São Paulo vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Oct 2026
São Paulo vs Vitória Predictions
It wouldn’t be surprising to see São Paulo come out on top against Vitória. We will therefore back them at -149 on the Full-Time Result market and get a nice return if the hosts manage to land a victory.
Read our in-depth São Paulo vs Vitória betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
São Paulo vs Vitória Preview
São Paulo go head-to-head with Vitória, with kick-off set for 20:00 on Saturday 10 October.
São Paulo have lost back-to-back Série A games. On their travels, Cruzeiro recently beat them 2-0. Tricolor Paulista had 46% possession and recorded three shots on target.
Vitória secured a home victory in their previous game. A 4-0 win occurred against Chapecoense. Jair Ventura's side had 51% of possession and eight shots on goal, with Erick Serafim and Matheuzinho scoring two apiece.
H2H: 2-0 Victory for Vitória in Last Head-to-Head
Vitória are bidding for a third successive victory against São Paulo, having previously claimed home wins of 2-0 and 1-0. The past 5 H2H meetings have seen São Paulo land three wins and Vitória register two victories.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  São Paulo |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 33:34 | 36 |
| 12 |  Vitória |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32:42 | 36 |
3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. São Paulo have had 52.4% possession and 7.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.2 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.
Luciano Neves is the top goalscorer with 3, Jonathan Calleri has 2, with Iago and two other players on 1. Artur Guimaraes, Lucas Ramon and Joao Victor are the leading assists makers with 1.
Vitória have won 3, lost 6 and drawn 1, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 15.0 attempts and 1.0 goals. Barra's Lion average 43.2% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 17.1 attempts and 5.9 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Rene on 4, followed by Erick Serafim and Matheuzinho with 3. Matheuzinho has been top assists provider with 3 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
São Paulo predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Carlos Coronel (GK), Robert Arboleda, Rafael Toloi, Sabino, Pedro Lima, Damián Bobadilla, Pablo Maia, Wendell, Marcos Antônio, Artur, Jonathan Calleri.
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Mateus Silva, Cacá, Luan Cândido, Jamerson, Emmanuel Martinez, Caique Gonçalves, Erick, Tomas Pochettino, Matheuzinho, Renê.
Main Match Prediction
São Paulo could land the money in this Série A game and we’ll take this pick with confidence. There are appealing odds of -149 and we can’t pass up the chance to back the favourites.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Série A stats.
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 59.9% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
If you’re expecting São Paulo to win but also think they’ll keep a clean sheet, then it stands to reason to back the bigger odds on the Result + Both Teams to Score No market.
Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Vitória
A 2-0 win in favor of São Paulo can be backed at odds of +510. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória) can be backed at +200 to register at least one shot on goal. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo) can be wagered at +700 to be among the goals. We believe this is the best of the player props, with healthy odds available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five games featuring São Paulo have seen 14.00 corners on average, with 11.60 the average corner count for the last five Vitória away matches. We’re happy to back the -111 when it comes to the teams covering the Total Corners line which looks generous.
São Paulo
Vitória
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: São Paulo to come out on top, less than three goals in total combined with Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória) to finish with one or more shots on target.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
São Paulo vs Vitória Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Favourites São Paulo are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Série A clash. The -149 about them triumphing means a 60% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Vitória are the outsiders at +410 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.
There’s -119 when it comes to São Paulo -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. That means a 2+ goal margin of victory over Vitória lands a full return. If they win by one, we win with half stake and get the rest refunded.
Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -133 about Both Teams to Score No.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to Série A games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
There is +170 available that Jonathan Calleri finds the net, while he is available at +400 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
São Paulo League Stats
Vitória League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 13.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for São Paulo this season are Luciano Neves (9), Jonathan Calleri (8), Ferreira (4)
- Top Assistors for São Paulo this season are Wendell (3), Artur Guimaraes (2), Damian Bobadilla (2)
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São Paulo vs Vitória Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on São Paulo vs Vitória, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Série A lineups alongside the newest injury information.
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
São Paulo Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous São Paulo Lineups
Previous Vitória Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
São Paulo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Dorival Junior
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | 60 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | 51 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 50 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 6 | Bahia | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 43:36 | 46 |
| 7 | Atlético MG | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 44 |
| 8 | Santos | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 42 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37:47 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 37 |
| 11 | São Paulo | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | 36 |
| 12 | Vitória | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | 35 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | 34 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | 31 |
| 18 | Grêmio | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | 30 |
| 19 | Remo | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | 24 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fluminense | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 28:10 | 33 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 33 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 32 |
| 5 | Vitória | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 22:12 | 31 |
| 6 | Atlético MG | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 9 | Grêmio | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 10 | Bahia | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:14 | 24 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 12 | Santos | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:21 | 23 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25:22 | 21 |
| 16 | Coritiba | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:16 | 18 |
| 18 | Internacional | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18:17 | 17 |
| 19 | Remo | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18:29 | 11 |
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