Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Jul 2026
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Predictions
Vitória at 0.0 look like an attractive bet on the Asian Handicap when they meet Vasco da Gama. Backing the hosts at -161 means a nice payout if they win and our stake returned if they only draw the game.
Read our complete Vitória vs Vasco da Gama betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Preview
Vitória take on Vasco da Gama, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Thursday 16 July.
Vitória have enjoyed two successive Série A home victories. They were defeated by Santos in their last league game, losing 3-1 on the road. Jair Ventura's men enjoyed 56% possession and had nine shots on target, with Rene getting the goal.
Vasco da Gama have now lost their previous three games. This includes being turned over at home to Atlético Mineiro by a 1-0 scoreline. The Giant of the Hill had eight shots on goal and enjoyed 61% possession.
4-3 Win for Vasco in Pair’s Previous Clash
It was a 4-3 home victory for Vasco when they last faced Vitória. Vasco have four wins in the last 6 H2H meetings, while Vitória have secured two victories.
| Série A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Vitória |
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 21:25 | 22 |
| 17 |  Vasco da Gama |
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 22:29 | 20 |
Vitória have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. The Salvador club have averaged 46.9% possession and 3.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 5.0 corners.
Rene leads the way with 5 goals, Diego Tarzia has 2, with Renato Kayzer and two others on 1. Luan Candido is the leading assists maker on 2.
Vasco have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, averaging 4.8 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 0.9 goals. Renato Gaucho's side average 56.9% possession, 4.9 corners taken and 3.9 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 11.4 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal.
Andres Gomez is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Thiago Mendes, Robert Renan, Hugo Moura and Jose Rodriguez have 1. Jose Rodriguez has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Vitória predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Edenilson, Cacá, Luan Cândido, Ramon, Zé Vitor, Gabriel Baralhas, Emmanuel Martinez, Erick, Renê, Matheuzinho.
Vasco da Gama predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Léo Jardim (GK), José Luis Rodríguez, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Cuiabano, Cauan Barros, Thiago Mendes, Adson, Johan Rojas, Nuno Moreira, Claudio Spinelli.
Main Match Prediction
We’re happy to side with Vitória 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Série A clash. At odds of -161, the home team offer plenty of appeal and we’re expecting a strong showing.
We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Série A team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 61.7% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
There’s the option to move the line for your pick and this enables bettors to get larger prices. If you’re prepared for additional risk, you can get more bang for your buck.
Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Vasco
Let’s go for Vitória to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +575. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Matheuzinho (Vitória) can be wagered at -118 to register one or more shots on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.
Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) has registered three goals in his past nine Série A home matches. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +650 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Vitória have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in six straight home games, with Vasco da Gama conceding under 5.5 corners in the past eight away matches. There’s a chance to go under the Vitória Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -137 on offer.
Vitória
Vasco
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a same-game multi with the picks of Vitória with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, one or both teams drawing a blank combined with Matheuzinho (Vitória) to have one or more shots on target.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Vitória are regarded as having a 43% chance of winning this Série A clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +130. If you want to wager on the underdog, Vasco da Gama have been priced up at +210.
It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +112. Alternatively, Vitória can be backed at +190 and Vasco are on offer at +265.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -135 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Série A games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
Vitória League Stats
Vasco da Gama League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins, 1 defeat and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 4.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Vitória this season are Rene (5), Renato Kayzer (3), Diego Tarzia (2)
- Top Assistors for Vitória this season are Erick Serafim (3), Gabriel Baralhas (3), Luan Candido (2)
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Vitória vs Vasco da Gama Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Vitória vs Vasco team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Série A lineups plus current injury reports.
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Vitória Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Vasco da Gama Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Vitória Lineups
Previous Vasco da Gama Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jair Ventura
Vasco da Gama Player Stats & Squad
Série A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 31 |
| 4 | Athletico PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 5 | Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | São Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlético MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitória | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | 22 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | 20 |
| 18 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Athletico PR | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Vitória | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 19 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 6 | São Paulo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 17 |
| 7 | Grêmio | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Santos | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 10 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 11 | Vasco da Gama | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Atlético MG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 14 |
| 14 | Bahia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 15 | Coritiba | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 17 | Botafogo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 11 |
| 18 | Internacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 19 | Remo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:20 | 7 |
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