Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid

Valencia square off against Atlético Madrid at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 2 May.

There’s every reason to wager on both Valencia and Atlético Madrid finding the net, with the BTTS Yes selection attractively priced. You can land -147 that both teams score a goal.

Valencia were victorious in their last game, landing a 2-1 home win over Girona at Estadio Mestalla. Los Che had just 37% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Largie Ramazani and Umar Sadiq scoring one goal each.

Atlético Madrid have lost three consecutive away games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 3-2 home triumph over Athletic Club at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's team had four shots on goal and recorded 54% possession, with Alexander Soerloth finding the net twice and Antoine Griezmann scoring one.

Three days ago, Atléti had a 1-1 draw at home to Arsenal in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have landed four straight victories over Valencia. In their last encounter, hosts Atléti came out with a 2-1 win at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved eight Atléti wins, a single draw and one Valencia victory.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	33	18	6	9	56	37	19	56:37	60
12	Valencia	33	10	9	14	37	48	-11	37:48	39

View Full Table

Valencia have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Carlos Corberan's men have averaged 48.1% possession, 397.8 passes and 5.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 3.5 corners.

Largie Ramazani leads the way with 5 goals, Umar Sadiq has 3, with Guido Rodriguez and Hugo Duro scoring 2. Javier Guerra is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski keeping 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have 5 victories and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. Los Colchoneros average 52.9% possession, 497.1 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.9 goals from 12.6 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Alexander Soerloth is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Nico Gonzalez on 4, with Giuliano Simeone and two others bagging 2. Matteo Ruggeri is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Valencia predicted lineup (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Renzo Saravia, Cesar Tarrega, Pepelu, Jose Gaya, Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra, Guido Rodriguez, Largie Ramazani, Umar Sadiq, Lucas Beltran.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, Clement Lenglet, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo Mendoza, Koke, Alejandro Baena, Antoine Griezmann, Alexander Soerloth.

Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Valencia vs Atlético Madrid fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Goals could be scored by both teams in this La Liga clash and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -147 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of La Liga stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key Valencia vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Valencia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Valencia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Valencia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 5 straight Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atléti games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are similar picks and they can be combined together on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. Consider going down this route if you’re looking for slightly bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 30, 16:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Valencia 2 - 1 Atléti

An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Valencia at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Umar Sadiq to Score +200

Umar Sadiq (Valencia) has scored in his past two La Liga games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +200 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Umar Sadiq Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+200

First

+525

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atléti Under 4.5 Corners -114

Atlético Madrid have been awarded an average of 2.80 corners in the past 5 matches, while the corner count against Valencia has been less than 4.5 in the previous four home games. We’re happy to back the -114 when it comes to Atléti falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Valencia

Total

8.90 5.40 3.50

Home

9.70 6.10 3.60

Away

9.20 4.80 4.40

Atléti

Total

10.30 4.80 5.50

Home

10.30 6.20 4.10

Away

10.60 4.80 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Valencia Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-143

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-128

Most Corners

1

-133

X

+650

2

+135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this La Liga clash, Valencia are the -122 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 55% chance of winning. The market implies that Atlético Madrid are the most unlikely to win at +320.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Valencia needing to win at -123 for your bet to be successful. Atléti +0.5 at -100 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

You can land odds which are similar whether you’re betting Over or Under 2.5 Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -147 for the BTTS Yes option.

If you’re betting on La Liga matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-122

X

+270

2

+320

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+125

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-370

X2

-104

Draw No Bet

1

-294

2

+190

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-123

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-104

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-147

No

+108

There is +160 available that Hugo Duro finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +420.

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+160

Anytime

+420

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Largie Ramazani (Valencia)

First

+195

Anytime

+525

Umar Sadiq (Valencia)

First

+200

Anytime

+525

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+290

Anytime

+800

Diego Lopez (Valencia)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

First

+440

Anytime

+1100

Pepelu (Valencia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

José Gayà (Valencia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Valencia have clocked up four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

It’s now been three consecutive Atlético Madrid losses on their travels. Diego Simeone's team have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Atléti overcame Valencia 3-0 when the sides last met at Estadio Mestalla. We’ve seen the previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio Mestalla involve three Atléti victories. There have also been two draws and Valencia triumphing once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Valencia Home Stats		4-3-3	3.00	1.50	1.50	5	5	8	2
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		2-2-6	2.70	1.10	1.60	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Always review the Valencia vs Atléti team news before locking in your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Valencia Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

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