Sweden vs Poland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2026
Sweden vs Poland Predictions
Let’s take a chance on the BTTS Yes option when it comes to Sweden and Poland clashing. We really like the -154 that is available and feel confident that the teams can both find the net.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Sweden vs Poland, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Sweden vs Poland Preview
Sweden host Poland at Strawberry Arena, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 28 September.
Sweden landed a win when last in action. It was a 2-1 scoreline at home to Romania at Strawberry Arena in the Nations League. Graham Potter's team had the majority of the ball boasting 60% possession and four shots on target, while Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyoekeres scored one goal apiece.
Poland drew 0-0 in their previous game. This was at home in the Nations League against Bosnia-Herzegovina at National Stadium, Warszawa. The Eagles were 50% in the possession stakes and managed four shots on goal.
H2H: 3-2 Win for Sweden in Last Head-to-Head Clash
These two teams last met at Strawberry Arena, with Sweden claiming the home Europe World Cup Qualification win. Beating Poland by a 3-2 scoreline. The previous 3 H2H meetings have involved two Sweden triumphs and just one win for Poland.
| Nations League B | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Poland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7:4 | 4 |
Sweden have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. The Blue and Yellow have averaged 48.0% possession, 429.1 passes and 4.7 corners per game, conceding 2.0 goals and 4.4 corners from 11.7 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Top scorer Viktor Gyoekeres has found the net 6 times, Anthony Elanga 3, with Alexander Isak and Yasin Ayari both scoring 2. Alexander Isak is the top assists maker with 3.
Poland have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 15.7 attempts, 5.9 shots on goal and 1.7 goals. Jan Urban's side average 49.7% possession, 436.1 passes, 5.8 corners in their favour and 3.4 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 3.2 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts.
Robert Lewandowski got 4 goals, Karol Swiderski notched 3, while Piotr Zielinski and two other players scored 2. Piotr Zielinski, Sebastian Szymanski and Robert Lewandowski have clocked up 3 assists, with Lukasz Skorupski keeping 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Sweden confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Daniel Svensson, Carl Starfelt, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Patrik Waalemark, Lucas Bergvall, Yasin Ayari, Besfort Zeneli, Benjamin Nygren, Viktor Gyoekeres.
Poland confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Marcin Bulka (GK), Przemyslaw Wisniewski, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Matty Cash, Wiktor Nowak, Piotr Zielinski, Tymoteusz Puchacz, Sebastian Szymanski, Mateusz Zukowski, Nicola Zalewski.
Main Match Prediction
The teams both look good to find the net when it comes to this Nations League showdown and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. We can land odds of -154 for this outcome and that’s an appealing price.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Nations League data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 60.6% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you are looking for more juice, BTTS Yes can be combined with Over 2.5 Goals. A wager on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market gives you two similar picks at slightly bigger odds.
Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Poland
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +575 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Piotr Zielinski (Poland) has finished with over 1.5 shots in five consecutive matches. We recommend backing the +130 that he is able to cover the line, with this Player Shots wager hopefully providing a return.
Robert Lewandowski (Poland) has netted three goals in his past six games. We’re content to land the +165 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Sweden have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in three consecutive home matches, with Poland conceding under 4.5 corners in their past seven games. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of +105 that Sweden come up short when it comes to the Team Corners line.
Sweden
Poland
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
It’s great fun to place a bet builder and our picks are BTTS Yes, Poland to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap and also Sweden to record under 4.5 corners.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Sweden vs Poland Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a roughly 53% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their -112 betting odds for Sweden winning this Nations League clash. If you want to back the outsider, Poland are available at +280.
Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Sweden -0.5 at -118 should you want to go for the favourites, with Poland +0.5 available at -112 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.
Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -179.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Nations League matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Viktor Gyökeres is available at -114 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +275 to find the net first.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Sweden Stats
Poland Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Sweden vs Poland Lineups & Team News
The latest Sweden vs Poland team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Poland Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Poland Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Sweden Substitutes
- 1Noel Toernqvist
- 2Gustaf Lagerbielke
- 4Elliot Stroud
- 6John Mellberg
- 9Paulos Abraham
- 13Williot Swedberg
- 14Hampus Skoglund
- 16Jesper Karlstroem
- 19Sebastian Nanasi
- 20Hugo Larsson
- 21A. Bernhardsson
- 23Melker Ellborg
Poland Substitutes
- 4Tomasz Kedziora
- 6Bartosz Slisz
- 7Wojciech Monka
- 8Kacper Urbanski
- 9Robert Lewandowski
- 11Karol Swiderski
- 12Mateusz Kochalski
- 17Michal Skoras
- 18Marcel Regula
- 19P. Frankowski
- 22Slawomir Abramowicz
- 23Kacper Potulski
Previous Sweden Lineups
Previous Poland Lineups
Sweden Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Graham Potter
Poland Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
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