St. Pauli vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Mainz

St. Pauli take on Mainz at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 3 May.

We believe that Mainz are a solid wager at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap when they meet St. Pauli. This selection offers plenty of appeal at odds of -128 and there is money back if the game is drawn.

St. Pauli were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Heidenheim at Voith-Arena. Alexander Blessin's team boasted 55% possession and had two shots on target.

Mainz 05 were beaten 4-3 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Bayern Munich at MEWA Arena. The 05ers had just 29% possession and recorded eleven shots on goal, with Dominik Kohr, Paul Nebel and Sheraldo Becker finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mainz have avoided defeat against St. Pauli in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw at MEWA Arena. The previous 3 H2H meetings have featured two Mainz wins and one draw.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Mainz 05	31	8	10	13	39	49	-10	39:49	34
16	St. Pauli	31	6	8	17	26	53	-27	26:53	26

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 9.1 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. St. Pauli have had 41.2% possession, 397.9 passes and 3.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 12.6 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.4 corners.

Mathias Pereira Lage is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Karol Mets, Danel Sinani, Hauke Wahl and Joel Chima Fujita each have 1. Leading assistor is Manolis Saliakas with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets.

Mainz have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Urs Fischer's side have averaged 40.6% possession, 345.6 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Paul Nebel has scored 4 goals, followed by Sheraldo Becker, Nadiem Amiri, Phillip Tietz and Jae-Sung Lee on 2. Sheraldo Becker, Phillipp Mwene and Danny da Costa have clocked up 2 assists, with Daniel Batz keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli predicted lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Manolis Saliakas, Mathias Rasmussen, Jackson Irvine, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Andreas Hountondji.

Mainz predicted lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.

St. Pauli vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of St. Pauli vs Mainz with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Mainz 0.0 on the Asian Handicap look really appealing when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter. The odds of -128 offer plenty of appeal and we’re expecting a bright display from the visitors.

The Bundesliga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key St. Pauli vs Mainz league stats:

• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in any of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in any of their last 3 games against Mainz.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Back Mainz to cover the line in a combination with other selections.

Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -128 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 1, 15:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 0 - 1 Mainz

We’re betting on Mainz to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +600 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nadiem Amiri Over 1.5 Shots -143

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has totalled over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Bundesliga matches away from home. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -143 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+850

Shots

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

---

Paul Nebel to Score +350

Paul Nebel (Mainz) has managed four goals in his past ten Bundesliga matches. We’re happy to take the +350 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Paul Nebel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli To Have Most Corners -100

St. Pauli have had an average of 4.70 corners in the past 10 home matches, with Mainz averaging 2.90 corners in their previous 10 away games. St. Pauli should be capable of winning this Corner Match Bet and the odds of -100 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

9.10 3.70 5.40

Home

9.30 4.70 4.60

Away

10.20 3.90 6.30

Mainz

Total

9.20 4.40 4.80

Home

10.50 6.90 3.60

Away

8.70 2.90 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-118

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-114

Mainz Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-122

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+650

2

+105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

St. Pauli vs Mainz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Mainz 05 are +160 to come out on top, while St. Pauli are +180. The draw is available at +215 if you expect the clash to finish level.

Should you want to back Mainz to lead at the break, then there is +225 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents St. Pauli have been chalked up at +235 and the draw is +107.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+215

2

+160

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

+107

2

+225

Double Chance

1X

-213

12

-286

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-111

2

-128

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-149

2 Hcp -0.25

+120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-112

You will find Phillip Tietz at +650 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +260 that he finds the net at anytime.

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+107

Under 2.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Stefan Bell (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

St. Pauli have failed to win in their last four matches at Millerntor-Stadion. Alexander Blessin's team have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Mainz are unbeaten over their previous four games on the road. The 05ers have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Mainz enjoyed a 3-0 winning scoreline when last meeting St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		3-4-3	2.20	0.90	1.30	5	5	6	4
Mainz Away Stats		3-4-3	3.10	1.30	1.80	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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St. Pauli vs Mainz Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest St. Pauli vs Mainz team news before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

St. Pauli Team Page Mainz 05 Team Page

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