St. Pauli vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2026

Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Mainz

St. Pauli take on Mainz at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Sunday 3 May.

We believe that Mainz are a solid wager at 0.0 on the Asian Handicap when they meet St. Pauli. This selection offers plenty of appeal at odds of -128 and there is money back if the game is drawn.

St. Pauli were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Heidenheim at Voith-Arena. Alexander Blessin's team boasted 55% possession and had two shots on target.

Mainz 05 were beaten 4-3 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Bayern Munich at MEWA Arena. The 05ers had just 29% possession and recorded eleven shots on goal, with Dominik Kohr, Paul Nebel and Sheraldo Becker finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Mainz have avoided defeat against St. Pauli in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 0-0 draw at MEWA Arena. The previous 3 H2H meetings have featured two Mainz wins and one draw.

Bundesliga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Mainz 05	33	9	10	14	42	53	-11	42:53	37
18	St. Pauli	33	6	8	19	28	57	-29	28:57	26

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 9.1 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal. St. Pauli have had 41.2% possession, 397.9 passes and 3.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 12.6 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.4 corners.

Mathias Pereira Lage is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Karol Mets, Danel Sinani, Hauke Wahl and Joel Chima Fujita each have 1. Leading assistor is Manolis Saliakas with 2, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has 2 clean sheets.

Mainz have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.9 attempts. Urs Fischer's side have averaged 40.6% possession, 345.6 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts.

Paul Nebel has scored 4 goals, followed by Sheraldo Becker, Nadiem Amiri, Phillip Tietz and Jae-Sung Lee on 2. Sheraldo Becker, Phillipp Mwene and Danny da Costa have clocked up 2 assists, with Daniel Batz keeping one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Andreas Hountondji.

Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Nadiem Amiri, Phillipp Mwene, Sheraldo Becker, Phillip Tietz.

St. Pauli vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of St. Pauli vs Mainz with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Mainz 0.0 on the Asian Handicap look really appealing when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter. The odds of -128 offer plenty of appeal and we’re expecting a bright display from the visitors.

The Bundesliga experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key St. Pauli vs Mainz league stats:

• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in any of their last 5 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by St. Pauli in any of their last 3 games against Mainz.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 56.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to land a big potential return from a small stake, then a Bet Builder could be the way to go. Back Mainz to cover the line in a combination with other selections.

Before you dive in, check our guide for the newest betting promotions and generous sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Mainz Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -128 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 1, 15:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

St. Pauli 0 - 1 Mainz

We’re betting on Mainz to secure a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +650 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nadiem Amiri Over 1.5 Shots -143

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has totalled over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Bundesliga matches away from home. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -143 when it comes to this Player Shots wager.

Latest Nadiem Amiri Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

---

Paul Nebel to Score +350

Paul Nebel (Mainz) has managed four goals in his past ten Bundesliga matches. We’re happy to take the +350 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Paul Nebel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+800

Shots

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

St. Pauli To Have Most Corners -100

St. Pauli have had an average of 4.70 corners in the past 10 home matches, with Mainz averaging 2.90 corners in their previous 10 away games. St. Pauli should be capable of winning this Corner Match Bet and the odds of -100 look value.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

St. Pauli

Total

9.10 3.70 5.40

Home

9.30 4.70 4.60

Away

10.20 3.90 6.30

Mainz

Total

9.20 4.40 4.80

Home

10.50 6.90 3.60

Away

8.70 2.90 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

-106

St. Pauli Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-154

Mainz Corners

Over 4.5

+104

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

+102

X

+600

2

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

St. Pauli vs Mainz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Mainz 05 are +155 to come out on top, while St. Pauli are +180. The draw is available at +220 if you expect the clash to finish level.

Should you want to back Mainz to lead at the break, then there is +220 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents St. Pauli have been chalked up at +235 and the draw is +110.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -132.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Bundesliga game. Each of the leading football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+180

X

+220

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+235

X

+110

2

+220

Double Chance

1X

-204

12

-294

X2

-238

Draw No Bet

1

-109

2

-130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-147

2 Hcp -0.25

+118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-139

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-132

No

-103

You will find Phillip Tietz at +600 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +250 that he finds the net at anytime.

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

William Bøving (Mainz)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Phillip Tietz (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Nelson Weiper (Mainz)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Ricky-Jade Jones (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Andréas Hountondji (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Danel Sinani (St. Pauli)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Jae-sung Lee (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Joel Chima Fujita (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

William Bøving (Mainz)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Armindo Sieb (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Paul Nebel (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Nadiem Amiri (Mainz)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Louis Oppie (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Silvan Widmer (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Mathias Rasmussen (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Dominik Kohr (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Anthony Caci (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Danny Da Costa (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Arkadiusz Pyrka (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Mainz)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Adam Dźwigała (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Eric Smith (St. Pauli)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-

Nikolas Veratschnig (Mainz)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

St. Pauli have failed to win in their last four matches at Millerntor-Stadion. Alexander Blessin's team have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Mainz are unbeaten over their previous four games on the road. The 05ers have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Mainz enjoyed a 3-0 winning scoreline when last meeting St. Pauli at Millerntor-Stadion.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
St. Pauli Home Stats		3-4-3	2.20	0.90	1.30	5	5	6	4
Mainz Away Stats		3-4-3	3.10	1.30	1.80	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

St. Pauli vs Mainz Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest St. Pauli vs Mainz team news before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

St. Pauli Team Page Mainz 05 Team Page

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