Wales
Football UEFA Nations League A Cardiff City Stadium Sun 4 Oct 14:45
Denmark
  1. Predictions
  2. Preview
  3. Odds
  4. Stats
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Squads
  8. Table

Wales vs Denmark Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Wales Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -112

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Expect a Close Encounter

Wales +0.5 can deliver a return at odds of -112 when they clash with Denmark. We’ll side with the hosts on the Asian Handicap, knowing that a win or draw would be enough to land a payout with this bet.

Read our complete Wales vs Denmark betting preview for the full analysis behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Wales vs Denmark Preview

Wales meet Denmark at Cardiff City Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Sunday 4 October.

Wales were victorious in their last game, landing a 2-1 Nations League home win over Norway at Cardiff City Stadium. Craig Bellamy's side had six shots on target and 48% possession, with Daniel James and Neco Williams each scoring one goal.

Denmark were beaten 4-2 in their previous game, being turned over in the Nations League at home to Portugal at Parken. The Red and Whites had three shots on goal and recorded 54% possession, with Mikkel Damsgaard and Rasmus Hoejlund on the scoresheet.

H2H: 2-0 Victory for Denmark in Previous Head-to-Head Clash

Denmark beat Wales in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 2-0 home win at Parken.

Nations League G W D L GF GA GD GD P
2 Denmark logo Denmark 3 1 0 2 6 7 -1 6:7 3
4 Wales logo Wales 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 2:4 3
View Full Table
Wales – Last 10 Competitive Games

5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 2.2 goals from 11.4 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal. Wales have had 59.9% possession and 6.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 11.0 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.0 corners.

Players to Watch

Harry Wilson leads the way with 5 goals, Daniel James has 3, with Nathan Broadhead and two others on 2. Sorba Thomas is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Karl Darlow keeping 3 clean sheets.

Denmark – Last 10 Competitive Games

Denmark have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 2.9 goals from 19.3 attempts and 7.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 61.8% possession, 627.5 passes, 6.6 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.9 goals from 9.7 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

Players to Watch

The leading goalscorers have been Rasmus Hoejlund on 7, Mikkel Damsgaard with 6 and Gustav Isaksen 4. Mikkel Damsgaard has clocked up 4 assists, with Kasper Schmeichel, Mads Hermansen and Filip Joergensen keeping 4 clean sheets between them in the previous 10 games.

Main Match Prediction

There’s a strong case for backing Wales on the Asian Handicap in this Nations League match. Landing odds of -112 looks value when it comes to the home team with a +0.5 goal start.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (competitive matches):

  • The +0.5 line has been covered by Wales in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
  • The +0.5 line has been covered by Wales in 16 of their last 20 games.
  • The +0.5 line has been covered by Wales in 3 consecutive games at home.
  • The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Denmark in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
  • The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Denmark in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
  • The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Denmark in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Nations League form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Wales +0.5 Probability

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 52.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

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Wales Asian Hcp +0.5 @ -112 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 2, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:57, 02 October 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Wales Wales logo 1 - 1 Denmark logo Denmark

Let’s go for the game to end in a 1-1 scoreline, a wager which is available at +510. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mark Harris Over 0.5 Shots On Target -102 BetMGM logo

Mark Harris (Wales) can be wagered to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -102. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Mark Harris Player Prop Odds

Gustav Isaksen to Score +250 BetMGM logo

Gustav Isaksen (Denmark) has managed three goals in his past five games. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +250.

Latest Gustav Isaksen Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Denmark Under 5.5 Corners -159 BetMGM logo

Denmark have had under 5.5 corners in two consecutive matches, with Wales conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous nine home games. There are odds of -159 for this Denmark Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

Competitive Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Wales Logo Wales
Total
10.30 6.30 4.00
Home
9.70 6.60 3.10
Away
10.10 4.00 6.10
Denmark Logo Denmark
Total
10.80 6.60 4.20
Home
12.00 7.70 4.30
Away
10.90 5.50 5.40
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Wales +0.5 -112
Both Team To Score Yes -161
Shots On Target Mark Harris Over 0.5 -102

A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Wales with the +0.5 Asian Handicap, both teams to score as well as Mark Harris (Wales) to have a minimum of one shot on target.

