Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Nov 2026

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Sassuolo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130

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When Sassuolo meet Fiorentina, we will back the hosts at -130 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. With the stake split between 0 and +0.5, they look capable of landing a return by avoiding defeat.

Read on for our full Sassuolo vs Fiorentina betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Preview

Sassuolo square off against Fiorentina at Stadio Mapei, with kick-off set for 13:30 on Monday 2 November.

Sassuolo have lost on their last three outings. In a recent home game at Stadio Mapei, they were turned over 6-2 by Lazio. I Neroverdi had 42% possession and recorded one shot on target, with Josip Sutalo (own goal) and Sebastiano Esposito scoring one goal each.

Fiorentina hosted Atalanta at Stadio Artemio Franchi in their previous game, ending in a 2-2 draw. Paolo Vanoli's team enjoyed 50% possession and five shots on goal, with Alieu Njie and Joao Mario finding the net.

H2H: Goalless Draw in Last Head-to-Head Clash

The last encounter between the teams saw Sassuolo draw 0-0 away to Fiorentina at Stadio Artemio Franchi. There have been four Sassuolo victories, three draws and three Fiorentina wins in the previous 10 H2H games.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14	22	-8	14:22	8
17	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11	21	-10	11:21	5

View Full Table

Sassuolo have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. The Emilia-Romagna outfit have averaged 47.1% possession, 446.9 passes and 3.7 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 2.3 goals from 6.4 shots on goal, 15.3 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Top scorer Vasilije Adzic has found the net 3 times, with Sebastiano Esposito, Domenico Berardi and Cas Odenthal getting 2 each. Simone Cinquegrano and Darryl Bakola have recorded the most assists with 2 apiece.

Fiorentina have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 15.6 attempts. La Viola have averaged 45.3% possession, 4.9 corners taken and 3.7 corners against, while conceding 2.2 goals from 6.0 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts.

Franco Mastantuono is top scorer on 3, with Alex Jimenez and Mateo Pellegrino next on 2. Alex Jimenez, Nicolo Fagioli and Cher Ndour have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Sassuolo predicted lineup (4-3-3): Stefano Turati (GK), Simone Cinquegrano, Duje Caleta-Car, Cas Odenthal, Josh Doig, Jay Idzes, Luca Lipani, Darryl Bakola, Domenico Berardi, Sebastiano Esposito, Armand Lauriente.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-3-3): David de Gea (GK), Alex Jimenez, Radu Dragusin, Viery, Joao Mario, Cher Ndour, Nicolo Fagioli, Marco Brescianini, Franco Mastantuono, Mateo Pellegrino, Alieu Njie.

Main Match Prediction

Sassuolo look a good bet in this Serie A clash and we can back them at -130 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sassuolo in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sassuolo in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Sassuolo in 2 consecutive games against Fiorentina.

It's essential to know the players who are missing for the next clash along with the form for each of the two sides. If you’re looking for the best Serie A stats, we will showcase them and they provide the foundation for our football picks.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 56.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Selling goals can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on a similar selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy goals.

Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.

Sassuolo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 31, 19:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sassuolo 1 - 0 Fiorentina

There are betting odds of +850 that Sassuolo land a 1-0 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Armand Laurienté Over 0.5 Shots On Target -143

Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo) can be backed to finish with at least one shot on goal at -143. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Armand Laurienté Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

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Sebastiano Esposito to Score +230

Sebastiano Esposito (Sassuolo) has netted two goals in his past six Serie A games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +230 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Sebastiano Esposito Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -141

It has now been seven straight Fiorentina away matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. The corners tally could be lower than the line implies and that leads us to a wager at a price of -141.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Sassuolo

Total

8.90 3.70 5.20

Home

8.60 3.30 5.30

Away

10.20 4.10 6.10

Fiorentina

Total

8.60 4.90 3.70

Home

9.80 5.60 4.20

Away

7.60 3.00 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-143

Sassuolo Corners

Over 4.5

-111

Under 4.5

-128

Fiorentina Corners

Over 4.5

-105

Under 4.5

-137

Most Corners

1

-108

X

+550

2

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Fiorentina are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Serie A encounter. The +128 for them coming out on top suggests a 44% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Sassuolo are trading at +185.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Fiorentina are -154 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Sassuolo being priced up at +105 with the same money back guarantee.

You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -208.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Serie A matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

+185

X

+250

2

+128

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+140

2

+180

Double Chance

1X

-167

12

-357

X2

-250

Draw No Bet

1

+105

2

-154

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-130

2 Hcp -0.25

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+148

There’s the chance to back Mateo Pellegrino at +500 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+165

Beto (Fiorentina)

First

+550

Anytime

+180

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+200

Kieron Bowie (Sassuolo)

First

+650

Anytime

+210

Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo)

First

+650

Anytime

+220

Sebastiano Esposito (Sassuolo)

First

+650

Anytime

+230

Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo)

First

+750

Anytime

+250

Vasilije Adzic (Sassuolo)

First

+850

Anytime

+300

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+320

Alieu Njie (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+320

Pedro Goncalves (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+330

Kristian Thorstvedt (Sassuolo)

First

+950

Anytime

+350

Wilfried Gnonto (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Simone Cinquegrano (Sassuolo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+350

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1050

Anytime

+350

Cristian Volpato (Sassuolo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+360

Benjamín Domínguez (Sassuolo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+400

Luca Lipani (Sassuolo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+475

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+1300

Anytime

+475

Darryl Bakola (Sassuolo)

First

+1300

Anytime

+480

Christ Inao Oulaï (Fiorentina)

First

+1600

Anytime

+550

Ibrahim Sulemana (Sassuolo)

First

+1600

Anytime

+600

Alejandro Jiménez (Fiorentina)

First

+1700

Anytime

+600

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+1800

Anytime

+650

Fali Cande (Sassuolo)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

Beto (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Domenico Berardi (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Kieron Bowie (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Sebastiano Esposito (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Vasilije Adzic (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Arthur Atta (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Pedro Goncalves (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-

Alieu Njie (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Volpato (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Simone Cinquegrano (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-

Kristian Thorstvedt (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-

Benjamín Domínguez (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Luca Lipani (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Darryl Bakola (Sassuolo)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-

Christ Inao Oulaï (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Alejandro Jiménez (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 Serie A matches only.
Sassuolo have collected six victories, three losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Fiorentina have collected five defeats, four wins and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.90.

The most recent Stadio Mapei meeting saw Sassuolo claim a 3-1 win over Fiorentina. There have been four Sassuolo victories and two Fiorentina wins in the previous 6 H2H meetings at Stadio Mapei.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Sassuolo Home Stats		6-1-3	3.50	1.80	1.70	7	3	8	2
Fiorentina Away Stats		4-1-5	3.30	1.40	1.90	7	3	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

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