Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jun 2026
FIFA World Cup Betting Preview: Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden and Tunisia meet in this FIFA World Cup Group F encounter at Monterrey Stadium (Estadio BBVA), with kick-off set for 22:00 on Sunday 14 June.
Group F also features the Netherlands and Japan. The Netherlands are the bookies' favourites to win the group, while Japan and Sweden appear the main contenders for second place. Tunisia are considered the least likely side to advance.
The stats may favour Tunisia, but we really fancy Sweden to win at -111 in the Full-Time Result market. Graham Potter has gone back to basics in his first matches as Sweden head coach, playing to the team's strengths with a counter-attacking style that has already delivered success in the UEFA play-offs.
With top strikers Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres leading the attack and the likes of Anthony Elanga and Lucas Bergvall ready to make an impact from the bench, we believe Sweden will have too much quality for Tunisia.
Tunisia enjoyed an outstanding qualifying campaign, but it came against opposition such as Namibia, Liberia, Malawi, Equatorial Guinea and São Tomé and Príncipe. Sweden will provide a significantly tougher test.
Sweden endured a disastrous qualifying campaign under former head coach Jon Dahl Tomasson, finishing bottom of their group behind Switzerland, Kosovo and Slovenia. The Blue and Yellow collected just two points and scored only four goals in six matches.
However, their UEFA Nations League performances earned them a second chance. Under new manager Graham Potter, Sweden secured a place at the World Cup through the UEFA play-offs in March, beating Ukraine 3-1 in the semi-finals before edging past Poland 3-2 at home in the final. The Swedes recorded just 36% possession and had five shots on target against Poland, while Anthony Elanga, Gustaf Lagerbielke and Viktor Gyoekeres scored one goal each.
In their final preparations for the tournament, Sweden lost 3-1 away to Norway in Oslo before drawing 2-2 with Greece in Stockholm.
Tunisia qualified for the World Cup by winning their group, finishing 13 points clear of Namibia and Liberia. The Eagles of Carthage made football history during the campaign by becoming the first team ever to reach a World Cup without conceding a single goal in qualifying. Tunisia won nine matches and drew one, ending with a remarkable 22-0 goal difference.
Tunisia's last competitive outing came in the Africa Cup of Nations round of 16 on 3 January 2026, where they suffered a penalty shootout defeat to Mali after a 1-1 draw following extra time at Stade Mohammed V. They enjoyed 72% possession and recorded four shots on target, with Firas Chaouat finding the net.
Tunisia have played four friendlies in 2026, recording a 1-0 win over Haiti and a goalless draw against Canada in the spring. In their final preparations for the World Cup, Sabri Lamouchi's side lost 1-0 away to Austria in Vienna before suffering a 5-0 defeat against Belgium in Brussels.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Sweden and Tunisia have met three times previously, with Sweden winning twice and Tunisia once. Their most recent encounter came in a friendly match in 2003, which Tunisia won 1-0.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Sweden |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 |  Tunisia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2:12 | 0 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. Sweden have had 52.7% possession and 5.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.
Viktor Gyoekeres is the top scorer with 9 goals, while Anthony Elanga and Dejan Kulusevski each have 2. The top assist makers are Benjamin Nygren, Yasin Ayari and Viktor Gyoekeres, all of whom have 2 on the board.
Tunisia have 1 victory, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 2.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts. The Eagles of Carthage have averaged 56.3% possession, 464.5 passes, 6.8 corners taken and 3.0 corners against, while conceding 2.3 goals from 2.3 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.
Elias Achouri is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Firas Chaouat, Ismael Gharbi, Montassar Talbi and Ali Abdi have 1. Hannibal Mejbri has been the top assist maker with 2 in the last 4 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Sweden confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Kristoffer Nordfeldt (GK), Gustaf Lagerbielke, Isak Hien, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Alexander Bernhardsson, Jesper Karlstroem, Yasin Ayari, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Benjamin Nygren, Viktor Gyoekeres, Alexander Isak.
Tunisia confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Abdelmouhib Chamakh (GK), Omar Rekik, Montassar Talbi, Amine Ben Hamida, Yan Valery, Rani Khedira, Ellyes Skhiri, Hannibal Mejbri, Ali Abdi, Elias Saad, Anis Ben Slimane.
Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Sweden vs Tunisia with confidence as we bring you our expert match prediction, projected scoreline, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.
Match Prediction
Sweden can’t be ignored when they play this Group F clash, especially as odds of -111 are available for this prediction. Head to the betting sites to back the Blue and Yellow.
Our football betting picks come from having access to off-the-press team news along with going through the World Cup form guide. It’s also important to identify the key stats.
Key Sweden vs Tunisia stats:
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 52.6% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. This is why we can recommend this wager.
If you’re expecting Sweden to win but also think they’ll keep a clean sheet, then it stands to reason to back the bigger odds on the Result + Both Teams to Score No market.
Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Tunisia
Let’s take a chance on the +540 available for Sweden to secure a 1-0 victory. We think the Blue and Yellow are the stronger side here and there’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden) can be backed to cover the shots on goal line at +143. The odds look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll take a chance on him on the Shots on Target market.
Anthony Elanga (Sweden) has registered two goals in his past six games. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +300 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a bet builder that has Sweden to succeed, less than three goals to be registered merged with Viktor Gyökeres (Sweden) to manage over 1.5 shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
Sweden vs Tunisia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Sweden are available at -123 to come away with a triumph in this World Cup clash, meaning a 55% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. At +360, Tunisia are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
Sweden are -127 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on Tunisia +0.5 at +102, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you want to wager BTTS Yes or BTTS No, then -118 is available for each of these picks.
It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever World Cup game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.
Viktor Gyökeres is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +340, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Sweden Stats
Tunisia Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.75 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 4 matches
- An average of 6.33 corners awarded and 3.33 corners against in the last 3 away matches
- An average of 9.75 corners awarded in the last 4 matches
- An average of 9.67 corners awarded in the last 3 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 0 of the last 4 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 0 of the last 3 away matches
- An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Sweden vs Tunisia Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Sweden vs Tunisia before you bet. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Sweden Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Sweden Substitutes
- 1J. W. Zetterstroem
- 6Herman Johansson
- 7Lucas Bergvall
- 8Daniel Svensson
- 11Anthony Elanga
- 12Viktor Johansson
- 13Ken Sema
- 14Hjalmar Ekdal
- 15Carl Starfelt
- 19Mattias Svanberg
- 20Eric Smith
- 22Besfort Zeneli
- 24Elliot Stroud
- 25Gustaf Nilsson
- 26Taha Abdi Ali
Tunisia Substitutes
- 5Adem Arous
- 6Dylan Bronn
- 7Elias Achouri
- 9Hazem Mastouri
- 11Ismael Gharbi
- 12Mortadha Ben Ouanes
- 14Khalil Ayari
- 15Hadj Mahmoud
- 16Aymen Dahmen
- 18Rayan Elloumi
- 19Firas Chaouat
- 22Sabri Ben Hessen
- 23Moutaz Neffati
- 24Raed Chikhaoui
- 26Sebastian Tounekti
Previous Sweden Lineups
Previous Tunisia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Sweden Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Graham Potter
Tunisia Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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