A bet builder is a single event wager where you select outcomes for a particular football game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Wales vs Denmark Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bookies Think Denmark Most Likely to Win

Denmark are available at -112 to come away with a triumph in this Nations League clash, meaning a 53% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Wales are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +265.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Denmark at -244 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Wales at +163.

Over 2.5 Goals is trading at a shorter price than Under 2.5 Goals right now. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -161.

If you visit one of the recommended sports betting sites, it’s fantastic to access hundreds of markets for whichever Nations League match appeals. Scan through the choices and pick your football wager.

Rasmus Højlund Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Rasmus Højlund is available at +130 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +360 to find the net first.

Player Goals
Rasmus Højlund (Denmark)
First
+360
Anytime
+130
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Kasper Waarts Høgh (Denmark)
First
+500
Anytime
+180
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Gustav Isaksen (Denmark)
First
+700
Anytime
+250
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Harry Wilson (Wales)
First
+700
Anytime
+260
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Player Shots On Target
Kasper Waarts Høgh (Denmark)
Over 0.5
-238
Under 0.5
-
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Gustav Isaksen (Denmark)
Over 0.5
-189
Under 0.5
-
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Kieffer Moore (Wales)
Over 0.5
-139
Under 0.5
-
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Harry Wilson (Wales)
Over 0.5
-133
Under 0.5
-
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Player Shots
Rasmus Højlund (Denmark)
Over 3.5
+108
Under 3.5
-
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Gustav Isaksen (Denmark)
Over 2.5
-118
Under 2.5
-
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Kieffer Moore (Wales)
Over 2.5
+115
Under 2.5
-
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Kasper Waarts Høgh (Denmark)
Over 2.5
-122
Under 2.5
-
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Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
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Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Wales logo Wales Stats
Denmark logo Denmark Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
  • 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
  • 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession

Wales vs Denmark Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Wales vs Denmark, check the team news first. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Nations League lineups and injury news right here.

Previous Wales Lineups

01 Oct Nations League
Wales 2-1 Norway
27 Sep Nations League
Denmark 2-0 Wales
24 Sep Nations League
Portugal 1-0 Wales
06 Jun Friendlies
Romania 2-1 Wales
02 Jun Friendlies
Wales 1-1 Ghana
31 Mar Friendlies
Wales 1-1 Northern Ireland

Previous Denmark Lineups

01 Oct Nations League
Denmark 2-4 Portugal
27 Sep Nations League
Denmark 2-0 Wales
24 Sep Nations League
Norway 3-2 Denmark
03 Jun Friendlies
DR Congo 0-0 Denmark
31 Mar Europe World Cup Qualification
Czech Republic 5-3 Denmark
26 Mar Europe World Cup Qualification
Denmark 4-0 North Macedonia
Team Squads

Wales Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Craig Bellamy

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Danny Ward 12 G 3 270 3 0 0 0 0 0
Ethan Ampadu 5 M 3 270 3 0 0 0 1 0
Neco Williams 3 D 3 270 3 0 1 0 0 0
Ben Davies 4 D 3 270 3 0 0 0 0 0
Sorba Thomas 19 M 3 194 2 1 0 1 1 0

Denmark Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Brian Riemer

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Joachim Andersen 2 D 3 270 3 0 0 0 0 0
Rasmus Kristensen 13 D 3 270 3 0 0 0 1 0
Pierre-Emile Hoejbjerg 23 M 3 270 3 0 0 0 0 0
Oliver Provstgaard 3 D 3 270 3 0 0 0 0 0
Joakim Maehle 5 D 3 259 3 0 0 1 1 0
UEFA FlagNations League Table
UEFA Nations League A Group 1
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 France 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Belgium 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Italy 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Turkey 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
UEFA Nations League A Group 2
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Greece 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Netherlands 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Germany 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Serbia 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
UEFA Nations League A Group 3
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Spain 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 England 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Croatia 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
4 Czech Republic 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
UEFA Nations League A Group 4
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Portugal 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Denmark 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
3 Norway 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Wales 3 1 0 2 2:4 3

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