Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Oct 2026
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Predictions
It could be worth venturing towards the Full-Time Result market and taking Milan to land a win, with odds of -127 appealing. We expect the favourites to get the better of Sassuolo by the full-time whistle.
Scroll down to view our Sassuolo vs Milan betting preview, where we break down our main match prediction in full, followed by our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Preview
Sassuolo welcome AC Milan to Stadio Mapei, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 11 October.
Sassuolo have secured back-to-back Serie A home wins. Their last league game was on the road and a 2-1 defeat occurred against Monza at Stadio Brianteo. Alberto Aquilani's men had eight shots on target and enjoyed 65% possession, with Vasilije Adzic being the goalscorer.
AC Milan claimed a home win in their previous game. A 3-0 victory occurred against Lecce at San Siro. I Rossoneri had four shots on goal and enjoyed 69% possession, with Christian Pulisic, Adrien Rabiot and Diego Moreira finding the net.
H2H: 2-0 Win for Sassuolo in Last Head-to-Head Clash
Sassuolo won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-0 home victory was recorded against Milan at Stadio Mapei. The previous 10 H2H matches have included four wins for Sassuolo, three victories for Milan along with three draws.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan |
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 10 | Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9:9 | 7 |
Sassuolo have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 14.2 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. The Emilia-Romagna team have averaged 51.9% possession, 478.2 passes and 3.7 corners per game, conceding 1.5 goals and 6.0 corners from 14.3 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Vasilije Adzic leads the way with 3 goals, with Domenico Berardi and Armand Lauriente scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Armand Lauriente with 2.
Milan have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 12.1 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Ruben Amorim's side average 53.7% possession, 498.5 passes, 2.9 corners in their favour and 3.3 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 4.4 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts.
Diego Moreira has top scored with 3, while Adrien Rabiot, Alphadjo Cisse and Christopher Nkunku are next on 2. Adrien Rabiot, Christian Pulisic and Samuel Chukwueze have clocked up 2 assists, with Mike Maignan keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Sassuolo predicted lineup (4-3-3): Arijanet Muric (GK), Simone Cinquegrano, Duje Caleta-Car, Fedde Leysen, Josh Doig, Kristian Thorstvedt, Nemanja Matic, Darryl Bakola, Domenico Berardi, Sebastiano Esposito, Armand Lauriente.
AC Milan predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Mario Gila, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Samuel Chukwueze, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Sankhoun Diawara, Christian Pulisic, Omari Hutchinson, Goncalo Ramos.
Main Match Prediction
There’s the exciting prospect to back Milan for this Serie A encounter. There’s a stack of value in the -127 that the visitors land a win and we think a success is likely.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest Serie A team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
If you’re after a wager at a bigger price, then Milan are available on the Asian Handicap. The bookmakers have a range of available options for you to consider.
Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.
Correct Score Prediction
Milan are available at +650 when it comes to them winning 2-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.
Player Prop Picks
Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in six consecutive Serie A matches. We’re expecting this data to be backed up and for him to cover the Shots on Target line at odds of -110.
Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has netted two goals in his past five Serie A matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +400 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Each of the previous seven Milan matches have featured under 8.5 corners. The number of corners could be lower than the line suggests and that leads us to a bet at odds of -127.
Sassuolo
Milan
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a bet builder and our picks are Milan on the 1x2, both teams to score No along with Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo) to end up with one or more shots on target.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookmakers affording them a 56% chance of winning, AC Milan might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -127 when it comes to this Serie A encounter. Sassuolo are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +320.
Milan -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -102 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Sassuolo. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.
There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -147 on the BTTS market.
Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Serie A game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.
There’s the chance to back Gonçalo Ramos at +360 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.
Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Sassuolo have clocked up seven wins and three losses in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Milan have not tasted an away defeat in four straight matches. I Rossoneri have recorded five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
The most recent Stadio Mapei meeting saw Sassuolo claim a 2-0 win over Milan. Milan have won three of the previous 6 H2H games at Stadio Mapei, with Sassuolo getting one victory along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sassuolo Home Stats |
7-0-3 | 3.30 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
AC Milan Away Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Serie A: 03/05 2026 Sassuolo 2 AC Milan 0
- Serie A: 14/12 2025 AC Milan 2 Sassuolo 2
- Coppa Italia: 03/12 2024 AC Milan 6 Sassuolo 1
- Serie A: 14/04 2024 Sassuolo 3 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 30/12 2023 AC Milan 1 Sassuolo 0
- Serie A: 29/01 2023 AC Milan 2 Sassuolo 5
- Serie A: 30/08 2022 Sassuolo 0 AC Milan 0
- Serie A: 22/05 2022 Sassuolo 0 AC Milan 3
- Serie A: 28/11 2021 AC Milan 1 Sassuolo 3
- Serie A: 21/04 2021 AC Milan 1 Sassuolo 2
Sassuolo League Stats
AC Milan League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sassuolo this season are Vasilije Adzic (3), Cas Odenthal (1), Cristian Volpato (1)
- Top Assistors for Sassuolo this season are Armand Lauriente (1), Darryl Bakola (1), Fedde Leysen (1)
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Sassuolo vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News
Check the Sassuolo vs Milan team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Sassuolo Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Sassuolo Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
AC Milan Predicted Lineup 3-4-2-1
Previous Sassuolo Lineups
Previous AC Milan Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sassuolo Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alberto Aquilani
AC Milan Player Stats & Squad
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Roma | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 6 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Sassuolo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 9 | Parma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 10 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Lecce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 15 | Bologna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 16 | Udinese | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 18 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 19 | Torino | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 20 | Venezia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
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