Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Oct 2026
Southampton vs Portsmouth Predictions
Southampton and Portsmouth should be able to score at least three goals. For this reason, we’re betting on the Total Goals market and selecting Over 2.5 at -161 which will give us a nice payout if the selection wins.
Explore our full Southampton vs Portsmouth betting preview, which features the complete write-up for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Southampton vs Portsmouth Preview
Southampton go head-to-head with Portsmouth at St. Mary's, with kick-off set for 07:00 on Sunday 11 October.
Southampton have won four home games on the bounce. Away at The Racecourse in their last game, they were beaten 2-1 by Wrexham. Tonda Eckert's men managed seven shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with James Ward-Prowse registering the goal.
Portsmouth drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Fratton Park ended 2-2 against Blackburn Rovers. The Hampshire team had 51% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Zak Swanson and Colby Bishop finding the net.
H2H: 1-1 Draw in Last Head-to-Head
Southampton boast an unbeaten record in the past three matches against Portsmouth, with the last encounter ending 1-1 at Fratton Park. The previous 3 H2H games have featured two draws and one Southampton victory.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Southampton |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9:10 | 8 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts. Southampton have had 57.0% possession and 5.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 15.2 attempts, while being awarded 5.4 corners.
Top scorer Cyle Larin has found the net 9 times, Finn Azaz 3, with Leo Scienza and Ryan Manning both scoring 2. Finn Azaz is the leading assists maker with 4.
Pompey have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. John Mousinho's side average 51.1% possession, 5.4 corners in their favour and 5.7 corners against, while conceding 1.7 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.
Adrian Segecic has landed 6 goals, Marko Milovanovic 2, with Zak Swanson and two others scoring 1. The top assistors in the last 10 games are Ryan Kavuma-McQueen, Tyrese Shade and Adrian Segecic who have all made 1.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Southampton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): George Long (GK), James Bree, Nathan Wood, Keven Schlotterbeck, Ryan Manning, Flynn Downes, Jamie Ward-Prowse, Kuryu Matsuki, Finn Azaz, Léo Scienza, Cyle Larin.
Portsmouth predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Bielica (GK), Zak Swanson, Madiodio Dia, Regan Poole, Jayden Meghoma, Marlon Pack, Rocco Robert Shein, Abu Kamara, Adrian Segecic, Iyad Mohamed, Tyrese Shade.
Main Match Prediction
We can see plenty of goals being scored when it comes to this Championship encounter. On this basis, betting on Over 2.5 Goals looks the way forward, especially at appealing odds of -161.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
Our football picks always stem from lots of research and it begins by looking at the latest Championship team news and current form. When we have a strong view of what might happen, we match up the latest numbers.
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 61.7% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 65-70% based on their in-depth research. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
If you’re in search of a bigger price, you can play Over 3.5. It’s irrelevant which team scores, provided that four or more goals are scored during the ninety minutes.
Our user-friendly bonus guide highlights the newest betting offers, free bets, and sign-up deals in one spot.
Correct Score Prediction
3
-
1
Portsmouth
Southampton can be backed at +800 to triumph by a 3-1 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Ryan Manning (Southampton) is available at +150 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.
Cyle Larin (Southampton) has found the net in seven straight Championship home matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +135 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 10.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six consecutive Portsmouth matches, while there has been an average of 11.60 corners in the previous five home games involving Southampton. If you concur with our viewpoint that the Total Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -135 that this outcome happens.
Southampton
Portsmouth
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a same-game multi including these picks: at least three goals in total, Southampton on the 1x2 and Ryan Manning (Southampton) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Southampton vs Portsmouth Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The favourites have a 63% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Southampton chalked up at -172 to land a win in this Championship clash. Portsmouth are the underdogs at +410 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.
Southampton -1 on the Asian Handicap means getting -105 that they beat Portsmouth by two or more goals. It also means you will get your full stake refunded if they win by one.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -149.
The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Championship match and take your pick.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Cyle Larin at +370, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
Stats: Last 10 Championship matches only.
Southampton have avoided defeat in their last ten matches at St. Mary's. Tonda Eckert's men have eight victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Portsmouth have four defeats, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.90.
Southampton drew 0-0 with Portsmouth in their last St. Mary's meeting.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton Home Stats |
8-2-0 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
| Portsmouth Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 3.20 | 1.30 | 1.90 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Southampton League Stats
Portsmouth League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 10 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Southampton this season are Cyle Larin (7), Finn Azaz (3), Leo Scienza (2)
- Top Assistors for Southampton this season are Finn Azaz (4), Flynn Downes (2), Leo Scienza (2)
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Southampton vs Portsmouth Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Southampton vs Portsmouth team news before you bet. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Southampton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portsmouth Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Southampton Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Portsmouth Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Southampton Lineups
Previous Portsmouth Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Southampton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tonda Eckert
Portsmouth Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 3 | West Ham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Charlton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 8 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Watford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bolton | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 17 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 18 | Birmingham | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 21 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Preston | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
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