USA vs Belgium Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Jul 2026
USA vs Belgium Predictions
The way forward could be to back the United States with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -156 against Belgium. This means the stake is split equally between 0 and +0.5, meaning a USA win lands the bet in full, while a draw delivers a half-win.
Read on for our full USA vs Belgium betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
USA vs Belgium Preview
Co-hosts USA take on Belgium in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at Seattle Stadium (Lumen Field), with kick-off set for 20:00 on Monday 6 July.
Seattle Stadium is an open-air venue where sunny skies and a temperature of 27°C (81°F) are expected at kick-off.
The United States advanced to the knockout stages after topping Group D, finishing two points ahead of Australia. Mauricio Pochettino's side opened the tournament with a 4-1 victory over Paraguay and followed that up with a 2-0 win against Australia before suffering a 3-2 defeat to Turkey.
A 2-0 success over Bosnia-Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium secured their place in the Round of 16. Despite having 48% possession and managing only two shots on target, the Stars and Stripes got the job done thanks to goals from Folarin Balogun and Malik Tillman.
Belgium finished top of Group G on goal difference ahead of Egypt. Their campaign started with a 1-1 draw against the Egyptians, followed by a goalless stalemate with Iran before a convincing 5-1 victory over New Zealand sealed first place.
The Red Devils then edged past Senegal 3-2 after extra time at Seattle Stadium, having been locked at 2-2 after 90 minutes. They recorded five shots on target and 52% possession, with Romelu Lukaku and Youri Tielemans among the goalscorers.
Belgium Hold Strong H2H Record Against USA
Belgium have dominated this fixture, winning six of the seven previous meetings, with the other ending in a draw. The most recent encounter came in a friendly at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta in March 2026, when Belgium secured a 5-2 victory.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  USA |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 1 |  Belgium |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6:2 | 5 |
8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. USA have had 58.4% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts, while being awarded 4.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Malik Tillman has found the net 4 times, with Folarin Balogun and Diego Luna scoring 3 each. Sebastian Berhalter, Malik Tillman and Max Arfsten are tied for the most assists on 3, with goalie Matt Freese managing 2 clean sheets.
Belgium have 6 victories and 4 draws, averaging 19.5 attempts, 8.1 shots on goal and 3.3 goals. Rudi Garcia's team average 64.5% possession, 8.4 corners in their favour and 3.0 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.2 shots on goal and 6.2 attempts.
Kevin De Bruyne has top scored with 6, while Youri Tielemans and Jeremy Doku are next best on 4. Alexis Saelemaekers is top assists provider with 4, while Thibaut Courtois and Senne Lammens have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
USA confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): Matt Freese (GK), Alex Freeman, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Malik Tillman, Sergino Dest, Folarin Balogun, Christian Pulisic.
Belgium confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Timothy Castagne, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechele, Maxim De Cuyper, Amadou Onana, Nicolas Raskin, Dodi Lukebakio, Youri Tielemans, Leandro Trossard, Charles De Ketelaere.
Main Match Prediction
The United States look a solid bet in this Round of 16 clash and can be backed at -156 with a +0.25 Asian Handicap.
The Stars and Stripes appear to be the stronger side and also benefit from home advantage, while an ageing Belgium team have yet to convince at this tournament. With the expected goals data also favouring the co-hosts and Folarin Balogun available after his suspension was overturned, the US stand out as the best bet.
Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best World Cup stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 61% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Belgium
We’re taking a chance on USA to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +750 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium) has bagged one or more shots on goal in six of his past eight games. Out of the prop bets currently on offer, we’re opting for the -159 when it comes to this Shots on Target wager.
Romelu Lukaku (Belgium) has scored in his past two matches. There are odds of +150 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
On average, Belgium have had 8.40 corners in the past 10 matches, with USA managing an average of 4.60 corners in the last 5 games. Belgium look value at -105 to rack up the most corners.
USA
Belgium
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our same-game multi picks are USA on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, more than two goals in total merged with Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium) to record one or more shots on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
USA vs Belgium Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can secure betting odds of +150 when it comes to USA claiming a World Cup win and the bookmakers have Belgium on offer at +180. For those wishing to back the draw, it’s available at +240.
USA can be backed at -133 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Belgium can be chanced at -105 on the same market.
If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 is the shortest odds. BTTS Yes is available at -213 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every World Cup game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
There is +120 available that Folarin Balogun finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +360.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
USA Stats
Belgium Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 58.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
USA vs Belgium Lineups & Team News
The USA vs Belgium team news could change everything — review it before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups and injury news right here.
USA Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
Belgium Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
USA Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
Belgium Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
USA Substitutes
- 1Matt Turner
- 6Auston Trusty
- 7Giovanni Reyna
- 9Ricardo Pepi
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 12Miles Robinson
- 14Sebastian Berhalter
- 18Max Arfsten
- 19Haji Wright
- 21Timothy Weah
- 22Mark McKenzie
- 23Joseph Scally
- 25Chris Brady
- 26Alex Zendejas
Belgium Substitutes
- 2Zeno Debast
- 3Arthur Theate
- 6Axel Witsel
- 7Kevin De Bruyne
- 9Romelu Lukaku
- 11Jeremy Doku
- 12Senne Lammens
- 13Mike Penders
- 15Thomas Meunier
- 16Koni De Winter
- 18Joaquin Seys
- 19Diego Moreira
- 20Hans Vanaken
- 22Alexis Saelemaekers
- 26M. Fernandez-Pardo
Previous USA Lineups
Previous Belgium Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
USA Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino
Belgium Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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