Watford vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Sep 2026
Watford vs Stoke Predictions
Stoke +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Watford the aim at betting odds of -141.
We analyse several betting angles in our Watford vs Stoke betting preview, expanding on our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
Watford vs Stoke Preview
Watford go head-to-head with Stoke at Vicarage Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 12 September.
Watford landed a home win in their last game, overcoming Preston North End by a 2-1 scoreline at Vicarage Road. The Hornets had the majority of the ball enjoying 61% possession and five shots on target, with Edo Kayembe and Mamadou Doumbia each scoring one goal.
Stoke City played out a 1-1 draw in their previous game. This was on their travels to Cardiff City Stadium, with Cardiff City the opponents. Mark Robins' side enjoyed just 30% possession and had four shots on goal, while Ben Johnson found the net.
H2H: Stoke 3-1 Winners in Last Head-to-Head Battle
It was Stoke who came out on top when they last played Watford. At bet365 Stadium, a 3-1 home win was recorded. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Watford wins, two draws and three Stoke victories.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Watford |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Stoke |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9:10 | 7 |
Watford have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts. Alessio Dionisi's team have averaged 43.6% possession and 3.3 corners per match, conceding 2.1 goals and 6.0 corners from 5.0 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts.
Amin Nabizada is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Edo Kayembe, Mamadou Doumbia, Luca Kjerrumgaard and Iker Bravo each have 1. The top assist makers are Iker Bravo, Omar Traore and Kevin Keben, all of whom have 1 on the board.
Stoke have 2 victories, 7 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 3.1 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Staffordshire outfit average 44.7% possession, 6.0 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while 2.0 goals have been conceded from 13.4 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.
Ethan Galbraith has landed 3 goals, Justin Devenny 2, with Ben Johnson and two others scoring 1. Eric Bocat has managed to clock up 2 assists in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Watford predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Federico Ravaglia (GK), Kevin Keben, Mattie Pollock, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Omar Traoré, Hector Kyprianou, Edo Kayembe, Amin Nabizada, Martín Payero, Rocco Vata, Mamadou Doumbia.
Stoke predicted lineup (3-5-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ben Wilmot, Maksym Taloverov, Luke Graham, Benjamin Johnson, Justin Devenny, Djibril Soumaré, Ethan Galbraith, Luca Bombino, Robert Bozenik, George Hirst.
Main Match Prediction
When Stoke kick off this Championship match, we will wager them at -141 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):
It’s always a case of checking out the latest Championship team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re in the market to boost your price for Stoke covering the line, then think about adding this selection to a Bet Builder along with other legs that you like.
Before you place your bets, explore our updated guide packed with the latest free bets and betting bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
1
-
2
Stoke
Let’s take a chance on the +700 available that Stoke secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Rocco Vata (Watford) is available at -137 to record at least one shot on goal. It’s all about backing him at attractive odds when it comes to the Shots on Target market.
Ethan Galbraith (Stoke) has netted three goals in his past five Championship matches. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +500 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Watford have had under 4.5 corners in nine straight matches, while the last 10 Stoke games have seen them concede an average of 3.70 corners. We’re backing Watford to fall short when it comes to Team Corners and this pick is on offer at -103.
Watford
Stoke
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi which has the following: Stoke to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, Over 2.5 together with Watford to have under 4.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
Watford vs Stoke Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Stoke City are chalked up at betting odds of +180 to defeat Watford, with their opponents operating at +145 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +225 for this Championship clash.
If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Watford are -139 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Stoke are -104 and there is money back if the game ends all square.
You can land odds which are similar whether you’re backing Over or Under 2.5 Goals. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -147 on the Both Teams to Score market.
Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Championship match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.
Those interested in favourite Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard to find the net first can get +550, while the Anytime Goalscorer angle could hold more appeal and this is +220.
Stats: Championship matches only
Watford have not tasted defeat at Vicarage Road in three straight matches. The Hornets have collected four wins, three draws and three defeats in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Stoke haven’t tasted victory in ten consecutive matches on the road. Mark Robins' side have managed nine defeats and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 2.20.
The last Vicarage Road meeting saw Watford beat Stoke 1-0. Aside from one draw, Watford have dominated the previous 5 H2H matches at Vicarage Road with four wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford Home Stats |
4-3-3 | 2.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
| Stoke Away Stats |
0-1-9 | 2.70 | 0.50 | 2.20 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 14/03 2026 Stoke 3 Watford 1
- Championship: 20/12 2025 Watford 1 Stoke 0
- Championship: 01/03 2025 Stoke 0 Watford 0
- Championship: 17/08 2024 Watford 3 Stoke 0
- Championship: 29/12 2023 Watford 1 Stoke 1
- Championship: 19/08 2023 Stoke 1 Watford 0
- Championship: 08/05 2023 Watford 2 Stoke 0
- Championship: 02/10 2022 Stoke 0 Watford 4
- EFL Cup: 21/09 2021 Watford 1 Stoke 3
- Championship: 22/01 2021 Stoke 1 Watford 2
Watford League Stats
Stoke League Stats
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Watford this season are Amin Nabizada (2), Edo Kayembe (1), Iker Bravo (1)
- Top Assistors for Watford this season are Iker Bravo (1), Omar Traore (1)
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Watford vs Stoke Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Watford vs Stoke team news beforehand. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Watford Lineups
Previous Stoke Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Watford Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alessio Dionisi
Stoke Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Brom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | West Ham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Swansea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | QPR | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 8 | Millwall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Norwich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Watford | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Southampton | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 16 | Stoke | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 18 | Blackburn | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 20 | Cardiff | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 21 | Bolton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 23 | Burnley | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 24 | Preston | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 9 |
| 2 | West Brom | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Watford | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Charlton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 5 | West Ham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Millwall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Stoke | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Norwich | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Swansea | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 5 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 12 | QPR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Cardiff | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Bolton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 20 | Preston | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 21 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 22 | Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 23 | Lincoln | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Derby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
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