Turkey vs USA Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jun 2026
Turkey vs USA Predictions
There’s every chance that the United States can beat Turkey and we’ll happily back them on the Full-Time Result market. Grab the odds of -122 with confidence that a victory can be landed.
Check out the complete Turkey vs USA betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks and bet builder tips.
Turkey vs USA Preview
Turkey and USA meet in this FIFA World Cup Group D clash at Los Angeles Stadium (SoFi Stadium), with kick-off set for 22:00 on Thursday 25 June.
The United States have already secured top spot in the group, while Turkey have no chance of reaching the knockout stages after losing their opening two games.
Los Angeles Stadium features a fixed translucent roof, with clear skies and a comfortable temperature of 19°C (66°F) expected at kick-off.
Turkey opened their World Cup campaign with a 2-0 defeat to Australia before suffering a narrow 1-0 loss to Paraguay at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium. Despite dominating possession with 79% of the ball, Vincenzo Montella's side were unable to find a breakthrough, registering five shots on target.
The United States began the tournament with a 4-1 victory over Paraguay before defeating Australia 2-0 at Lumen Field. The Stars and Stripes enjoyed 62% possession and recorded two shots on target, with a Cameron Burgess own goal and Alex Freeman on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Record Perfectly Balanced
Turkey and the USA have met five times previously, with both sides recording two wins and the other meeting ending in a draw. The most recent encounter was a friendly in June 2025, when Turkey claimed a 2-1 away victory at Pratt & Whitney Stadium in East Hartford, Connecticut.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  USA |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 4 |  Turkey |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3:5 | 3 |
Turkey have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 15.5 attempts. The Crescent-Stars have averaged 58.7% possession and 6.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.5 goals from 3.8 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 4.4 corners.
Kerem Akturkoglu and Kenan Yildiz are the leading goalscorers with 3, while Merih Demiral has 2. Arda Guler and Hakan Calhanoglu are tied for the most assists on 4, with goalie Ugurcan Cakir managing 3 clean sheets.
USA have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.4 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Mauricio Pochettino's team average 56.4% possession, 4.2 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 8.4 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.
Folarin Balogun, Diego Luna and Malik Tillman have scored 3 goals, followed by Chris Richards with 2. Malik Tillman and Max Arfsten have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Matt Freese has one clean sheet to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Turkey confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Ugurcan Cakir (GK), Mehmet Zeki Celik, Ozan Kabak, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Oguz Aydin, Salih Ozcan, Orkun Kokcu, Evren Eren Elmali, Arda Guler, Kenan Yildiz, Baris Alper Yilmaz.
USA confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Turner (GK), Joseph Scally, Miles Robinson, Mark McKenzie, Auston Trusty, Weston McKennie, Sebastian Berhalter, Giovanni Reyna, Brenden Aaronson, Ricardo Pepi, Timothy Weah.
Main Match Prediction
USA can’t be passed over when they play this Group D encounter, especially as a price of -122 is available for our selection. Head to the betting sites and back this value pick.
With little at stake, the United States look the better bet. They have won both of their group matches and should still be motivated in front of their home fans, whereas Turkey have been disappointing throughout, losing both of their games.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent World Cup stats before coming up with a verdict.
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 54.9% chance of landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
For bettors expecting goals scored by both teams along with USA winning, then consider pairing this pick with BTTS Yes and get yourself larger odds as part of the equation.
Get more from your bets—review the most up-to-date betting promo codes and sign-up offers in our exclusive bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
USA
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of USA at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Arda Guler (Turkey) has totalled over 2.5 shots in his past two matches. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Player Shots line, with odds of +130 currently available.
Haji Wright (USA) is available at +200 to be on the scoresheet. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got USA on the 1x2, three or more goals in total and Arda Guler (Turkey) to finish with Over 2.5 shots.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Turkey vs USA Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookies giving them a 55% probability of winning, USA might be a popular acca pick. Their current betting odds are -120 when it comes to triumphing in this World Cup clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +280 about Turkey.
USA are -123 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on Turkey +0.5 at -100, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.
If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. BTTS Yes is available at -185 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets are made available when it comes to World Cup games, with the best football betting sites leaving no stone unturned in terms of available options.
Favourite Ricardo Pepi is now available at +380 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Turkey Stats
USA Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 9 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 9 away matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.11 goals per game in the previous 9 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 9 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 9 away matches
- An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.83 corners awarded and 2.33 corners against in the last 6 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.17 corners awarded in the last 6 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 6 away matches
- An average of 58.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
Turkey vs USA Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Turkey vs USA team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.
Turkey Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
USA Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Turkey Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
USA Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Turkey Substitutes
- 1Mert Gunok
- 3Merih Demiral
- 4Caglar Soyuncu
- 7Kerem Akturkoglu
- 9Deniz Gul
- 10Hakan Calhanoglu
- 12Altay Bayindir
- 16Ismail Yuksek
- 17Irfan Kahveci
- 18Mert Muldur
- 19Yunus Akgun
- 20Ferdi Kadioglu
- 22Kaan Ayhan
- 25Samet Akaydin
- 26Can Uzun
USA Substitutes
- 2Sergino Dest
- 3Chris Richards
- 4Tyler Adams
- 5Antonee Robinson
- 10Christian Pulisic
- 13Tim Ream
- 16Alex Freeman
- 17Malik Tillman
- 18Max Arfsten
- 19Haji Wright
- 20Folarin Balogun
- 24Matt Freese
- 25Chris Brady
- 26Alex Zendejas
Previous Turkey Lineups
Previous USA Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Turkey Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
USA Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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