Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Apr 2026

FA Cup Betting Preview: Southampton vs Arsenal

Championship side Southampton host Premier League leaders Arsenal in this FA Cup quarter-final at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 4 April.

There’s a strong case for Southampton +1.75 at odds of -116 against an Arsenal side likely to rotate. That could help the Saints keep the scoreline respectable and with our Asian Handicap stake split between +1.5 and +2.0, this bet offers good value.

Southampton won their last game, beating Oxford United at home. It was a 2-0 Championship victory at St. Mary's. The Saints recorded seven shots on target and boasted 69% possession, while Cyle Larin and Shea Charles scored one goal each.

Arsenal were beaten 2-0 by Manchester City at Wembley in the EFL Cup final last time out. Mikel Arteta's team didn’t see much of the ball with just 38% possession and four shots on goal.

In their previous FA Cup matches, Southampton visited Fulham and won 1-0, with Arsenal getting a 2-1 victory when visiting League One side Mansfield Town.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal have beaten Southampton in the last two clashes. There was a 2-1 away win at St. Mary's following a 3-1 home triumph when hosting at Emirates Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Arsenal wins, three draws and two Southampton successes.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82	56	26	82:56	80

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	44	71:27	85

Southampton have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. The South Coast side have averaged 54.7% possession and 5.7 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 3.7 shots on goal, 11.5 attempts and 5.5 corners.

Cyle Larin, Kuryu Matsuki, Ross Stewart and James Bree are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Shea Charles has 2. Leo Scienza is top assists maker with 4, while goalkeeper Daniel Peretz has kept one clean sheet.

Arsenal have won 8 and drawn 2, averaging 14.8 attempts, 5.3 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. The Gunners average 56.6% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against them, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Viktor Gyoekeres has scored 6 goals, followed by Noni Madueke on 4 and Eberechi Eze with 3. Gabriel Martinelli has clocked up 4 assists, with David Raya and Kepa Arrizabalaga collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Southampton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Nathan Wood, Ryan Manning, Cameron Bragg, Caspar Jander, Tom Fellows, Finn Azaz, Leo Scienza, Ross Stewart.

Arsenal confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Kepa Arrizabalaga (GK), Ben White, Cristhian Mosquera, Gabriel, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Martin Oedegaard, Christian Noergaard, Max Dowman, Kai Havertz, Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Jesus.

Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve got your Southampton vs Arsenal bets covered, including our expert match prediction, top correct score pick, must-see player props and a tailored bet builder built for value.

Match Prediction

Southampton look an enticing bet at +1.75 when it comes to this FA Cup clash. We think the underdogs can perform well at odds of -116, with the price looking attractive for this Asian Handicap prediction.

The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest FA Cup team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.

Key Southampton vs Arsenal FA Cup & league stats:

• The +1.75 line has been covered by Southampton in 16 consecutive games.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Southampton in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.75 line has been covered by Southampton in 6 of their last 10 games against Arsenal.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 53.8% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Wanting bigger odds when it comes to your pick? With the line being moved, you can secure a larger price although the wager is a more risky one.

Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.

Our Match Prediction

Southampton Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -116 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 2, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Southampton 1 - 2 Arsenal

A 2-1 win in favor of the Gunners is available at odds of +650. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Eberechi Eze Over 2.5 Shots -111

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) has recorded an average of 3.2 shots in his past five matches. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Player Shots line which is available at odds of -111.

Latest Eberechi Eze Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+525

Shots

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

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Bukayo Saka to Score +155

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) has managed two goals in his past five away games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +155 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Bukayo Saka Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+165

First

+500

Shots

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Southampton vs Arsenal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Arsenal are overwhelming -270 favourites to win this FA Cup clash based on the latest betting odds. The bookmakers afford the Gunners a 73% probability of claiming the spoils. If you want to back the outsider, Southampton are available at +700.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Arsenal available at -122 and Southampton at +510. The third option is the draw which is priced at +160.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -137 on the BTTS market.

For those wagering on FA Cup games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

+700

X

+400

2

-270

Half-Time Result

1

+510

X

+160

2

-122

Double Chance

1X

+190

12

-588

X2

-1250

Draw No Bet

1

+420

2

-909

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-104

2 Hcp -1.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+135

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-102

Gabriel Jesus is priced at +310 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -100 to find the net anytime.

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

First

-100

Anytime

+310

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+105

Anytime

+330

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+165

Anytime

+500

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+170

Anytime

+525

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

First

+175

Anytime

+525

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

First

+190

Anytime

+550

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+370

Anytime

+1100

Cyle Larin (Southampton)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

First

+400

Anytime

+1150

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

William Saliba (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Christian Nørgaard (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Ben White (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Jesus (Arsenal)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Kai Havertz (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

-217

Under 2.5

-

Cyle Larin (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Ross Cameron Stewart (Southampton)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-233

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Martín Zubimendi (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

William Saliba (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Christian Nørgaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+117

Under 0.5

-

Myles Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Ben White (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-

Cristhian Mosquera (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-

Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Southampton Stats

Arsenal Stats

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.78 corners awarded and 3.78 corners against in the last 9 away matches
• An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.56 corners awarded in the last 9 away matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 9 away matches

Possession

• An average of 54.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 56.60% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.89% possession in the last 9 away matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 9 away matches

Southampton vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Southampton vs Arsenal team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed FA Cup lineups and injury news right here.

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