Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2026

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Best Bet

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ +105

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There are attractive odds about the Lightning and our prediction is for them to benefit from home-ice advantage and win in 60 minutes. They can get the better of the Wild and you can get +105.

We’ve locked in our top Wild vs Lightning picks, including our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for the complete analysis behind each play.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview

The Minnesota Wild clash with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, October 8.

Minnesota Wild suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 3-2 (OT) scoreline occurred on the road at KeyBank Center against Buffalo Sabres. Maxim Shabanov and Danila Yurov scored one goal apiece.

Tampa Bay Lightning won their last game 4-1, making it successive victories. This was a home win at Benchmark International Arena against Philadelphia Flyers. The goals were shared around between four players including Brayden Point. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy made a total of 14 saves (.933).

H2H: 6-3 Victory for Lightning in Pair’s Previous H2H

The scoreline was 6-3 in favor of the Lightning when they last played the Wild, with the encounter taking place at Benchmark International Arena. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Jesper Wallstedt (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	2-0-1	1.6	.933	0
25/26	23-14-6	2.7	.913	4

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	2-1-0	2.1	.898	0
25/26	42-19-4	2.3	.910	3

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 22.9% powerplay efficiency. The Wild have given up 3.3 goals from 29.0 shots, averaging 3.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.4%.

Quinn Hughes is the top points scorer with 15 points, 5 goals and 10 assists, with Kirill Kaprizov racking up 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Jesper Wallstedt have a 2.76 goal against average with a .905 save percentage.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.3 goals from 28.6 shots on goal, with a 7.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.3 goals from 21.7 shots, averaging 5.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

The top points scorer is Brandon Hagel with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, while Jake Guentzel is next in line after having 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.14 GAA with a .898 SV%, including one shutout.

Best Bet

Our pick is that there will be a home win in this NHL clash. You can currently get +105 about a regulation time win which looks like great odds.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Lightning have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.
• Wild have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Wild have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.

We only make our hockey predictions after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant NHL stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

If you go by the top NHL betting sites, our pick has a 48.8% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.

Sometimes it’s worth going in search of bigger odds and a Bet Builder allows you to make a 3-Way Moneyline pick along with a number of other selections.

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Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ +105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 7, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wild 3 - 5 Lightning

The Lightning are available at +1800 to win by a 5-3 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Wild

Lightning

1-0

Wild

+5000

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+3300

2-1

Wild

+1400

Lightning

+1300

3-0

Wild

+3400

Lightning

+2500

3-1

Wild

+1700

Lightning

+1400

3-2

Wild

+900

Lightning

+850

4-0

Wild

+5000

Lightning

+3500

4-1

Wild

+2000

Lightning

+1400

4-2

Wild

+1600

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Wild

+1100

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Wild

+1100

Lightning

+5500

5-1

Wild

+3300

Lightning

+2200

5-2

Wild

+2000

Lightning

+1400

5-3

Wild

+2500

Lightning

+1800

5-4

Wild

+1800

Lightning

+1600

6-1

Wild

+1800

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+2800

6-3

Wild

+4000

Lightning

+2400

6-4

Wild

+5500

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Wild

+4000

Lightning

+4000

7-2

Wild

+4000

Lightning

+5000

7-3

Wild

+4000

Lightning

+6000

7-4

Wild

+4000

Lightning

+6000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 60% probability due to their -147 Moneyline betting odds. The market suggests that Minnesota Wild are least likely to win at +122.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. A Totals wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -130.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. The best sportsbooks have a huge range of pre-game and in-game betting options.

Moneyline

Wild

+122

Lightning

-147

3-Way Moneyline

Wild

+205

Tie

+325

Lightning

+105

Puck Line

Wild +1.5

-204

Lightning -1.5

+164

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Wild Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.20 pts and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.50 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.30 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 26.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 6.8
• Blocks: 11.7
• Faceoff Wins : 29.7
• Hits: 26.9
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 11.1
• Faceoff Wins : 28.8
• Hits: 28.3
• Giveaways: 13.9
• Takeaways: 3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 11.9
• Blocks: 18.2
• Faceoff Wins : 25.6
• Hits: 30.3
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 30.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 10.9
• Blocks: 16.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25.7
• Hits: 24.3
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 4.1

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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