Spain vs Argentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Jul 2026
Spain vs Argentina Predictions
We really like Spain at odds of +128 to beat Argentina in 90 minutes, with this Full-Time Result bet making plenty of appeal. There’s a nice potential return on offer and we believe La Roja will rise to the occasion and be crowned world champions.
Read our in-depth Spain vs Argentina betting preview for our full evaluation of the main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Spain vs Argentina Preview
Defending European champions Spain face defending world champions Argentina in the FIFA World Cup final at New York/New Jersey Stadium (MetLife Stadium), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 19 July.
New York/New Jersey Stadium is an open-air venue where sunny skies and a temperature of 28°C (82°F) are expected at kick-off.
Spain progressed to the knockout stage after winning Group H with seven points, finishing four clear of Cape Verde. They began the tournament with a goalless draw against Cape Verde before recording a 4-0 victory over Saudi Arabia and a 1-0 win against Uruguay.
La Roja then produced a convincing 3-0 victory over Austria in the Round of 32, followed by a 1-0 win against Portugal in the Round of 16 and a 2-1 success against Belgium in the quarter-finals.
Spain secured an impressive 2-0 victory over France at Dallas Stadium in the semi-finals. Luis de la Fuente's side registered two shots on target and enjoyed 51% possession, with Mikel Oyarzabal and Pedro Porro both finding the net.
Argentina advanced to the knockout stage with a perfect record in Group J, defeating Algeria 3-0, Austria 2-0 and Jordan 3-1.
La Albiceleste then beat Cabo Verde 3-2 after extra-time in the Round of 32 before recording another 3-2 victory against Egypt in the Round of 16. They defeated Switzerland 3-1 after extra-time in the quarter-finals.
Argentina secured their place in the final with a 2-1 victory over England at Atlanta Stadium. They enjoyed 63% possession and registered five shots on target, with Enzo Fernández and Lautaro Martínez scoring the goals.
Spain and Argentina Level at Six Wins Each Ahead of Final
Spain and Argentina have met 14 times, with the head-to-head record perfectly balanced at six wins apiece and two draws. Their most recent encounter came in a friendly in March 2018, when Spain recorded a commanding 6-1 home victory at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 1 |  Argentina |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 8:1 | 9 |
Spain have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 6.8 shots on goal and 18.4 attempts. La Roja have averaged 64.6% possession, 670.5 passes and 6.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.3 goals from 2.0 shots on goal, 6.7 attempts and 2.1 corners.
Top scorer is Mikel Oyarzabal on 9 goals, while Mikel Merino has racked up 4 and Pedro Porro 2. Leading assistor is Marc Cucurella with 3, while goalie Unai Simon has recorded 8 clean sheets.
Argentina have won 8, lost 1 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.3 goals from 13.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. Lionel Scaloni's men average 62.2% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 7.3 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal.
Lionel Messi has top scored with 10 goals, while Lautaro Martinez and Enzo Fernandez are next on 4 and 2. Lionel Messi has clocked up 4 assists, with Emiliano Martinez keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Spain confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon (GK), Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella, Rodri, Fabian Ruiz, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Alejandro Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Argentina confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Gonzalo Montiel, Cristian Romero, Lisandro Martinez, Nicolas Tagliafico, Rodrigo De Paul, Enzo Fernandez, Alexis Mac Allister, Nico Gonzalez, Lionel Messi, Julian Alvarez.
Main Match Prediction
Spain have looked stronger with every match as the tournament has progressed. They have conceded just one goal in seven World Cup matches, controlled possession with authority and carried a constant attacking threat through players such as Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal.
France were widely regarded as the title favourites before the semi-finals, but Spain produced a dominant display to defeat them. La Roja finished the match with 1.63 xG while restricting France to just 0.31 xG.
Defending world champions Argentina are an excellent side and possess plenty of attacking quality, led by Lionel Messi. However, when considering the latest statistics, xG data and recent performances, Spain look well placed to come out on top. We are therefore supporting La Roja at odds of 2.25 in the Full-Time Result market.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the World Cup form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
The top betting apps make it a 43.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 50% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Spain can be backed in different ways and you might find the odds more attractive when you check out the Asian Handicap or the Result & Both Teams to Score markets.
Don’t start wagering without checking our guide to the newest betting promo codes, best welcome bonuses and free bet offers.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Argentina
There are odds of +800 available that Spain land a 2-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Lionel Messi (Argentina) has covered the 3.5 shots total in five of his past eight matches. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of +138 up for grabs.
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) has registered nine goals in his past ten matches. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +160.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Argentina in five straight games. The Argentina Team Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of +104.
Spain
Argentina
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a bet builder that incorporates Spain to claim a victory, BTTS Yes together with Lionel Messi (Argentina) to record Over 3.5 shots.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Spain vs Argentina Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 44% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Spain are favourites to win the World Cup final and La Roja are available at +125 with the bookies. If you’re interested in wagering Argentina, you can get +270 for the underdog.
There are different betting angles when backing Spain including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -115 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Argentina.
The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all World Cup games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Lionel Messi at +400. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Spain Stats
Argentina Stats
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 2.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded and 1.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 64.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 65.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Spain vs Argentina Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Spain vs Argentina team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the World Cup, along with current injury news.
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Argentina Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Argentina Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Spain Substitutes
- 1David Raya
- 2Marc Pubill
- 3Alejandro Grimaldo
- 4Eric Garcia
- 5Marcos Llorente
- 6Mikel Merino
- 7Ferran Torres
- 9Gavi
- 11Yeremy Pino
- 13Joan Garcia
- 17Nico Williams
- 18Martin Zubimendi
- 20Pedri
- 25Victor Munoz
- 26Borja Iglesias
Argentina Substitutes
- 1Juan Musso
- 2Marcos Senesi
- 5Leandro Paredes
- 8Valentin Barco
- 11Giovani Lo Celso
- 12Geronimo Rulli
- 14Exequiel Palacios
- 16Thiago Almada
- 17Giuliano Simeone
- 18Nico Paz
- 19Nicolas Otamendi
- 21Jose Lopez
- 22Lautaro Martinez
- 25Facundo Medina
- 26Nahuel Molina
Previous Spain Lineups
Previous Argentina Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Spain Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis de la Fuente
Argentina Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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