USA vs Paraguay Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Jun 2026

FIFA World Cup Betting Preview: USA vs Paraguay

Co-hosts USA take on Paraguay in this FIFA World Cup Group D encounter at Los Angeles Stadium (SoFi Stadium), with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 12 June.

Australia and Turkey join USA and Paraguay in Group D. The betting sites make USA favourites to top the group, ahead of Turkey and Paraguay, while Australia are viewed as the outsiders.

Paraguay +0.5 can secure a payout when they go up against USA. We’ll take them on the Asian Handicap with the comfort of a win or draw being enough to land a return at -116 with this wager.

USA qualified automatically for the World Cup as one of the host nations and have played four friendlies this year. They lost 5-2 to Belgium and 2-0 to Portugal in March and April before beating Senegal 3-2 at the end of May. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Germany at Soldier Field in Chicago last week.

USA's last competitive match ended in a 2-1 defeat to Mexico in the Gold Cup final on 6 July 2025. Mauricio Pochettino's men struggled to gain a foothold, recording 40% possession and three shots on target, while Chris Richards netted their lone goal.

Paraguay finished sixth in the CONMEBOL standings to secure automatic qualification for the World Cup, with notable home wins over Brazil and Argentina among their qualifying results.

Their last competitive match saw them claim a 1-0 away victory over Peru in World Cup qualifying. La Albirroja had 45% possession and five shots on goal, with Matias Galarza finding the net in the 78th minute.

Paraguay have played three friendly matches in 2026. They beat Greece 1-0 and lost 2-1 to Morocco in March before rounding off their World Cup preparations with a 4-0 victory over Nicaragua at Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción last week.

FIFA World Cup		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Paraguay	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	USA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

USA have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 10.5 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. The Stars and Stripes have averaged 54.2% possession and 4.1 corners per game, conceding 1.8 goals and 4.1 corners from 8.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Diego Luna and Malik Tillman lead the way with 3 goals, while Chris Richards has 2. Leading assistor is Max Arfsten with 3, while goalie Matt Turner has recorded one clean sheet.

Paraguay have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 36.5% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts.

Julio Enciso and Antonio Sanabria have top scored with 3, while Matias Galarza is next on 2. Look no further than Diego Gomez for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.

USA vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips

Be fully equipped for USA vs Paraguay with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We think there’s plenty of mileage when it comes to betting Paraguay on the Asian Handicap for this Group D clash. Securing a price of -116 at +0.5 goals looks an attractive wager.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent World Cup stats before coming up with a verdict.

Key USA vs Paraguay stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Paraguay in 9 of their last 10 competitive games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Paraguay in 3 of their last 4 friendly matches.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by USA in 11 of their last 20 competitive games.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 53.8% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the betting sites and move the line until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Match Prediction

Paraguay Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -116 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jun 11, 03:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

USA 1 - 1 Paraguay

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +500 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Malik Tillman to Score +250

Malik Tillman (USA) has registered three goals in his past six games. We’ll take a chance at +250 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Malik Tillman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+550

Shots

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -141

The past five Paraguay matches have averaged 11.00 corners, while the average corner count has been 9.60 in the previous five USA games. We’re expecting plenty of corners and that the line is going to be covered, with odds of -141 on offer.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

USA

Total

8.20 4.10 4.10

Home

9.80 5.50 4.30

Away

7.17 4.83 2.33

Paraguay

Total

9.10 4.60 4.50

Home

9.00 5.90 3.10

Away

8.70 2.90 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-137

Under 8.5

+102

USA Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+108

Paraguay Corners

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-175

X

+650

2

+180

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

USA vs Paraguay Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

USA are regarded as having a 51% chance of winning this World Cup clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -103. At +320, Paraguay are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between USA at +160, Paraguay at +360 or the draw at +107.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -130 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

For those wagering on World Cup games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-103

X

+230

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+107

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-476

12

-313

X2

-123

Draw No Bet

1

-270

2

+180

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-106

2 Hcp +0.5

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-161

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-130

Folarin Balogun is available at +190 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +450 to find the net first.

Folarin Balogun (USA)

First

+190

Anytime

+450

Christian Pulisic (USA)

First

+200

Anytime

+475

Ricardo Pepi (USA)

First

+230

Anytime

+525

Haji Wright (USA)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Malik Tillman (USA)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Antonio Sanabria (Paraguay)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Alex Arce (Paraguay)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Isidro Pitta (Paraguay)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Julio Enciso (Paraguay)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Timothy Weah (USA)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Gabriel Ávalos (Paraguay)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Max Arfsten (USA)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Brenden Aaronson (USA)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Giovanni Reyna (USA)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Gustavo Caballero (Paraguay)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Álex Zendejas (USA)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Alejandro Romero Gamarra (Paraguay)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Miguel Almirón (Paraguay)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Ramón Sosa (Paraguay)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Cristian Roldan (USA)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Sebastian Berhalter (USA)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Weston McKennie (USA)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Paraguay)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Alexander Freeman (USA)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Diego Gómez (Paraguay)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Christian Pulisic (USA)

Over 3.5

+140

Under 3.5

-

Folarin Balogun (USA)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

-

Ricardo Pepi (USA)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Haji Wright (USA)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Malik Tillman (USA)

Over 2.5

+117

Under 2.5

-

Julio Enciso (Paraguay)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Miguel Almirón (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Romero Gamarra (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Álex Zendejas (USA)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Caballero (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Giovanni Reyna (USA)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (USA)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Max Arfsten (USA)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Ávalos (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-

Timothy Weah (USA)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Isidro Pitta (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Alex Arce (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Antonio Sanabria (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Diego Gómez (Paraguay)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Ramón Sosa (Paraguay)

Over 0.5

-333

Under 0.5

-

Cristian Roldan (USA)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Sebastian Berhalter (USA)

Over 0.5

-333

Under 0.5

-

Weston McKennie (USA)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Paraguay)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Alexander Freeman (USA)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

USA Stats

Paraguay Stats

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 36.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 37.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 10 away matches

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USA vs Paraguay Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the USA vs Paraguay team news beforehand. Get the latest predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups and injury news right here.

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