Southampton vs Bolton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Oct 2026
Southampton vs Bolton Predictions
It makes sense to back Southampton -1.25 at -111 on the Asian Handicap. The favourites should beat Bolton by two goals or more, although we have the insurance of half our stake back should they win by a single goal.
Read on for our full Southampton vs Bolton betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Southampton vs Bolton Preview
Southampton welcome Bolton to St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 17 October.
Southampton have won five straight home games. Most recently, they won on their travels when beating Norwich City 1-0 at Carrow Road. Tonda Eckert's team had four shots on target and 51% possession, with Kuryu Matsuki netting the winner in the 54th minute.
Bolton Wanderers have won back-to-back Championship away games. The latest saw them beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-1 at Molineux Stadium. The Lancashire outfit had just 39% of the ball and recorded six shots on goal, with Atsuki Ito, Sam Dalby and Josh Sheehan finding the net.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Southampton |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21:10 | 16 |
| 14 | Bolton |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15:18 | 13 |
6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.7 attempts. Southampton have had 56.7% possession and 4.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.2 corners.
Cyle Larin leads the way with 7 goals, Finn Azaz has 3, with Kuryu Matsuki and Leo Scienza scoring 2. Finn Azaz is the top assists maker on 5.
Bolton have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 12.9 attempts, 4.7 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Trotters average 52.2% possession, 5.4 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against them, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 4.8 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts.
Sam Dalby has top scored with 4 goals, while Thierry Gale and Atsuki Ito are next on 3 and 2. Gaizka Larrazabal has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Main Match Prediction
There’s the chance to back Southampton -1.25 for this Championship match and odds of -111 make lots of appeal. We’re anticipating that the favourites can keep their opponents at bay for ninety minutes.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Championship form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.
The best football betting sites make it a 52.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.
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Correct Score Prediction
A 2-0 win in favor of Southampton can be backed at odds of +600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Jayden Nelson (Bolton) can be wagered to have a minimum of one shot on goal at +110. He looks like an attractive wager on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop bet selection.
Cyle Larin (Southampton) has been among the goals in eight of his past ten Championship games on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +105.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are Southampton to cover the -1.25 Asian Handicap, No on the BTTS market accompanied by Jayden Nelson (Bolton) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Southampton vs Bolton Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Southampton are regarded as having a 69% chance of winning this Championship clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -222. For those wanting to back Bolton Wanderers, you will find +510 about this outsider.
You can back Southampton at -119 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. Bolton are +410 and the draw is chalked up at +160.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. BTTS Yes is available at -172 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
Championship matches are always really well covered at the best betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.
Those interested in Cyle Larin to find the net anytime are able to get +105. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +350.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Southampton have landed five straight wins at St. Mary's. Tonda Eckert's team have managed eight victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Bolton have four wins, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Southampton Home Stats |
8-2-0 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
Bolton Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.90 | 1.30 | 1.60 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Southampton League Stats
Bolton League Stats
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 5 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 5 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 3 of the last 5 away matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.60% possession in the last 5 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 5 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Cyle Larin (7), Finn Azaz (3), Kuryu Matsuki (2)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Finn Azaz (5), Flynn Downes (2), Leo Scienza (2)
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Southampton vs Bolton Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Southampton vs Bolton team news before wagering. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Bolton Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Southampton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tonda Eckert
Bolton Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 3 | West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 29:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 5 | QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 15:9 | 17 |
| 6 | West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 18 | Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Swansea | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 4 | West Ham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Cardiff | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 6 | Stoke | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 7 | Blackburn | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 8 | Charlton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 9 | QPR | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 10 | West Brom | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 11:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Watford | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Bolton | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Bristol City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 20 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 21 | Burnley | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 22 | Preston | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 23 | Derby | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 24 | Lincoln | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:12 | 2 |
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