Wales vs Denmark Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2026
Wales vs Denmark Predictions
Wales +0.5 can deliver a return at odds of -112 when they clash with Denmark. We’ll side with the Dragons on the Asian Handicap, knowing that a win or draw would be enough to land a payout with this bet.
Read our complete Wales vs Denmark betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Wales vs Denmark Preview
Wales meet Denmark at Cardiff City Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 4 October.
Wales opened their Nations League campaign with a 1-0 defeat away to Portugal before losing 2-0 in Denmark. Craig Bellamy's side bounced back with a 2-1 home victory over Norway last time out, recording six shots on target and 48% possession. Daniel James and Neco Williams scored the goals, with Norway reduced to ten men just after half-time.
Denmark began their Nations League campaign with a 3-2 defeat away to Norway before responding with a 2-0 home victory over Wales. Last time out, they suffered a 4-2 home defeat against Portugal despite having 54% possession. Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Hoejlund were on the scoresheet, with Denmark managing three shots on target.
H2H: Denmark 2-0 Winners a Week Ago
Denmark came out on top when these nations met just a week ago, recording a 2-0 Nations League victory over Wales at Parken. The Danes have now won each of the last four meetings between the countries.
| Nations League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Denmark |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wales |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2:5 | 3 |
5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 11.4 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal. Wales have had 59.9% possession and 6.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 11.0 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.0 corners.
Harry Wilson leads the way with 5 goals, Daniel James has 3, with Nathan Broadhead and two others on 2. Sorba Thomas is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Karl Darlow keeping 3 clean sheets.
Denmark have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.9 goals from 19.3 attempts and 7.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 61.8% possession, 627.5 passes, 6.6 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.9 goals from 9.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.
The leading goalscorers have been Rasmus Hoejlund on 7, Mikkel Damsgaard with 6 and Gustav Isaksen 4. Mikkel Damsgaard has clocked up 4 assists, with Kasper Schmeichel, Mads Hermansen and Filip Joergensen keeping 4 clean sheets between them in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Wales confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Danny Ward (GK), Neco Williams, Ben Cabango, Ben Davies, Jay Dasilva, Ethan Ampadu, Jordan James, Brennan Johnson, Liam Cullen, Sorba Thomas, Lewis Koumas.
Denmark confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Mads Hermansen (GK), Rasmus Kristensen, Joachim Andersen, Oliver Provstgaard, Joakim Maehle, Gustav Isaksen, Morten Hjulmand, Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg, Mohamed Daramy, Rasmus Hoejlund, Victor Froholdt.
Main Match Prediction
There’s a strong case for backing Wales on the Asian Handicap in this Nations League match. Landing odds of -112 looks value when it comes to the home team with a +0.5 goal start.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):
Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Nations League form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.
The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.
Before placing your next bet, explore our trusted bonus guide featuring top free bets and generous sign-up offers.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Denmark
Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +480. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Mark Harris (Wales) can be wagered to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -102. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.
Gustav Isaksen (Denmark) has managed three goals in his past five games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +250.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Denmark have had under 5.5 corners in two consecutive matches, with Wales conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous nine home games. There are odds of -159 for this Denmark Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.
Wales
Denmark
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Wales with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, both teams to score as well as Mark Harris (Wales) to have a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Wales vs Denmark Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Denmark are available at -115 to come away with a triumph in this Nations League clash, meaning a 53% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Wales are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +295.
It sometimes pays to go down the Half-Time Result route and the draw is available at +128. Alternatively, Denmark can be backed at +143 and Wales are on offer at +310.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -149.
If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Nations League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.
Rasmus Højlund is available at +112 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +320 to find the net first.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Wales Stats
Denmark Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.30 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 59.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 62.20% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
Wales vs Denmark Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on Wales vs Denmark, check the team news first. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups and injury news right here.
Wales Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Denmark Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wales Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Denmark Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wales Substitutes
- 1David Cornell
- 2Chris Mepham
- 7Cian Ashford
- 8Wes Burns
- 13Kieffer Moore
- 14Connor Roberts
- 16Jayden Lienou
- 18Mark Harris
- 20Daniel James
- 21Tom King
- 22Josh Sheehan
- 23Joel Colwill
Denmark Substitutes
- 1Andreas Jungdal
- 4Lucas Hoegsberg
- 6Victor Nelsson
- 10Thomas Joergensen
- 11Andreas Skov Olsen
- 12Mads Bidstrup
- 15Mathias Kvistgaarden
- 17Adam Daghim
- 18Anton Gaaei
- 19Kasper Waarts Hoegh
- 22Filip Joergensen
Previous Wales Lineups
Previous Denmark Lineups
Wales Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Craig Bellamy
Denmark Player Stats & Squad
Nations League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
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