Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jun 2026
Tunisia vs Netherlands Predictions
Netherlands could land a nice victory against Tunisia and it means we’ll take the favourites -2.25 at odds of -112 on the Asian Handicap. We need a three goal victory or bigger for a full return, with half our stake back for a two-goal margin.
Continue reading for our full Tunisia vs Netherlands betting analysis, outlining the core arguments for our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Tunisia vs Netherlands Preview
Tunisia take on Netherlands in this FIFA World Cup Group F clash at Kansas City Stadium (Arrowhead Stadium), with kick-off set for 19:00 on Thursday 25 June.
The Netherlands top the group on goal difference ahead of Japan, while Tunisia have no chance of reaching the knockout stages after suffering two heavy defeats.
Kansas City Stadium is an open-air venue where rain showers and a temperature of 22°C (72°F) are expected at kick-off.
Tunisia opened their World Cup campaign with a 5-1 defeat to Sweden before suffering a 4-0 loss to Japan at Monterrey Stadium. The Eagles of Carthage managed just 38% possession and failed to register a single shot on target against the Samurai Blue.
The Netherlands began the tournament with a 2-2 draw against Japan before thrashing Sweden 5-1 at Houston Stadium. The Oranje enjoyed 52% possession and recorded seven shots on target, with Brian Brobbey and Cody Gakpo both scoring twice.
Both Previous Meetings Ended in Draws
The teams have played each other twice, with both meetings ending in draws. The most recent encounter was a friendly in 2009 that finished 1-1.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 4 |  Tunisia |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 2:12 | 0 |
Tunisia have 1 win, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts. The Eagles of Carthage have averaged 53.8% possession, 434.0 passes and 5.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 3.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 10.5 attempts and 3.5 corners.
Top goalscorer Elias Achouri has found the net 2 times, with Omar Rekik, Firas Chaouat, Ismael Gharbi and Montassar Talbi scoring 1 each. Hannibal Mejbri has made the most assists with 3.
Netherlands have 7 victories and 3 draws, with an average of 3.4 goals from 13.0 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal. Ronald Koeman's team average 64.9% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against them, while conceding 0.7 goals from 7.0 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.
Memphis Depay has top scored with 8 goals, while Cody Gakpo and Donyell Malen are next on 6 and 4. Memphis Depay, Denzel Dumfries and Cody Gakpo have had 5 assists in the last 10 games, while Bart Verbruggen has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Tunisia confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Aymen Dahmen (GK), Montassar Talbi, Ellyes Skhiri, Amine Ben Hamida, Yan Valery, Ali Abdi, Anis Ben Slimane, Ismael Gharbi, Rani Khedira, Hannibal Mejbri, Hazem Mastouri.
Netherlands confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Denzel Dumfries, Jan Paul van Hecke, Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Ake, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reijnders, Donyell Malen, Brian Brobbey, Cody Gakpo.
Main Match Prediction
Netherlands -2.25 is available at -112 and we feel confident the favourites can record a big win in this Group F encounter. The odds look more than fair for this Asian Handicap selection.
Tunisia have little to play for and come into this match after three straight defeats by a four-goal margin. The Netherlands, meanwhile, still have plenty at stake as they battle Japan for top spot on goal difference, so a big win for the Oranje looks firmly on the cards.
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the World Cup form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 52.9% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
Want to back Netherlands to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.
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Correct Score Prediction
0
-
4
Netherlands
There could be merit in backing Netherlands to win 4-0. Odds of +650 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Brian Brobbey (Netherlands) can be backed to have at least two shot on goal at -104. We’ll have a play when it comes to this Shots on Target selection as the betting odds look appealing.
Cody Gakpo (Netherlands) has found the net in three of his past five games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of -164.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
There’s everything to like about this same-game multi including Netherlands with an Asian Handicap of -2.25, No on the BTTS market combined with Brian Brobbey (Netherlands) to have a minimum of two shots on target.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Tunisia vs Netherlands Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Netherlands are trading as the gigantic -909 favourites for this World Cup encounter. This means the bookmakers give them a 90% probability of winning. Tunisia are the rank outsiders at +2500 which suggests a low likelihood of winning.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Netherlands available at -294 and Tunisia at +1300. The third option is the draw which is priced at +245.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you think this points to a low-scoring or one-sided affair, then BTTS No could be an option at -213.
Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the World Cup matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.
Favourite Cody Gakpo is now available at +280 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Tunisia Stats
Netherlands Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.33 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 6 matches
- An average of 4.67 corners awarded and 3.67 corners against in the last 3 home matches
- An average of 8.83 corners awarded in the last 6 matches
- An average of 8.33 corners awarded in the last 3 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 2 of the last 6 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.83% possession in the last 6 matches
- An average of 42.00% possession in the last 3 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 6 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 3 home matches
Tunisia vs Netherlands Lineups & Team News
Always review the Tunisia vs Netherlands team news before locking in your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Tunisia Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Tunisia Substitutes
- 1Abdelmouhib Chamakh
- 4Omar Rekik
- 6Dylan Bronn
- 7Elias Achouri
- 8Elias Saad
- 12Mortadha Ben Ouanes
- 14Khalil Ayari
- 15Hadj Mahmoud
- 18Rayan Elloumi
- 19Firas Chaouat
- 22Sabri Ben Hessen
- 24Raed Chikhaoui
- 26Sebastian Tounekti
Netherlands Substitutes
- 2Lutsharel Geertruida
- 3Marten de Roon
- 7Justin Kluivert
- 9Wout Weghorst
- 10Memphis Depay
- 12Mats Wieffer
- 13Robin Roefs
- 15Micky van de Ven
- 16Guus Til
- 17Noa Lang
- 20Teun Koopmeiners
- 23Mark Flekken
- 24C. Summerville
- 25Jorrel Hato
- 26Quinten Timber
Previous Tunisia Lineups
Previous Netherlands Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Tunisia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Herve Renard
Netherlands Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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