Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 May 2026

Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview: Sabres vs Canadiens

The Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 24-13-4 on the road) face the Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 24-15-2 at home) at Bell Centre in Game 4 of this second-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series. Montreal leads the series 2-1.

The Sabres and opponents Canadiens might fail to surpass a total of 6.5 goals. We’re sweet on our Unders prediction and odds of -130 are available.

Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens clashed two nights ago, with Habs enjoying a 6-2 victory at Bell Centre.

The Habs had 36 shots on goal, with Cole Caufield bagging 2 points, featuring 1 goal and 1 assist. Goalie Jakub Dobes made a total of 26 saves (.929). The Sabres recorded 28 shots on goal, with Rasmus Dahlin and Tage Thompson each scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Habs winning seven times.

Starting Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	22-9-3	2.5	.909	1
23/24	27-22-4	2.57	.910	5

Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	29-10-4	2.8	.901	0

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We think odds of -130 are really appealing when it comes to going under the total line. The two teams combined might struggle to keep the scoreboard ticking over in this NHL clash.

We only make our hockey predictions after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant NHL stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Sabres vs Canadiens stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Sabres games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Sabres games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Canadiens games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Canadiens games.

Under 6.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.5% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re going Under with your bet, then you can take the option to include this selection in a Bet Builder and get potentially bigger odds. Combine it with other picks.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -130 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 11, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cole Caufield Under 2.5 Shots +125

Cole Caufield (Canadiens) has fallen short of the 2.5 shots on goal total in 8 of the past 10 games. We think that he will fail to cover the line and this Shots on Goal bet can be backed at +125.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sabres 4 - 1 Canadiens

The Sabres are available to back at +1600 to secure a 4-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Sabres

Canadiens

1-0

Sabres

+6000

Canadiens

+5000

2-0

Sabres

+4500

Canadiens

+4500

2-1

Sabres

+1500

Canadiens

+1300

3-0

Sabres

+3300

Canadiens

+2400

3-1

Sabres

+1800

Canadiens

+1500

3-2

Sabres

+1050

Canadiens

+900

4-0

Sabres

+4500

Canadiens

+3500

4-1

Sabres

+1600

Canadiens

+1300

4-2

Sabres

+1500

Canadiens

+1300

4-3

Sabres

+1150

Canadiens

+1000

5-0

Sabres

+1150

Canadiens

+6000

5-1

Sabres

+3000

Canadiens

+2000

5-2

Sabres

+1800

Canadiens

+1400

5-3

Sabres

+2200

Canadiens

+1800

5-4

Sabres

+1800

Canadiens

+1600

6-1

Sabres

+6000

Canadiens

+4000

6-2

Sabres

+4000

Canadiens

+2500

6-3

Sabres

+3000

Canadiens

+2400

6-4

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+4000

6-5

Sabres

+4500

Canadiens

+4000

7-2

Sabres

+4500

Canadiens

+5500

7-3

Sabres

+4500

Canadiens

+5500

7-4

Sabres

+4500

Canadiens

+6600

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Montreal Canadiens have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 60% probability due to their -147 Moneyline betting odds. Buffalo Sabres are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +122.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +104.

If you’re betting on the National Hockey League, we recommend heading to the top betting apps and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager before the puck drops and during the games.

Moneyline

Sabres

+122

Canadiens

-147

3-Way Moneyline

Sabres

+195

Tie

+300

Canadiens

+114

Puck Line

Sabres +1.5

-208

Canadiens -1.5

+168

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-128

Over 6.5

+104

You shouldn’t overlook the player and goalie props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Goals, Assists, Points and Shots.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.60 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.30 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 17.3
• Blocks: 16.1
• Faceoff Wins : 24.8
• Hits: 28.1
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.5
• Blocks: 10.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.2
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14.8
• Blocks: 15.1
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 33.4
• Giveaways: 12.7
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 6.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 17.6
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 31.8
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 3.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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