Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Aug 2026

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Vélez Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -156

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Vélez Sarsfield at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Independiente. Backing El Fortín at -156 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.

We analyse several betting angles in our Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Preview

Vélez Sarsfield go head-to-head with Independiente at Estadio José Amalfitani, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Monday 3 August.

Vélez Sarsfield have won back-to-back Primera División games. On the road, Talleres were recently beaten 3-1. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team had just 37% possession and recorded five shots on target, with Rodrigo Aliendro, Thiago Silvero and Diego Valdes scoring one goal each.

Independiente have won two Primera División games on the spin after recently recording a 1-0 home victory over Newell's Old Boys. Los Diablos Rojos had 49% possession and four shots on goal, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel scoring a 41st minute winner.

H2H: 1-1 Draw in Last H2H Clash

The most recent clash between the teams saw Vélez draw 1-1 away to Independiente. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen five draws, three Vélez wins and two Independiente victories.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Vélez Sarsfield	10	5	5	0	15	9	6	15:9	20
8	Independiente	10	5	2	3	10	8	2	10:8	17

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 12.5 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Vélez have had 55.3% possession and 4.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.9 goals from 12.1 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal, while earning 4.0 corners.

Florian Monzon leads the way with 5 goals, Manuel Lanzini has 2, with Rodrigo Aliendro and two others on 1. Diego Valdes has made the most assists with 3.

Independiente have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.1% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 3.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 9.6 attempts.

Gabriel Avalos is the leading goalscorer with 5, Matias Abaldo has 3, with Santiago Gabriel Montiel and Maximiliano Gutierrez getting 2. Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Maximiliano Gutierrez and Gabriel Avalos have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Roberto Garcia, Thiago Silvero, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Lucas Robertone, Rodrigo Aliendro, Matias Pellegrini, Diego Valdes, Manuel Lanzini, Dilan Godoy.

Independiente confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rodrigo Rey (GK), Leonardo Godoy, Juan Fedorco, Kevin Lomonaco, Facundo Zabala, Mateo Perez Curci, Ivan Marcone, Maximiliano Gutierrez, Santiago Gabriel Montiel, Matias Abaldo, Gabriel Avalos.

Main Match Prediction

The Asian Handicap offers us the chance to back Vélez Sarsfield at 0.0 for this Primera División game. The odds of -156 can be taken, with our selection offering plenty of juice when it comes to price.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The 0.0 line has been covered by Vélez in 2 consecutive games.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 14 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Independiente in 8 of their last 10 games against Vélez.

We’re always monitoring the Primera División team news. Combined with the latest form, this helps us secure the best value. Our football experts also take a data-led approach, with the key numbers proving useful.

The best betting sites make it a 61% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our tipsters have this number closer to 70% based on their in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want a viable alternative to backing Vélez on the Asian Handicap, then the Winning Margin market could be up your street. Choose from a range of options.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Vélez Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -156 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 2, 00:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 2 - 0 Independiente

Our prediction for the correct score is Vélez to land a 2-0 victory and this is available at +700. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Santiago Montiel Over 0.5 Shots On Target -130

Santiago Montiel (Independiente) can be wagered at -130 to finish with at least one shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.

Latest Santiago Montiel Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

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Manuel Lanzini to Score +380

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez) has managed three goals in his past ten Primera División matches on home soil. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +380 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Manuel Lanzini Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -120

There’s been a corner average of 10.40 in the past five games involving Vélez, with the 8.5 Total Corners line being covered in the last two Independiente matches. The two sides should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Total Corners and odds of -120 are available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

8.60 4.60 4.00

Home

9.50 5.10 4.40

Away

8.90 4.10 4.80

Independiente

Total

9.00 5.10 3.90

Home

10.20 6.70 3.50

Away

8.40 4.30 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-115

Vélez Corners

Over 4.5

-114

Under 4.5

-127

Independiente Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-132

X

+600

2

+135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have priced up the draw at +200 on the Full-Time Result, with Vélez Sarsfield available to back at betting odds of +143. Independiente are +220 to win this Primera División clash.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Vélez at +220 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Independiente at +290. The draw is the third option at -111.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -156 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

When it comes to every Primera División game, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the top football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+143

X

+200

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

-111

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-303

12

-263

X2

-185

Draw No Bet

1

-161

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-100

2 Hcp +0.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-222

Over 2.5

+165

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+112

No

-156

Florian Monzón is the market leader at +500 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

First

+500

Anytime

+230

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

First

+500

Anytime

+240

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

First

+700

Anytime

+320

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

First

+700

Anytime

+330

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

First

+800

Anytime

+380

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

First

+850

Anytime

+400

Maximiliano Porcel (Vélez)

First

+1050

Anytime

+500

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

First

+1300

Anytime

+600

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

First

+1900

Anytime

+850

Gabriel Ávalos (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Florian Monzón (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Santiago Montiel (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Matias Pellegrini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Ignacio Pussetto (Independiente)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Manuel Lanzini (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Diego Valdés (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-

Maximiliano Porcel (Vélez)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Cabral (Independiente)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Vélez vs Independiente team news before you bet. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups plus current injury reports.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Independiente Team Page

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