (Vasco)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Newton Araujo da Costa Júnior (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Duarte da Silva (Vasco)

Over 1.5

-417

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Moura (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-370

Under 1.5

-

David Corrêa da Fonseca (Vasco)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Henrique Cardoso de Lima (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Amaral Borduchi Iago (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Tchê Tchê (Vasco)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Ramon (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

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São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News

Check the São Paulo vs Vasco team news before you place your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

São Paulo Team Page Vasco da Gama Team Page

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