Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Oct 2026
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Predictions
Ajax -1.25 at -116 look like an attractive wager on the Asian Handicap. The favourites will secure a return if a two goal winning margin or bigger is secured. A one goal victory would mean we get half the stake returned.
Continue below for our full Sparta vs Ajax betting breakdown, where you can read the complete analysis of our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Preview
Sparta Rotterdam take on Ajax at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, with kick-off set for 10:45 on Sunday 25 October.
Sparta Rotterdam landed a win when last in action. It was a 3-2 scoreline at home to Willem II at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel. Rogier Meijer's team recorded eight shots on target and had 50% possession, while Jens Toornstra, Lushendry Martes and Milan Zonneveld scored one goal apiece.
Ajax won their previous game 5-2. This win at Euroborg Stadion against FC Groningen was their fourth away victory on the bounce. The Sons of God recorded 50% possession and managed twelve shots on goal, while Julian Brandt and Jorthy Mokio both scored twice.
On Thursday night, Ajax triumphed 2-0 in the Europa Conference League at home to Atalanta.
H2H: 7 Ajax Victories in Last 10 Head-to-Head Battles
Ajax haven’t lost to Sparta in their past ten games. In the last encounter, home team Ajax claimed a 4-0 win at Johan Cruyff Arena. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Ajax wins along with three draws.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Ajax |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 27:12 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sp. Rotterdam |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16:22 | 9 |
2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts. Sparta have had 45.6% possession, 385.3 passes and 5.5 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 2.5 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 16.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.5 corners.
Milan Zonneveld leads the way with 7 goals, with Lushendry Martes and Marvin Young scoring 2 each. Bas Kuipers is the top assists maker with 3.
Ajax have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 3.2 goals from 8.2 shots on goal and 22.8 attempts. The Amsterdam outfit have averaged 62.4% possession, 595.4 passes, 7.1 corners taken and 3.0 corners against, while conceding 1.6 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts.
Julian Brandt is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while Tolu Arokodare and Davy Klaassen both have 4. Oscar Gloukh is top assists provider with 4, while Marc-Andre ter Stegen has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Sparta Rotterdam predicted lineup (5-4-1): Michael Brouwer (GK), Lushendry Martes, Marvin Young, Nick Verschuren, Bruno Martins Indi, Bas Kuipers, Robin van Cruijsen, Jens Toornstra, Cedric Hatenboer, Isaac Babadi, Milan Zonneveld.
Ajax predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Marc-Andre ter Stegen (GK), Lucas Rosa, Aaron Bouwman, Dies Janse, Owen Wijndal, Jorthy Mokio, Sofyan Amrabat, Davy Klaassen, Julian Brandt, Oscar Gloukh, Marcos Leonardo.
Main Match Prediction
Ajax should be able to triumph in this Eredivisie game and we’re wagering the away team on the Asian Handicap -1.25 at odds of -116. We’re expecting an authoratitive performance from them.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Eredivisie injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 53.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There are ways of betting on Ajax to win by a certain number of goals thanks to the Winning Margin market, with this being a nice alternative to Asian Handicap.
Maximize your next wager by exploring our top betting offers filled with welcome bonuses, promos, and the best free bets.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
3
Ajax
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Ajax winning 3-1. Odds of +700 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Julian Brandt (Ajax) has fired over 1.5 shots on goal in back-to-back Eredivisie games on the road. There is odds of +145 on offer for this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Davy Klaassen (Ajax) has registered four goals in his past ten Eredivisie games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +190 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen an average of 6.40 corners for Sparta Rotterdam in their past five games, while Ajax have let the opposition have a corner average of 6.80 in the last ten away matches. We think it’s possible that Sparta will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -103 available.
Sparta
Ajax
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: Ajax with an Asian Handicap of -1.25, Yes on the BTTS market accompanied by Julian Brandt (Ajax) to finish with over 1.5 shots on target.
It’s now possible to place a bet builder on each individual football game. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have Ajax at -227 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 69% likely to win this Eredivisie encounter according to the latest betting odds. Sparta Rotterdam are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +480.
Should you want to back Ajax to lead at the break, then there is -123 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents Sparta have been chalked up at +380 and the draw is +170.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -238.
The best football betting sites cover Eredivisie games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
There is -120 available that Tolu Arokodare finds the net at any stage. He is available at +330 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Stats: Last 10 Eredivisie matches only.
Sparta have four draws, four defeats and two wins in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
Ajax are unbeaten over their previous eight games on the road. The Sons of God have collected six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 2.30 goals per match and conceding 0.70.
The past meeting at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel saw Sparta draw 3-3 with Ajax. We’ve seen five of 7 H2H meetings at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel go the way of Ajax, with two draws also taking place.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam Home Stats |
2-4-4 | 3.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | |
| Ajax Away Stats |
6-3-1 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 0.70 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Eredivisie: 14/03 2026 Ajax 4 Sparta Rotterdam 0
- Eredivisie: 04/10 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 3 Ajax 3
- Eredivisie: 27/04 2025 Ajax 1 Sparta Rotterdam 1
- Eredivisie: 22/12 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 0 Ajax 2
- Eredivisie: 17/03 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 2 Ajax 2
- Eredivisie: 09/12 2023 Ajax 2 Sparta Rotterdam 1
- Eredivisie: 19/02 2023 Ajax 4 Sparta Rotterdam 0
- Eredivisie: 21/08 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 0 Ajax 1
- Eredivisie: 09/04 2022 Ajax 2 Sparta Rotterdam 1
- Eredivisie: 28/11 2021 Sparta Rotterdam 0 Ajax 1
Sparta Rotterdam League Stats
Ajax League Stats
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 6.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 62.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Sparta Rotterdam this season are Milan Zonneveld (6), Lushendry Martes (2), Marvin Young (2)
- Top Assistors for Sparta Rotterdam this season are Bas Kuipers (3), Isaac Babadi (2), Shunsuke Mito (2)
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Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Lineups & Team News
Sparta Rotterdam Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Sparta Rotterdam Predicted Lineup 5-4-1
Ajax Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Sparta Rotterdam Lineups
Previous Ajax Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sparta Rotterdam Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Rogier Meijer
Ajax Player Stats & Squad
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31:10 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead E. | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:26 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Sp. Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Go Ahead E. | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 11 |
| 3 | PSV | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 10 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 8 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Groningen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:11 | 7 |
| 8 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 9 | Sp. Rotterdam | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 10 | Den Haag | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 14 | NEC Nijmegen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:14 | 3 |
| 17 | Telstar | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 1 |
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