Spain vs Belgium Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Jul 2026
Spain vs Belgium Predictions
We’re bullish about the chances of Spain when they go up against Belgium. La Roja look a value opportunity at -167 on the Full-Time Result market and we anticipate a return.
Read on for our full Spain vs Belgium betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Spain vs Belgium Preview
Spain take on Belgium in this FIFA World Cup quarter-final at Los Angeles Stadium (SoFi Stadium), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Friday 10 July.
Los Angeles Stadium is a canopy-roofed venue where sunny weather and a temperature of 27°C (81°F) are expected at kick-off.
Spain advanced to the knockout stages after winning Group H, finishing four points clear of Cape Verde. Their campaign began with a goalless draw against Cape Verde before a 4-0 victory over Saudi Arabia and a 1-0 win against Uruguay. In the Round of 32, Spain eased past Austria with a 3-0 victory.
Luis de la Fuente's side then defeated Portugal 1-0 at Dallas Stadium in the Round of 16. Spain enjoyed 56% possession and registered six shots on target, with Mikel Merino scoring the decisive late goal.
Belgium finished top of Group G, edging out Egypt on goal difference. The Red Devils opened with a 1-1 draw against Egypt before a goalless draw against Iran. A convincing 5-1 victory over New Zealand ensured they progressed as group winners and they followed that up with a 3-2 win against Senegal in the Round of 32.
At Seattle Stadium, Belgium produced an impressive display to beat co-hosts USA 4-1 in the Round of 16. They had 44% possession and recorded seven shots on target, with Charles De Ketelaere scoring twice while Hans Vanaken and Romelu Lukaku also got on the scoresheet.
Spain Hold Historical Edge Over Belgium
Spain and Belgium have met 23 times, with Spain winning 12, Belgium claiming five victories and six matches ending in draws. Their most recent meeting came in a 2016 friendly, when La Roja recorded a 2-0 away victory at King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 1 | Spain |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5:0 | 7 |
Spain have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals from 20.2 attempts and 7.7 shots on goal. La Roja have averaged 66.0% possession, 687.5 passes and 7.6 corners per game, conceding 0.2 goals and 2.1 corners from 6.5 attempts and 1.8 shots on goal.
Top scorer Mikel Oyarzabal has found the net 9 times, Mikel Merino 6, with Ferran Torres and Pedri both scoring 2. Mikel Oyarzabal has the most assists with 4, while goalie Unai Simon has recorded 9 clean sheets.
Belgium have 6 victories and 4 draws, averaging 18.6 attempts, 7.5 shots on goal and 3.1 goals. Rudi Garcia's side average 60.7% possession, 7.9 corners awarded and 3.3 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.9 attempts.
Kevin De Bruyne has top scored with 5, while Charles De Ketelaere and Jeremy Doku are next best on 4. Charles De Ketelaere, Alexis Saelemaekers and Jeremy Doku are top assists providers with 3, while Thibaut Courtois has recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Spain confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon (GK), Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella, Rodri, Fabian Ruiz, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Alejandro Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Belgium confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Timothy Castagne, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechele, Maxim De Cuyper, Hans Vanaken, Nicolas Raskin, Leandro Trossard, Kevin De Bruyne, Jeremy Doku, Charles De Ketelaere.
Main Match Prediction
We’re confident about a Spain victory in this quarter-final. We will wager the favourites at -167 and land some nice dividends if they manage to secure a win.
Even though Spain have not always played the most eye-catching football, they have looked very impressive so far. Their defence has been top quality, with La Roja yet to concede a goal in five games at the tournament.
With attacking options such as Lamine Yamal and Mikel Oyarzabal, Spain have the quality to gradually wear down an ageing Belgium side. A 1-0 or 2-0 win looks a realistic outcome here.
The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a World Cup verdict is reached.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 62.5% prospect of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
One way of backing Spain to win at bigger odds is by going for the Match Result & Total market where you can also bet over or under a specific number of goals being scored.
Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re going for Spain at +650 to secure a 2-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium) has totalled over 1.5 shots in five consecutive matches. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -102 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) has netted nine goals in his past ten games. There are odds of +114 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past nine games, Spain have covered the 5.5 corners line. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Spain Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -118 available.
Spain
Belgium
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Spain to succeed, No on the Both Teams to Score market merged with Spain to finish with over 5.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
Spain vs Belgium Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Spain are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this World Cup encounter. The -156 for them coming out on top suggests a 61% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to wager on the underdog, Belgium have been priced up at +450.
If Spain at -0.75 beat Belgium by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -128.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -147 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to World Cup games.
Mikel Oyarzabal is available at +128 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +360 to find the net first.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Spain Stats
Belgium Stats
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 2.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 1.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 66.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 64.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 home matches
Spain vs Belgium Lineups & Team News
The latest Spain vs Belgium team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the World Cup as well as the latest injury reports.
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Belgium Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Spain Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Belgium Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Spain Substitutes
- 1David Raya
- 2Marc Pubill
- 3Alejandro Grimaldo
- 4Eric Garcia
- 5Marcos Llorente
- 6Mikel Merino
- 7Ferran Torres
- 9Gavi
- 11Yeremy Pino
- 13Joan Garcia
- 17Nico Williams
- 18Martin Zubimendi
- 20Pedri
- 25Victor Munoz
- 26Borja Iglesias
Belgium Substitutes
- 3Arthur Theate
- 6Axel Witsel
- 9Romelu Lukaku
- 12Senne Lammens
- 13Mike Penders
- 14Dodi Lukebakio
- 15Thomas Meunier
- 16Koni De Winter
- 18Joaquin Seys
- 19Diego Moreira
- 22Alexis Saelemaekers
- 26M. Fernandez-Pardo
Previous Spain Lineups
Previous Belgium Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Spain Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Luis de la Fuente
Belgium Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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