St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 May 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg
St. Pauli host Wolfsburg in this Bundesliga relegation battle at Millerntor-Stadion, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 16 May.
Wolfsburg are on offer at betting odds of -112 and we can approach this Asian Handicap 0.0 wager with confidence against St. Pauli. Our stake will be returned if the clash ends all square.
St. Pauli, Wolfsburg and Heidenheim are all tied on 26 points heading into the final round, with only one of the three guaranteed Bundesliga survival.
Bottom-of-the-table St. Pauli have been defeated in their last three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-1 loss against RB Leipzig at Red Bull Arena. Alexander Blessin's team recorded just 30% possession and had three shots on target, with Abdoulie Ceesay registering the goal.
Third-from-bottom Wolfsburg were beaten in their previous game, losing 1-0 at home to Bundesliga champions Bayern Munich at Volkswagen Arena. The Wolves were restricted to just 31% possession and had four shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Wolfsburg have gone unbeaten in their past three meetings with St. Pauli. In their last encounter, hosts Wolfsburg came out with a 2-1 win at Volkswagen Arena. The previous 3 H2H games have featured two draws and one Wolfsburg victory.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wolfsburg |
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 18 | St. Pauli |
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 29:60 | 26 |
St. Pauli have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.6 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. The Kiezkickers have averaged 42.0% possession, 398.7 passes and 4.5 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.7 goals from 5.3 shots on goal, 13.8 attempts and 5.1 corners.
Abdoulie Ceesay and Mathias Pereira Lage are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Karol Mets has 1. Jackson Irvine, Martijn Kaars and Hauke Wahl are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Nikola Vasilj has kept 2 clean sheets.
Wolfsburg have 1 victory, 6 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.9 shots on goal, 11.3 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Lower Saxony side average 42.1% possession, 366.5 passes, 5.6 corners awarded and 6.9 corners against, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 16.3 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal.
The top scorers have been Konstantinos Koulierakis, Dzenan Pejcinovic and Christian Eriksen, with 2 goals apiece. Christian Eriksen has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Kamil Grabara has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
St. Pauli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Nikola Vasilj (GK), Tomoya Ando, Hauke Wahl, Adam Dzwigala, Arkadiusz Pyrka, Jackson Irvine, Joel Chima Fujita, Louis Oppie, Connor Metcalfe, Martijn Kaars, Andreas Hountondji.
Wolfsburg confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Kamil Grabara (GK), Jeanuel Belocian, Denis Vavro, Konstantinos Koulierakis, Sael Kumbedi, Mattias Svanberg, Vini Souza, Christian Eriksen, Joakim Maehle, Adam Daghim, Dzenan Pejcinovic.
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Match Prediction
The Asian Handicap provides the opportunity to back Wolfsburg at 0.0 for this Bundesliga clash. Betting odds of -112 can be taken, with this pick offering plenty of value.
Sportsgambler.com boast Bundesliga expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg league stats:
If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 52.9% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
There is regularly the choice to sell goals which potentially provides the chance to secure a larger return. Alternatively, buying goals is a safer option at skinnier odds.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +900 and it involves Wolfsburg winning 1-0. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Dzenan Pejcinovic (Wolfsburg) has had over 2.5 shots in his past two Bundesliga games. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get -147 that he goes over the line.
Adam Daghim (Wolfsburg) can be backed at +300 to be among the goals. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
St. Pauli have had over 5.5 corners in two consecutive home games, while the previous 5 Wolfsburg away matches have seen them concede an average of 9.40 corners. There’s everything to like about the St. Pauli Team Corners line which looks low and we’d expect them to go over at -103.
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder always adds excitement and the picks are Wolfsburg with the 0.0 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals in total as well as St. Pauli to rack up over 5.5 corners.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can get betting odds of +135 for Wolfsburg winning this Bundesliga clash and the bookies have St. Pauli available at +170. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +260.
Wolfsburg and St. Pauli can be backed at +195 and +215 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +133.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -185 on the Both Teams to Score market.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Bundesliga match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
There’s the chance to back Dzenan Pejcinovic at +480 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Stats: Bundesliga matches only
St. Pauli have failed to win in their last five matches at Millerntor-Stadion. The Kiezkickers have clocked up four draws, three victories and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
Wolfsburg have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.80.
St. Pauli were involved in a 0-0 draw when last meeting Wolfsburg at Millerntor-Stadion.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Pauli Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Wolfsburg Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 4.20 | 1.40 | 2.80 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
St. Pauli League Stats
Wolfsburg League Stats
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 6.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 8.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 12.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 42.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for St. Pauli this season are Danel Sinani (5), Andreas Hountondji (4), Martijn Kaars (3)
- Top Assistors for St. Pauli this season are Danel Sinani (3), Joel Chima Fujita (3), Manolis Saliakas (3)
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg before you bet. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with up-to-date injury news.
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wolfsburg Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
St Pauli Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wolfsburg Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
St Pauli Substitutes
- 1Ben Alexander Voll
- 3Karol Mets
- 9Abdoulie Ceesay
- 10Danel Sinani
- 14Fin Stevens
- 18Taichi Hara
- 20Mathias Rasmussen
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 26Ricky-Jade Jones
Wolfsburg Substitutes
- 7Kento Shiogai
- 9Mohamed Amoura
- 10Lovro Majer
- 12Pavao Pervan
- 15Moritz Jenz
- 19Jesper Lindstroem
- 25Aaron Zehnter
- 31Yannick Gerhardt
- 40Kevin Paredes
Previous St. Pauli Lineups
Previous Wolfsburg Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
St. Pauli Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alexander Blessin
Wolfsburg Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68:19 | 44 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40:16 | 41 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30:16 | 39 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40:20 | 38 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35:21 | 32 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
| 8 | Augsburg | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:28 | 26 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:27 | 25 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 11 | B. M'gladbach | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 24 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 22 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 19 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:31 | 19 |
| 15 | Mainz 05 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:37 | 17 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:31 | 17 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21:32 | 10 |
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