Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2026
La Liga Betting Preview: Sevilla vs Real Madrid
Mid-table Sevilla clash with runners-up Real Madrid at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Sunday 17 May.
We’re not expecting the net to bulge too many times, with Under 2.5 Goals anticipated when Sevilla and Real Madrid clash. The Total Goals market selection gives us generous betting odds of +105.
Sevilla won last time out by a 3-2 scoreline. Away from home against Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica, they made it three victories on the spin. The Andalusia team had just 37% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Oso, Kike Salas and Akor Adams among the goals.
Real Madrid won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-0 victory against Real Oviedo at Santiago Bernabéu. Los Merengues racked up seven shots on goal and boasted 65% possession, with Gonzalo Garcia and Jude Bellingham finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Real have racked up four consecutive wins over Sevilla. In the last clash, home side Real claimed a 2-0 victory at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured eight Real wins and two draws.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Madrid |
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 13 | Sevilla |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 46:60 | 43 |
Sevilla have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. Los Nervionenses have averaged 44.1% possession and 4.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 3.9 shots on goal, 9.3 attempts and 4.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Akor Adams has found the net 4 times, Oso 2, with Kike Salas and two other players on 1. Djibril Sow has the most assists with 3, while goalie Odysseas Vlachodimos has recorded one clean sheet.
Real have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 15.9 attempts and 6.4 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.2% possession, 582.8 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.1 goals from 11.7 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal.
Vinicius Junior got 6 goals, Federico Valverde notched 4, while Jude Bellingham and two other players scored 1. Brahim Diaz, Arda Guler and Trent Alexander-Arnold have had 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Andriy Lunin has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Sevilla confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Odysseas Vlachodimos (GK), Jose Angel Carmona, Andres Castrin, Kike Salas, Gabriel Suazo, Ruben Vargas, Nemanja Gudelj, Djibril Sow, Oso, Akor Adams, Neal Maupay.
Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Daniel Carvajal, Antonio Ruediger, Dean Huijsen, Francisco Garcia, Brahim Diaz, Jude Bellingham, Aurelien Tchouameni, Thiago Pitarch, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
This Sevilla vs Real Madrid betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Match Prediction
We could be set for a low-scoring La Liga encounter. We will therefore bet on Under 2.5 which can be backed at an eye-catching price of +105, with defences set to be on top for the most part.
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent La Liga stats before coming up with a verdict.
Key Sevilla vs Real Madrid league stats:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 48.8% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
If you’re in search of a larger price and anticipate things being tight, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, with less than two goals needing to be scored overall.
Ready to boost your bet? Explore a huge selection of welcome bonuses in our regularly updated betting offers guide.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +540. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) has fired over 2.5 shots in five of his past nine La Liga matches away from home. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -161 available.
Gonzalo García (Real Madrid) can be wagered at +240 to be among the goals. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There has been five consecutive Sevilla games where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while it has been an average of 10.20 corners in the last ten Real Madrid matches. When it comes to Total Corners, we’re expecting the teams to fall short and you can land odds of -143.
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this bet builder including Under 2.5, a draw on the Full-Time Result as well as Under 10.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Real Madrid at +115 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 47% chance of winning this La Liga clash based on the betting odds. Sevilla are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +235.
If Real and Sevilla play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -118.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -172.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to La Liga games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
Kylian Mbappé is available at +107 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +320 to find the net first.
Stats: La Liga matches only
Sevilla have clocked up three straight wins at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Los Nervionenses have recorded four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Real have six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
Real beat Sevilla 2-0 when they last met at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. In addition to a draw, Real have been dominant with five wins in the previous 6 H2H games at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sevilla Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
Real Madrid Away Stats |
6-1-3 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 20/12 2025 Real Madrid 2 Sevilla 0
- La Liga: 18/05 2025 Sevilla 0 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 22/12 2024 Real Madrid 4 Sevilla 2
- La Liga: 25/02 2024 Real Madrid 1 Sevilla 0
- La Liga: 21/10 2023 Sevilla 1 Real Madrid 1
- La Liga: 27/05 2023 Sevilla 1 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 22/10 2022 Real Madrid 3 Sevilla 1
- La Liga: 17/04 2022 Sevilla 2 Real Madrid 3
- La Liga: 28/11 2021 Real Madrid 2 Sevilla 1
- La Liga: 09/05 2021 Real Madrid 2 Sevilla 2
Sevilla League Stats
Real Madrid League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 3.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sevilla this season are Akor Adams (10), Djibril Sow (5), Alexis Sanchez (4)
- Top Assistors for Sevilla this season are Ruben Vargas (6), Djibril Sow (4), Akor Adams (3)
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Sevilla vs Real team news beforehand. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for La Liga together with updated injury news.
Sevilla Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Sevilla Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Sevilla Substitutes
- 3Cesar Azpilicueta
- 5Tanguy Nianzou
- 7Isaac Romero
- 8Joan Jordan
- 10Alexis Sanchez
- 13O. Haaskjold Nyland
- 14Gerard Fernandez
- 15Fabio Cardoso
- 16Juanlu Sanchez
- 18Lucien Agoume
- 19Batista Mendy
- 21Chidera Ejuke
Real Madrid Substitutes
- 4David Alaba
- 6Eduardo Camavinga
- 12T. Alexander-Arnold
- 16Gonzalo Garcia
- 17Raul Asencio
- 18Alvaro Carreras
- 29Javier Navarro
- 30Franco Mastantuono
- 43Sergio Mestre
- 46Alvaro Leiva
- 47Dani Meso
Previous Sevilla Lineups
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sevilla Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis Garcia
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alavés | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57:10 | 57 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 45:16 | 49 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 48:19 | 46 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 39:17 | 46 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34:19 | 36 |
| 6 | Elche | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 30:19 | 35 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31:21 | 33 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31:24 | 32 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 24:15 | 31 |
| 10 | Valencia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 30 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 22:21 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 37:31 | 29 |
| 13 | Getafe | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 18:16 | 27 |
| 14 | Alavés | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:25 | 27 |
| 15 | Levante | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:28 | 26 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:24 | 26 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:25 | 25 |
| 18 | Girona | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | 24 |
| 19 | Celta Vigo | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29:28 | 23 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 9:18 | 19 |
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