Senegal vs Iraq Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Jun 2026
Senegal vs Iraq Predictions
Senegal look like an attractive wager at -2 on the Asian Handicap. Grab the +102 that the favourites win by more than two goals against Iraq and secure money back if the winning margin is two.
Continue reading for our complete Senegal vs Iraq betting analysis, delivering an in-depth look at our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Senegal vs Iraq Preview
Senegal square off against Iraq in this FIFA World Cup Group I encounter at Toronto Stadium (BMO Field), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 26 June.
Both sides have zero points but still have a chance of reaching the knockout stages. Iraq, with a -6 goal difference, need a huge win to stay alive, while Senegal are better placed and a two or three-goal victory should be enough to secure a play-off spot.
Toronto Stadium is an open-air venue where cloudy skies and a cool temperature of 17°C (63°F) are expected at kick-off.
Senegal lost 3-1 to France in their opening match before suffering a 3-2 defeat to Norway at New York/New Jersey Stadium. Pape Thiaw's side had 58% possession and four shots on target against the Norwegians, with Ismaila Sarr scoring both goals.
Iraq opened their World Cup campaign with a 4-1 defeat to Norway before losing 3-0 to France at Philadelphia Stadium. The Lions of Mesopotamia had 44% possession but failed to register a shot on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
This will be the first-ever meeting between the two teams.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Senegal |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 1:12 | 0 |
Confirmed Lineups
Senegal confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Mory Diaw (GK), Krepin Diatta, Abdoulaye Seck, Moussa Niakhate, Ismail Jakobs, Habib Diarra, Idrissa Gana Gueye, Lamine Camara, Ibrahim Mbaye, Ismaila Sarr, Sadio Mane.
Iraq confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Ahmed Basil Fadhil (GK), Frans Putros, Rebin Sulaka, Akam Hashem, Merchas Doski, Zidane Iqbal, Amir Al-Ammari, Ahmed Qasem, Ali Jasim, Ibrahim Bayesh, Ali Al Hamadi.
Main Match Prediction
Senegal -2 are available at odds of +102 on the Asian Handicap. The favourites look more than capable of delivering the goods in this Group I clash and we really like the available price.
We've been impressed by Senegal despite defeats to France and Norway. They competed well in both matches and with a victory needed to reach the knockout stages, we're backing them to comfortably beat an Iraq side that has looked out of its depth.
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the World Cup team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 49.5% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are many ways to bet on Senegal and that includes Winning Margin. Choose from a wide range of fixed intervals and get rewarded if you’re on the money.
Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.
Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is Senegal to claim a 3-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +575 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Aymen Hussein (Iraq) can be wagered at -132 to finish with at least one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.
Ismaïla Sarr (Senegal) has racked up two goals in his past four games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +145 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a same-game multi, have a play on Senegal on the Asian Handicap at -2, at least three goals in total accompanied by Aymen Hussein (Iraq) to record one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Senegal vs Iraq Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The latest Full-Time Result odds give Senegal a 83% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -500 favourites to win this World Cup clash. At +1300, Iraq are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Senegal are -182 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Iraq are +850 and the draw is priced at +200.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -152 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to World Cup games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Bamba Dieng can be backed to find the net anytime at -102. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +330.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Senegal Stats
Iraq Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.89 corners awarded and 4.33 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 5 home matches
- An average of 10.22 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 5 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 9 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 1 of the last 5 home matches
- An average of 2.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 2 matches
- An average of 0 corners awarded and 0 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded in the last 2 matches
- An average of 0 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 2 of the last 2 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.22% possession in the last 9 matches
- An average of 62.60% possession in the last 5 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 9 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 5 home matches
Senegal vs Iraq Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the Senegal vs Iraq team news before betting. Expect the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups along with timely injury updates.
Senegal Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Iraq Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Senegal Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Iraq Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Senegal Substitutes
- 1Yehvann Diouf
- 2Mamadou Sarr
- 3Kalidou Koulibaly
- 6Pathe Ciss
- 7Assane Diao
- 9Bamba Dieng
- 11Nicolas Jackson
- 12Cherif Ndiaye
- 13Iliman Ndiaye
- 17Pape Sarr
- 22Bara Ndiaye
- 24Antoine Mendy
- 25Malick Diouf
- 26Pape Gueye
Iraq Substitutes
- 1Fahad Talib
- 3Hussein Ali
- 4Zaid Tahseen
- 6Manaf Younis
- 7Youssef Amyn
- 10Mohanad Ali
- 12Jalal Hassan
- 13Ali Yousif
- 15Ahmed Maknzi
- 18Ayman Hussein
- 19Kevin Yakob
- 20Aimar Sher
- 21Marko Lawk Farji
- 24Zaid Ismael
- 25Mustafa Saadoun
Previous Senegal Lineups
Previous Iraq Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Senegal Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Pape Thiaw
Iraq Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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