USA vs Paraguay Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Jun 2026
FIFA World Cup Betting Preview: USA vs Paraguay
Co-hosts USA take on Paraguay in this FIFA World Cup Group D encounter at Los Angeles Stadium (SoFi Stadium), with kick-off set for 21:00 on Friday 12 June.
Australia and Turkey join USA and Paraguay in Group D. The betting sites make USA favourites to top the group, ahead of Turkey and Paraguay, while Australia are viewed as the outsiders.
Paraguay +0.5 appeals on the Asian Handicap market, with a win or draw enough to secure a payout at -116.
As hosts, USA are expected to take the initiative, but that could play into Paraguay's hands. La Albirroja are an extremely organised side who thrive when defending deep, playing with intensity and looking to hit opponents on the counter-attack.
Paraguay conceded just 10 goals in 18 World Cup qualifying matches against the top teams in South America, underlining their defensive resilience. Gustavo Alfaro's side have the structure and discipline to frustrate USA and we expect a hard-fought contest where Paraguay offer excellent value to avoid defeat.
USA qualified automatically for the World Cup as one of the host nations and have played four friendlies this year. They lost 5-2 to Belgium and 2-0 to Portugal in March and April before beating Senegal 3-2 at the end of May. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Germany at Soldier Field in Chicago last week.
USA's last competitive match ended in a 2-1 defeat to Mexico in the Gold Cup final on 6 July 2025. Mauricio Pochettino's men struggled to gain a foothold, recording 40% possession and three shots on target, while Chris Richards netted their lone goal.
Paraguay finished sixth in the CONMEBOL standings to secure automatic qualification for the World Cup, with notable home wins over Brazil and Argentina among their qualifying results.
Their last competitive match saw them claim a 1-0 away victory over Peru in World Cup qualifying. La Albirroja had 45% possession and five shots on goal, with Matias Galarza finding the net in the 78th minute.
Paraguay have played three friendly matches in 2026. They beat Greece 1-0 and lost 2-1 to Morocco in March before rounding off their World Cup preparations with a 4-0 victory over Nicaragua at Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción last week.
Head-to-Head Statistics
USA hold a 5-2 advantage in seven previous meetings with Paraguay. The sides last faced each other in a friendly in November 2025, with USA running out 2-1 winners at Subaru Park in Chester, Pennsylvania.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  USA |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Paraguay |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2:4 | 4 |
USA have 6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 10.5 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal. The Stars and Stripes have averaged 54.2% possession and 4.1 corners per game, conceding 1.8 goals and 4.1 corners from 8.5 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.
Diego Luna and Malik Tillman lead the way with 3 goals, while Chris Richards has 2. Leading assistor is Max Arfsten with 3, while goalie Matt Turner has recorded one clean sheet.
Paraguay have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 1.2 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts. There’s been an average of 36.5% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 4.5 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 7.1 attempts.
Julio Enciso and Antonio Sanabria have top scored with 3, while Matias Galarza is next on 2. Look no further than Diego Gomez for the top assist maker (2) in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
USA confirmed lineup (4-1-2-3): Matt Freese (GK), Alex Freeman, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Malik Tillman, Sergino Dest, Folarin Balogun, Christian Pulisic.
Paraguay confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Orlando Gill (GK), Juan Caceres, Gustavo Gomez, Omar Alderete, Junior Alonso, Diego Gomez, Andres Cubas, Damian Bobadilla, Miguel Almiron, Julio Enciso, Antonio Sanabria.
USA vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips
Be fully equipped for USA vs Paraguay with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, valuable corners advice, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We think there’s plenty of mileage when it comes to betting Paraguay on the Asian Handicap for this Group D clash. Securing a price of -116 at +0.5 goals looks an attractive wager.
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent World Cup stats before coming up with a verdict.
Key USA vs Paraguay stats:
According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 53.8% chance of landing a return. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
Want bigger odds when it comes to your bet? Never fear, you are able to head to the betting sites and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Fuel your next bet with the hottest betting offers, welcome promos, and free bets featured in our straightforward bonus guide.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Paraguay
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +500 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Diego Gómez (Paraguay) is available at +170 to register a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.
Malik Tillman (USA) has registered three goals in his past six matches. There are odds of +270 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five Paraguay matches have averaged 11.00 corners, while the average corner count has been 9.60 in the previous five USA games. We’re expecting plenty of corners and that the line is going to be covered, with odds of -141 on offer.
USA
Paraguay
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up a bet builder including these picks: Paraguay with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, no more than two goals combined with over 8.5 corners to be awarded.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
USA vs Paraguay Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
USA are regarded as having a 49% chance of winning this World Cup clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +104. At +300, Paraguay are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.
There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back USA at -244 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Paraguay at +165.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -139 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.
For those wagering on World Cup games, it’s all about heading to the top football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.
Folarin Balogun is available at +200 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +430 to find the net first.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
USA Stats
Paraguay Stats
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
USA vs Paraguay Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the USA vs Paraguay team news beforehand. Get the latest predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups and injury news right here.
USA Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
Paraguay Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
USA Confirmed Lineup 4-1-2-3
Paraguay Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
USA Substitutes
- 1Matt Turner
- 6Auston Trusty
- 7Giovanni Reyna
- 9Ricardo Pepi
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 12Miles Robinson
- 14Sebastian Berhalter
- 15Cristian Roldan
- 18Max Arfsten
- 19Haji Wright
- 21Timothy Weah
- 22Mark McKenzie
- 23Joseph Scally
- 25Chris Brady
- 26Alex Zendejas
Paraguay Substitutes
- 1Gatito Fernandez
- 2Gustavo Velazquez
- 5Fabian Balbuena
- 7Ramon Sosa
- 11Mauricio
- 13Jose Maria Canale
- 17A. Romero Gamarra
- 18Alex Arce
- 20Braian Ojeda
- 21Gabriel Avalos
- 22Gaston Olveira
- 23Matias Galarza
- 24Gustavo Caballero
- 25Isidro Pitta
- 26Alexandro Maidana
Previous USA Lineups
Previous Paraguay Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
USA Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino
Paraguay Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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