Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 May 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Valencia vs Atlético Madrid

Valencia square off against fourth-placed Atlético Madrid at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 2 May.

There’s every reason to wager on both Valencia and Atlético Madrid finding the net, with the BTTS Yes selection attractively priced. You can land -147 that both teams score a goal.

Valencia were victorious in their last game, landing a 2-1 home win over Girona at Estadio Mestalla. Los Che had just 37% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Largie Ramazani and Umar Sadiq scoring one goal each.

Atlético Madrid’s recent Champions League focus has seen them lose three straight La Liga away games. In their previous league appearance, they recorded a 3-2 home triumph over Athletic Club at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Diego Simeone's team had four shots on goal and recorded 54% possession, with Alexander Soerloth finding the net twice and Antoine Griezmann scoring one.

Three days ago, Atléti drew 1-1 at home to Arsenal in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final, with the second leg set for Tuesday.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atléti have landed four straight victories over Valencia. In their last encounter, hosts Atléti came out with a 2-1 win at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved eight Atléti wins, a single draw and one Valencia victory.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Atlético Madrid	35	19	6	10	58	38	20	58:38	63
12	Valencia	35	11	9	15	38	50	-12	38:50	42

View Full Table

Valencia have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. Carlos Corberan's men have averaged 48.1% possession, 397.8 passes and 5.4 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.1 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 3.5 corners.

Largie Ramazani leads the way with 5 goals, Umar Sadiq has 3, with Guido Rodriguez and Hugo Duro scoring 2. Javier Guerra is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski keeping 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have 5 victories and 5 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. Los Colchoneros average 52.9% possession, 497.1 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.9 goals from 12.6 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.

Alexander Soerloth is the leading scorer with 5 goals, followed by Nico Gonzalez on 4, with Giuliano Simeone and two others bagging 2. Matteo Ruggeri is top assists provider with 3, while Jan Oblak and Juan Musso have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Valencia confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Renzo Saravia, Cesar Tarrega, Pepelu, Jose Gaya, Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra, Guido Rodriguez, Filip Ugrinic, Umar Sadiq, Largie Ramazani.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Juan Musso (GK), Javier Bonar, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Nahuel Molina, Julio Diaz, Rodrigo Mendoza, Javi Morcillo, Obed Vargas, Thiago Almada, Rayane Belaid.

Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Approach Valencia vs Atlético Madrid fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, best corners advice, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Goals could be scored by both teams in this La Liga clash and that means heading to the Both Teams to Score market. We really like the -147 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of La Liga stats that can also help to shape our picks.

Key Valencia vs Atlético Madrid league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Valencia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Valencia games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Valencia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 5 straight Atléti games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Atléti games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are similar picks and they can be combined together on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. Consider going down this route if you’re looking for slightly bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -147 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 30, 16:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Valencia 2 - 1 Atléti

An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Los Che at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Largie Ramazani Over 2.5 Shots -130

Largie Ramazani (Valencia) has covered the 2.5 shots total in six of his past ten La Liga matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -130 available.

Latest Largie Ramazani Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+500

Shots

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

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Umar Sadiq to Score +200

Umar Sadiq (Valencia) has scored in his past two La Liga matches It’s worth a gamble on the +200 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Umar Sadiq Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+450

Shots

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Atléti Under 4.5 Corners -114

Atlético Madrid have been awarded an average of 2.80 corners in the past 5 matches, while the corner count against Valencia has been less than 4.5 in the previous four home games. We’re happy to back the -114 when it comes to Atléti falling short of the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Valencia

Total

8.90 5.40 3.50

Home

9.70 6.10 3.60

Away

9.20 4.80 4.40

Atléti

Total

10.30 4.80 5.50

Home

10.30 6.20 4.10

Away

10.60 4.80 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Valencia Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-154

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+650

2

+143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this La Liga clash, Valencia are the -132 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 57% chance of winning. The market implies that Atlético Madrid are the most unlikely to win at +350.

There’s an alternative Asian Handicap angle where you back Valencia -0.75 against Atléti at -103. A 2+ goal win means a full return, although you get a payout on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -149 for the BTTS Yes option.

If you’re betting on La Liga matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-132

X

+280

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+133

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-385

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-103

2 Hcp +0.75

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+106

Over 2.5

-137

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-149

No

+110

There is +140 available that Hugo Duro finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +380.

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+140

Anytime

+380

Umar Sadiq (Valencia)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Largie Ramazani (Valencia)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

+195

Anytime

+525

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+260

Anytime

+750

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Diego Lopez (Valencia)

First

+310

Anytime

+850

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Pepelu (Valencia)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

José Gayà (Valencia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

César Tárrega (Valencia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Unai Núñez (Valencia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 3.5

+123

Under 3.5

-

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Largie Ramazani (Valencia)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Umar Sadiq (Valencia)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Diego Lopez (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Pepelu (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Mendoza (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

José Gayà (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Valencia have clocked up four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

It’s now been three consecutive Atlético Madrid losses on their travels. Los Colchoneros have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Atléti overcame Valencia 3-0 when the sides last met at Estadio Mestalla. We’ve seen the previous 6 H2H meetings at Estadio Mestalla involve three Atléti victories. There have also been two draws and Valencia triumphing once.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Valencia Home Stats		4-3-3	3.00	1.50	1.50	5	5	8	2
Atlético Madrid Away Stats		2-2-6	2.70	1.10	1.60	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Valencia vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Always review the Valencia vs Atléti team news before locking in your bets. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Valencia Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

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