Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 16 May 2026

Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview: Sabres vs Canadiens

The Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 24-13-4 on the road) take on the Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 24-15-2 at home) at Bell Centre in Game 6 of this second-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series. Montreal leads the series 3-2.

The betting odds of -120 make plenty of appeal when it comes to Under 6.5 goals. We’re expecting the scoring to be fairly slow when the Sabres meet the Canadiens.

Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens met two nights ago, with Habs enjoying a 6-3 victory at KeyBank Center.

The Habs had 26 shots on goal, with Juraj Slafkovsky bagging 3 points and all of them were assists. The Sabres fired 36 shots on goal, with Konsta Helenius, Jason Zucker and Josh Doan scoring one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The past 10 H2H games have seen the Habs land six wins.

Starting Goalies

Alex Lyon (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	20-10-4	2.8	.906	3
23/24	21-18-4	3.05	.904	2

Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	29-10-4	2.8	.901	0

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There is an appealing -120 when it comes to Unders which is our confident pick. The lamp might not be lit too many times when it comes to this NHL encounter.

We keep a close eye on the NHL team news and our handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter hockey predictions ahead of the action.

Key Sabres vs Canadiens stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Sabres games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Sabres games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Canadiens games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Canadiens games at home.

Under 6.5 Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This hockey bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

The best sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 16, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ivan Demidov Over 0.5 Assists +135

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens) has had at least one assist in 3 straight games. We expect him to cover the Player Assists line which means grabbing the attractive +135 about this happening.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sabres 3 - 1 Canadiens

We’re predicting the Sabres to land a 3-1 victory and this is available at +2000. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Sabres

Canadiens

1-0

Sabres

+6000

Canadiens

+5500

2-0

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+4000

2-1

Sabres

+1600

Canadiens

+1400

3-0

Sabres

+3500

Canadiens

+2400

3-1

Sabres

+2000

Canadiens

+1400

3-2

Sabres

+1050

Canadiens

+950

4-0

Sabres

+6000

Canadiens

+3300

4-1

Sabres

+1800

Canadiens

+1200

4-2

Sabres

+1600

Canadiens

+1300

4-3

Sabres

+1200

Canadiens

+1000

5-0

Sabres

+1200

Canadiens

+5000

5-1

Sabres

+3500

Canadiens

+1900

5-2

Sabres

+1900

Canadiens

+1300

5-3

Sabres

+2200

Canadiens

+1700

5-4

Sabres

+1900

Canadiens

+1600

6-1

Sabres

+1900

Canadiens

+3300

6-2

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+2400

6-3

Sabres

+3500

Canadiens

+2000

6-4

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+3500

6-5

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+4000

7-1

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+7000

7-2

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+4500

7-3

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+4500

7-4

Sabres

+5000

Canadiens

+5000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Montreal Canadiens are -179 favorites to win and that means a 64% chance of landing a victory. Buffalo Sabres are the underdogs at +146 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are +104.

If you’re wagering on National Hockey League clashes, we recommend heading to the top sportsbooks and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Sabres

+146

Canadiens

-179

3-Way Moneyline

Sabres

+225

Tie

+335

Canadiens

-105

Puck Line

Sabres +1.5

-175

Canadiens -1.5

+142

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-128

Over 6.5

+104

You shouldn’t overlook the goalie and player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Goals, Assists, Points or Shots on Goal.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NHL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.60 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.30 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 17.3
• Blocks: 16.1
• Faceoff Wins : 24.8
• Hits: 28.1
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.5
• Blocks: 10.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.2
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14.8
• Blocks: 15.1
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 33.4
• Giveaways: 12.7
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 6.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 17.6
• Blocks: 15.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 31.8
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 3.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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