Vitória vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2026
Vitória vs Bahia Predictions
The Total Goals market offers us the opportunity to back our Under 2.5 Goals prediction. Vitória and Bahia might play out a fairly dull encounter and odds of -132 stick out on the coupon.
The betting analysis below explores the strongest selections for Vitória vs Bahia, including the complete breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Vitória vs Bahia Preview
Vitória host Bahia, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Sunday 23 August.
Vitória were winners in their last game, enjoying a 1-0 home triumph over Botafogo. Barra's Lion had 46% possession and totalled four shots on target, with Matheuzinho netting in the 27th minute.
Bahia played Chapecoense on their travels in their previous game. It was a 3-3 draw. Rogerio Ceni's side enjoyed 65% possession and managed four shots on goal, with Alejo Veliz, Kauan (own goal) and Nicolas Acevedo all on target.
Previous H2H Encounter Ended 1-1
Bahia hosted a 1-1 draw against Vitória in the last head-to-head. The past 5 H2H matches have resulted in two Bahia wins, two draws and one Vitória success.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Bahia |
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 32:28 | 34 |
| 12 |  Vitória |
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23:33 | 29 |
3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. Vitória have had 46.4% possession and 4.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 15.8 attempts, while being awarded 4.8 corners.
Top scorer Rene has found the net 3 times, Renato Kayzer 2, with Matheuzinho and Diego Tarzia both scoring 1. Diego Tarzia has recorded the most assists with 2.
Bahia have won 2, lost 2 and drawn 6, with an average of 1.3 goals from 15.2 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 56.3% possession, 5.9 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.
David Duarte has scored 2 goals, followed by Alejo Veliz, Nicolas Acevedo, Ademir Santos and Rodrigo Nestor on 1. Rodrigo Nestor has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Cacá, Emanuel Brítez, Luan Cândido, Ramon, Emmanuel Martinez, Zé Vitor, Erick, Matheuzinho, Diego Tarzia, Renê.
Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Roman Gomez, David Duarte, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Rodrigo Nestor, Jean Lucas, Nicolás Acevedo, Mateo Sanabria, Alejo Veliz, Erick Pulga.
Main Match Prediction
We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Under 2.5 Goals at odds of -132. This looks like an attractive bet, with the teams set to play out a low-scoring Série A encounter.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Série A stats.
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.8% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as an option when it comes to placing a Bet Builder. You can add different picks to your bet slip and get a return if all selections win.
Give your wagers a boost. Explore our bonus guide for the latest free bets, welcome bonuses and promo codes.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Bahia
Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +425. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Mateo Sanabria (Bahia) is available to record a minimum of one shot on goal at +115. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.
Luciano Juba (Bahia) has scored three goals in his past eight Série A matches away from home. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +525 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Each of the past five Bahia games have involved the 10.5 Total Corners line not being covered. We can use these numbers for our gain, with odds of -143 that the sides fall short when it comes to the Total Corners line.
Vitória
Bahia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you fancy a bet builder, then why not take less than three goals to be registered, a draw on the 1x2 and also Mateo Sanabria (Bahia) to record one or more shots on target.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Vitória vs Bahia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have chalked up the draw at +220 on the 1x2 betting, with Vitória available to bet at odds of +148. Bahia are +180 to claim victory in this Série A encounter.
If Vitória and Bahia play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at +112.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -135.
The top sports betting sites provide a quality service including hundreds of markets being created for every Série A game. It’s great for football bettors to choose from so many options.
Carlos Rene de Sousa Ferreira is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.
Vitória League Stats
Bahia League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Rene (5), Renato Kayzer (4), Matheuzinho (3)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Erick Serafim (3), Gabriel Baralhas (3), Diego Tarzia (2)
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Vitória vs Bahia Lineups & Team News
Check the Vitória vs Bahia team news before you place your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bahia Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Bahia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jair Ventura
Bahia Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 45 |
| 3 | Athletico PR | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 38 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 34 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 32 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 32 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 32 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 30 |
| 12 | Vitória | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | 29 |
| 13 | São Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | 25 |
| 15 | Grêmio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | 25 |
| 16 | Internacional | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | 23 |
| 18 | Remo | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | 23 |
| 19 | Vasco da Gama | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | 11 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Vitória | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 25 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 24 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Grêmio | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 21 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlético MG | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 10 | Bahia | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 18 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:10 | 18 |
| 12 | Santos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | 17 |
| 15 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 16 | Botafogo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 15 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 19 | Internacional | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16:27 | 8 |
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