Watford vs Southampton Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Aug 2026

Watford vs Southampton Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Southampton To Win @ -104

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We’re fairly bullish about the chances of Southampton when they go up against Watford. The visitors looks a value opportunity at -104 on the Full-Time Result market and we anticipate a return.

We analyse several betting angles in our Watford vs Southampton betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Watford vs Southampton Preview

Watford welcome Southampton to Vicarage Road, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Sunday 16 August.

Watford collected 57 points from 46 games to finish 16th in the 2025/26 Championship. Their final league outing ended in a heavy 4-0 home defeat to Coventry City at Vicarage Road. Alessio Dionisi's side had 44% possession and totalled four shots on target.

The new season began with a 1-0 home victory for Watford over Crawley Town in the first round of the EFL Cup.

Southampton, who were disqualified from playing in the Championship play-off final at Wembley following the Spygate controversy, finished fourth in the regular season with 80 points from 46 matches.

The Saints ended their Championship regular season campaign with a 3-1 away win over Preston North End at Deepdale. They enjoyed 54% possession and registered five shots on target, with Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Ross Stewart and Cyle Larin all on the scoresheet.

EFL Cup action saw Southampton begin the new season with a 2-0 away victory over Colchester United.

H2H: 1-0 Triumph for Southampton in Last H2H

Southampton are unbeaten when it comes to the past six meetings against Watford. Their last clash was at St. Mary's, with Southampton claiming a 1-0 home victory. The past 10 meetings between these sides have resulted in six Southampton victories and one Watford win. There have also been three draws.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19	10	9	19:10	10
20	Watford	8	2	2	4	7	10	-3	7:10	8

View Full Table

1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Watford have had 50.6% possession and 5.6 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.3 goals from 14.2 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal, while earning 5.1 corners.

Top scorer Nestory Irankunda has found the net 2 times, with James Abankwah, Imran Louza, Marc Bola and Edo Kayembe getting 1 goals each. Giorgi Chakvetadze has recorded the most assists with 2.

Southampton have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 2.4 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts. The South Coast outfit have averaged 53.6% possession, 6.2 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

Cyle Larin got 6 goals, Ross Stewart notched 3, while Taylor Harwood-Bellis and two other players scored 2. Cameron Archer and Ryan Manning are the top assist makers, managing 3 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Watford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Federico Ravaglia (GK), Omar Traore, Matthew Pollock, Kevin Keben, Marc Bola, Edoardo Bove, Hector Kyprianou, Amin Nabizada, Iker Bravo, Othmane Maamma, Mamadou Doumbia.

Southampton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz (GK), James Bree, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Jack Stephens, Ryan Manning, Cameron Bragg, Flynn Downes, Kuryu Matsuki, Leo Scienza, Lewis Dobbin, Cyle Larin.

Main Match Prediction

We can’t resist the chance to back Southampton as we think they’re likely to triumph in this Championship clash. A victory of sorts can be landed, with betting odds of -104 now available.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• Southampton have won 4 consecutive games on the road.
• Southampton have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Southampton have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Watford have lost their last 5 games.
• Watford have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Watford have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Southampton.

We always have a keen eye on team news, while our football experts have their finger on the pulse by knowing the latest form. You will also find a compendium of stats which provide some valuable pointers ahead of the Championship action.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 51% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are some alternative options when it comes to backing Southampton for those chasing a larger possible return. Consider the Asian Handicap where they have to triumph by a specific margin.

Don’t miss out on extra value. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of free bets and sign-up bonuses for new bettors.

Southampton To Win @ -104 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Aug 14, 14:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Watford 0 - 1 Southampton

Southampton are available to back at +600 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Kwadwo Baah Over 0.5 Shots On Target +175

Kwadwo Baah (Watford) is available at +175 to finish with at least one shot on goal. All things considered, we think that the betting odds are really appealing when it comes to backing him on the Shots Target market.

