Watford vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Oct 2026
Watford vs Burnley Predictions
Watford +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. This involves splitting our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a win against Burnley the desired outcome at betting odds of -130.
Check out the complete Watford vs Burnley betting breakdown below, highlighting the logic behind our main match prediction, as well as our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Watford vs Burnley Preview
Watford go head-to-head with Burnley at Vicarage Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 10 October.
Watford have suffered defeat in their last two Championship games. Most recently, a 1-0 scoreline occurred away at Ashton Gate against Bristol City. The Hornets dominated possession with 64% of the ball and had two shots on target.
Burnley drew 1-1 against Derby County in their previous game. This was on home soil at Turf Moor. Nicky Hayen's men recorded 52% possession and managed two shots on goal, while Zeki Amdouni found the net.
H2H: Burnley 2-1 Victory in Previous Head-to-Head Meeting
Burnley have triumphed in the last two encounters against Watford. Taking to the road, a 2-1 win was landed at Vicarage Road following a 2-1 home victory at Turf Moor. The previous 9 H2H matches have included five wins for Burnley, one victory for Watford along with three draws.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 24 |  Burnley |
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9:17 | 4 |
Watford have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 11.1 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Alessio Dionisi's team have averaged 44.2% possession and 3.2 corners per game, conceding 1.9 goals and 6.1 corners from 15.5 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer Amin Nabizada has found the net 3 times, with Edo Kayembe, Mamadou Doumbia, Luca Kjerrumgaard and Iker Bravo scoring 1 each. Edo Kayembe, Iker Bravo and Omar Traore are the leading assists makers with 1.
Burnley have lost 5 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. The Clarets have averaged 50.4% possession, 4.7 corners taken and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.9 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts.
Zian Flemming got 3 goals, Zeki Amdouni notched 2, while Largie Ramazani and two other players scored 1. Lucas Pires, Igor Julio and Largie Ramazani have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Watford predicted lineup (4-4-2): Federico Ravaglia (GK), Kevin Keben, Mattie Pollock, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Omar Traoré, Othmane Maamma, Hector Kyprianou, Edo Kayembe, Iker Bravo, Mamadou Doumbia, Amin Nabizada.
Burnley predicted lineup (4-4-2): Grégoire Coudert (GK), Connor Roberts, Anel Ahmedhodzic, Igor, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Josh Laurent, Max Alleyne, Reo Hatate, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Zeki Amdouni.
Main Match Prediction
We’ll back Watford +0.25 for this Championship game, with odds of -130 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
The latest Championship team news and current form are always useful information when it comes to providing football betting tips. It’s also important to pay attention to the available stats so that we make the best picks.
The betting apps are estimating that there is a 56.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you’re searching for bigger odds when it comes to Watford covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder. This allows you to load additional selections to your wager.
Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Burnley
Watford are available at +700 to secure a 1-0 victory. Many bettors enjoy a correct score wager and there are some nice potential returns to be had.
Player Prop Picks
Othmane Maamma (Watford) can be wagered at +102 to record one or more shots on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.
Edo Kayembe (Watford) has racked up two goals in his past eight Championship home games. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +500 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in seven consecutive Burnley away games, with four of the past five Watford matches having the same outcome. The Total Corners line could be on the high side based on the stats and +102 is available to back.
Watford
Burnley
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Watford on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, less than three goals to be scored accompanied by less than 9.5 corners to be taken.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Watford vs Burnley Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You can get betting odds of +132 for Burnley winning this Championship clash and the bookies have Watford available at +190. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +240.
You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Burnley at -152 or instead go for Watford at +105.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -164.
For those wanting hundreds of football markets, it’s great that the top betting sites are on hand to offer this service. When it comes to every Championship game, go for the pick which stands out the most.
Jamie Vardy is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +500. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +200.
Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Watford have finished with four losses, three victories and three draws in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Burnley have failed to win in their last ten matches on their travels. Nicky Hayen's men have clocked up eight losses and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 2.50.
Burnley overcame Watford 2-1 when the sides last met at Vicarage Road. The past 5 H2H meetings at Vicarage Road have involved three Burnley victories, a single draw and one Watford win.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford Home Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | |
| Burnley Away Stats |
0-2-8 | 3.30 | 0.80 | 2.50 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 18/04 2025 Watford 1 Burnley 2
- Championship: 21/12 2024 Burnley 2 Watford 1
- Championship: 14/02 2023 Burnley 1 Watford 1
- Championship: 12/08 2022 Watford 1 Burnley 0
- Premier League: 30/04 2022 Watford 1 Burnley 2
- Premier League: 05/02 2022 Burnley 0 Watford 0
- Premier League: 25/06 2020 Burnley 1 Watford 0
- Premier League: 23/11 2019 Watford 0 Burnley 3
- Premier League: 19/01 2019 Watford 0 Burnley 0
Watford League Stats
Burnley League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 6.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 50.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Watford this season are Amin Nabizada (3), Edo Kayembe (1), Iker Bravo (1)
- Top Assistors for Watford this season are Edo Kayembe (1), Iker Bravo (1), Omar Traore (1)
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Watford vs Burnley Lineups & Team News
Know who’s in and who’s out for Watford vs Burnley before making your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and all current injury news.
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Burnley Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Burnley Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Previous Watford Lineups
Previous Burnley Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Watford Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alessio Dionisi
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 3 | West Ham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Stoke | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Swansea | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 7 | Charlton | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 8 |
| 8 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 10 | Watford | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Norwich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Cardiff | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bolton | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 17 | QPR | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 18 | Birmingham | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 21 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Preston | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
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