Sarmiento vs River Plate Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Oct 2026

Sarmiento vs River Plate Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Sarmiento Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -118

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Sarmiento +0.75 at -118 look like the best bet against River Plate. We feel confident with this Asian Handicap prediction which means a split stake between +0.5 and +1.0, with a return expected.

Read on for our full Sarmiento vs River Plate betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Sarmiento vs River Plate Preview

Sarmiento clash with River Plate, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 14 October.

Sarmiento won last time out by a 3-1 scoreline. It was away from home against Aldosivi. The Junín club had 51% of possession and three shots on target, while Junior Marabel, Julian Mavilla and Jonathan Herrera scored one goal each.

River Plate have back-to-back Primera División wins on the road. In their previous league match, they recorded a 1-0 home triumph against Estudiantes Río Cuarto. Leonardo Ponzio's men had an impressive 73% of possession and managed eight shots on goal, with Marcos Acuna striking early in the first half.

H2H: 2-0 Win for River in Pair’s Last Encounter

River had the upper hand in the last encounter between these sides. They recorded a 2-0 home victory over Sarmiento. The 7 past H2H meetings have involved four River victories, one draw and two Sarmiento wins.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Sarmiento	11	6	1	4	20	17	3	20:17	19
17	River Plate	11	5	1	5	14	12	2	14:12	16

View Full Table

Sarmiento have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.1 attempts. Facundo Sava's team have averaged 39.4% possession and 3.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal, 15.0 attempts and 6.7 corners.

Junior Marabel leads the way with 7 goals, Julian Mavilla has 4, with Jonathan Herrera and Mauricio Martinez scoring 2. Jhon Renteria, Jonathan Herrera and Thyago Ayala have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

River have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 5.0 shots on goal, 16.2 attempts and 1.4 goals. Los Millonarios average 64.9% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 8.7 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal.

Angel Correa and Tomas Galvan have scored 3 goals, followed by Thiago Almada with 2. Angel Correa and Lucas Beltran are the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sarmiento predicted lineup (4-4-2): Thyago Ayala (GK), Santiago Salle, Renzo Orihuela, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Lucas Suarez, Julián Mavilla, Cristian Zabala, Mauricio Martínez, Elian Gimenez, Jhon Rentería, Junior Marabel.

River Plate predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Santiago Beltran (GK), Gonzalo Montiel, Lucas Martínez Quarta, Nicolas Otamendi, Marcos Acuña, Fausto Vera, Tobias Andrada, Tomás Galván, Lautaro Pereyra, Ángel Correa, Sebastián Driussi.

Main Match Prediction

There are reasons to back Sarmiento on the Asian Handicap, with the underdogs in receipt of +0.75 for this Primera División match. We think a return could be on the cards and we like this line at odds of -118.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Sarmiento in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Sarmiento in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Sarmiento in 11 of their last 17 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by River in 11 of their last 18 games on the road.

The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Primera División team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Larger odds can be banked for bettors who are willing to move the line. The prices will get bigger depending on the risk you attach to the bet you are placing.

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Sarmiento Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 13, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sarmiento 1 - 1 River

Our prediction is a 1-1 draw which is available at odds of +475. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tomás Galván Over 0.5 Shots On Target -105

Tomás Galván (River) is available to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -105. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Tomás Galván Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

---

Junior Marabel to Score +200

Junior Marabel (Sarmiento) has scored in four straight Primera División games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +200 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Junior Marabel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+475

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Sarmiento Under 3.5 Corners -122

Sarmiento have failed to cover the 3.5 corners line in four straight games, with River conceding under 3.5 corners in the past four matches. We advise betting on the -122 that Sarmiento won’t cover the line, with this Team Corners pick hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sarmiento

Total

10.10 3.40 6.70

Home

10.10 4.50 5.60

Away

9.00 2.40 6.60

River

Total

7.70 5.10 2.60

Home

8.10 5.50 2.60

Away

7.70 4.10 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-143

Sarmiento Corners

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-122

River Corners

Over 5.5

-103

Under 5.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+200

X

+600

2

-200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Sarmiento vs River Plate Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have River Plate as -143 favourites for this Primera División clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 59% likely to win. The market implies that Sarmiento are the most unlikely to win at +420.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back River at +123 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Sarmiento at +410. The draw is the third option at +106.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. The Both Teams to Score No option is -147 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primera División match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+420

X

+250

2

-143

Half-Time Result

1

+410

X

+106

2

+123

Double Chance

1X

+110

12

-357

X2

-667

Draw No Bet

1

+250

2

-417

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-118

2 Hcp -0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-147

Favourite Ángel Correa is priced at +450 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +180.

Ángel Correa (River)

First

+450

Anytime

+180

Junior Marabel (Sarmiento)

First

+475

Anytime

+200

Sebastián Driussi (River)

First

+525

Anytime

+220

Rafael Borré (River)

First

+550

Anytime

+220

Mauro Arambarri (River)

First

+650

Anytime

+280

Lucas Beltrán (River)

First

+850

Anytime

+330

Thiago Almada (River)

First

+800

Anytime

+350

Tobias Andrada (River)

First

+850

Anytime

+350

Tomás Galván (River)

First

+900

Anytime

+400

Fausto Vera (River)

First

+1100

Anytime

+450

Diego Churín (Sarmiento)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Jonathan Carlos Herrera (Sarmiento)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento)

First

+1200

Anytime

+550

Gonzalo Montiel (River)

First

+1300

Anytime

+550

Brandon Márquez (Sarmiento)

First

+1800

Anytime

+800

Juan Carlos Portillo (River)

First

+2000

Anytime

+900

Tobias Palacio (River)

First

+2000

Anytime

+950

Marcos Acuña (River)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Lucas Martínez (River)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Santiago Salle (Sarmiento)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Aníbal Moreno (River)

First

+2200

Anytime

+950

Francisco Ortega (River)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Nicolás Otamendi (River)

First

+2200

Anytime

+1000

Ángel Correa (River)

Over 0.5

-333

Under 0.5

-

Junior Marabel (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Borré (River)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Almada (River)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Mauro Arambarri (River)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Beltrán (River)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Tomás Galván (River)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Tobias Andrada (River)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Diego Churín (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Gaston Nicolas Gonzalez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Jonathan Carlos Herrera (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Fausto Vera (River)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Gonzalo Montiel (River)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Brandon Márquez (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Salle (Sarmiento)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Martínez (River)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Acuña (River)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Otamendi (River)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-

Sarmiento vs River Plate Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Sarmiento vs River team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Sarmiento Team Page River Plate Team Page

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