Latest Kwadwo Baah Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+550

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

---

Ryan Manning to Score +480

Ryan Manning (Southampton) has scored two goals in his past five Championship games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +480 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Ryan Manning Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Watford Over 4.5 Corners -143

Watford have been awarded an average of 7.00 corners in the past five home games, while Southampton have yielded a corner average of 6.40 in their previous five matches. We’re happy to back the -143 when it comes to Watford covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Watford

Total

10.70 5.60 5.10

Home

10.50 5.70 4.80

Away

10.20 4.80 5.40

Southampton

Total

11.50 6.20 5.30

Home

10.50 5.60 4.90

Away

11.40 5.80 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-127

Under 10.5

-114

Watford Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

-100

Southampton Corners

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-135

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+650

2

-118

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Watford vs Southampton Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Southampton are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Championship encounter. The -100 for them coming out on top suggests a 50% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to wager on the underdog, Watford have been priced up at +250.

Southampton are -104 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is like backing them on the Full-Time Result market. Alternatively, you can get -127 for Watford +0.5 and get the draw on your side.

For those expecting a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest price. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -159 on the BTTS market.

Hundreds of markets for every Championship match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+250

X

+250

2

-100

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

+120

2

+148

Double Chance

1X

-128

12

-357

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+150

2

-222

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-127

2 Hcp -0.5

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-102

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-159

No

+115

Leo Scienza is the market leader at +510 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

First

+510

Anytime

+195

Damion Downs (Southampton)

First

+550

Anytime

+205

Cyle Larin (Southampton)

First

+550

Anytime

+210

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+650

Anytime

+240

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

First

+650

Anytime

+250

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

First

+700

Anytime

+270

Rocco Vata (Watford)

First

+700

Anytime

+280

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+900

Anytime

+340

Othmane Maamma (Watford)

First

+950

Anytime

+360

Iker Bravo (Watford)

First

+950

Anytime

+370

Jack Grieves (Watford)

First

+1000

Anytime

+370

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

First

+1050

Anytime

+390

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

First

+1050

Anytime

+400

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

First

+1150

Anytime

+430

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

First

+1200

Anytime

+480

Yukinari Sugawara (Southampton)

First

+1300

Anytime

+500

Shea Charles (Southampton)

First

+1400

Anytime

+525

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+1400

Anytime

+550

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

First

+1700

Anytime

+650

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen (Southampton)

First

+1900

Anytime

+700

James Bree (Southampton)

First

+1900

Anytime

+750

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Southampton)

First

+2000

Anytime

+800

Jeremy Ngakia (Watford)

First

+2200

Anytime

+850

Damascena Santos Welington (Southampton)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Edoardo Bove (Watford)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Flynn Downes (Southampton)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Jack Stephens (Southampton)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Joshua Quarshie (Southampton)

First

+2200

Anytime

+900

Leo Scienza (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Cyle Larin (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Damion Downs (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-

Rocco Vata (Watford)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Finn Azaz (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-

Cameron Archer (Southampton)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Imran Louza (Watford)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Jack Grieves (Watford)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Othmane Maamma (Watford)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Iker Bravo (Watford)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-

Tom Fellows (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Yukinari Sugawara (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Manning (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-

Shea Charles (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-

Caspar Jander (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-

James Bree (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-

Taylor Harwood-Bellis (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Jeremy Ngakia (Watford)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Edoardo Bove (Watford)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-

Nathan Wood (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-

Damascena Santos Welington (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Flynn Downes (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Jack Stephens (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-

Joshua Quarshie (Southampton)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Last 10 League matches only.
Watford have gone without a win at Vicarage Road in the last four games. The Hornets have collected five losses, three draws and two victories in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Southampton are unbeaten in the last nine games on their travels. The Saints have seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.30 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

The past meeting at Vicarage Road saw Watford draw 2-2 with Southampton. The previous 5 H2H games at Vicarage Road have seen two Southampton wins and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Watford Home Stats		2-3-5	2.20	0.70	1.50	2	8	3	7
Southampton Away Stats		7-2-1	3.70	2.30	1.40	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Watford vs Southampton Lineups & Team News

Check the Watford vs Southampton team news before you place your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Watford Team Page Southampton Team Page

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