Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Nov 2026
Valencia vs Real Madrid Predictions
We expect Real Madrid to secure a commanding win when playing Valencia. Wagering them -1.75 at -110 means a split of our Asian Handicap stake between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal margin of victory means a full return.
Check out the complete Valencia vs Real Madrid betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Preview
Valencia host Real Madrid at Estadio Mestalla, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Saturday 7 November.
Valencia won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. It was on their travels against Elche at Estadio Martínez Valero. Javier Aguirre's men had just 31% possession and recorded three shots on target, with Umar Sadiq scoring the winning goal in the 69th minute.
Real Madrid have won four on the bounce, triumphing 3-0 in their previous game. This was away to Racing Club Santander at Estadio El Sardinero. Los Merengues boasted 54% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham and Yan Diomande found the net.
On Wednesday night, Real travelled to AEK Athens and succeeded 3-2 in the Champions League.
H2H: Real Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head
Real have landed wins in their last two clashes against Valencia. There was a 2-0 away triumph at Estadio Mestalla after winning 4-0 when hosting at Santiago Bernabéu. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen Real win seven times, one draw and two Valencia triumphs.
| La Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Real Madrid |
11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 19 |  Valencia |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8:17 | 9 |
2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.5 attempts. Valencia have had 44.0% possession, 391.3 passes and 4.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 16.3 attempts, while being awarded 5.3 corners.
Top goalscorer Umar Sadiq has found the net 2 times, with Pepelu, Daniel Raba, David Otorbi and Aaron Mayol scoring 1 each. Javier Guerra is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalie Stole Dimitrievski has 3 clean sheets.
Real have 8 victories and 2 defeats, with an average of 6.7 shots on goal, 16.5 attempts and 2.6 goals. Jose Mourinho's team average 50.9% possession, 511.9 passes, 6.2 corners taken and 4.4 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 13.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
Kylian Mbappe has top scored with 12, while Jude Bellingham and Yan Diomande are next best on 3. Jude Bellingham and Vinicius Junior have clocked up 3 assists, with Thibaut Courtois keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Valencia predicted lineup (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski (GK), Arnau Martinez, Cesar Tarrega, Pepelu, Jose Gaya, Pablo Maffeo, Aaron Mayol, Guido Rodriguez, Luis Rioja, Javier Guerra, Arnaut Danjuma.
Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella, Aurelien Tchouameni, Bernardo Silva, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande, Kylian Mbappe.
Main Match Prediction
We’re a big fan of Real Madrid -1.75 at betting odds of -110 on the Asian Handicap. A large victory is expected for this La Liga encounter, with a nice winning margin on the cards.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The Sportsgambler.com football experts keep abreast of the latest La Liga team news and form guide considering they could have a bearing on the outcome. It’s also important for our readers to have access to stats.
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
Placing a Bet Builder is a recommended option if you want to bet on Madrid to cover the line but want more juice from your wager. Choose the various legs that you want to add in.
Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
3
Real Madrid
Our prediction for the correct score is Real Madrid to land a 3-0 victory and this is available at +700. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia) is available to record one or more shots on goal at -128. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.
Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) has scored three goals in his past five La Liga matches. We’ll take a chance at +170 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past two matches, Real Madrid have covered the 5.5 corners line, while the last four Valencia games have involved them conceding over 5.5 corners. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Real to cover the Team Corners line, with -154 available.
Valencia
Real Madrid
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got Real Madrid with the -1.75 Asian Handicap, one or both teams not scoring and also Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia) to have one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Valencia vs Real Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers take few chances with their latest odds of -357 for Real Madrid winning which suggests that they have a 78% chance in this La Liga encounter. At +850, Valencia are regarded as having a far lower probability of winning.
Should you want to back Real to lead at the break, then there is -149 available on the Half-Time Result market. Opponents Valencia have been chalked up at +600 and the draw is +188.
You can find the shortest odds for Over 2.5 Goals, which means three goals or more being scored. BTTS Yes is available at -135 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
Hundreds of markets for every La Liga game await you, with the leading football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.
There is -244 available that Kylian Mbappé finds the net at any stage. He is available at +205 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Stats: Last 10 La Liga matches only.
Valencia have not triumphed at Estadio Mestalla in six straight matches. Javier Aguirre's men have managed five losses, three draws and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Real have finished with six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
When the sides last met at Estadio Mestalla, Real beat Valencia 2-0. There have been three wins apiece and two draws in the past 8 H2H matches at Estadio Mestalla.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia Home Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
| Real Madrid Away Stats |
6-1-3 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- La Liga: 08/02 2026 Valencia 0 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 01/11 2025 Real Madrid 4 Valencia 0
- La Liga: 05/04 2025 Real Madrid 1 Valencia 2
- La Liga: 03/01 2025 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 02/03 2024 Valencia 2 Real Madrid 2
- La Liga: 11/11 2023 Real Madrid 5 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 21/05 2023 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 0
- La Liga: 02/02 2023 Real Madrid 2 Valencia 0
- La Liga: 08/01 2022 Real Madrid 4 Valencia 1
- La Liga: 19/09 2021 Valencia 1 Real Madrid 2
Valencia League Stats
Real Madrid League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Valencia this season are Umar Sadiq (2), Aaron Mayol (1), Daniel Raba (1)
- Top Assistors for Valencia this season are Javier Guerra (2), Arnaut Danjuma (1), Hugo Duro (1)
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Valencia vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News
Valencia Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Valencia Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Real Madrid Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Valencia Lineups
Previous Real Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Valencia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Javier Aguirre
Real Madrid Player Stats & Squad
La Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Alavés | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Getafe | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 6 | Athletic Club | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Alavés | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 15 | Levante | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 16 | Villarreal | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 18 | Málaga | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 19 | Valencia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | 2 |
| 20 | Elche | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 1 |
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