Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 May 2026

Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview: Canadiens vs Sabres

The Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 24-9-8 on the road) take on the Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 26-10-5 at home) at KeyBank Center in Game 5 of this second-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series. The series is tied 2-2.

The Canadiens look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make the Sabres our betting prediction. You can currently get -120 for this pick which looks good value.

Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres faced off two nights ago, with the Sabres winning 3-2 at Bell Centre.

The Sabres had 22 shots on goal, with Mattias Samuelsson, Tage Thompson and Zach Benson scoring one goal apiece. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made a total of 28 saves (.933). The Habs managed 30 shots on goal, with Cole Caufield and Alex Newhook scoring one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been six Habs wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	29-10-4	2.8	.901	0

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	22-9-3	2.5	.909	1
23/24	27-22-4	2.57	.910	5

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Habs have given up 2.2 goals from 26.8 shots, averaging 6.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Lane Hutson is the top points scorer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, with Alex Newhook racking up 7 points, 6 goals and 1 assist, over the last 10 games. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 2.14 goal against average with a .918 save percentage.

The Sabres have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 28.5 shots on goal, with a 9.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.7 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 6.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.2%.

The top points scorer is Tage Thompson with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, while Josh Doan is next in line after having 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Alex Lyon have a 2.18 GAA with a .921 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping our pick nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the -120 that Buffalo Sabres are able to secure a victory in this NHL encounter.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our hockey picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NHL stats for sharper predictions.

Key Canadiens vs Sabres stats:

• Sabres have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Sabres have won 12 of their last 20 games.

Sabres Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

We recommend going down the Bet Builder route if you want to bet on the Moneyline and also throw in some other combinations until you’re happy with the overall odds.

Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Sabres Moneyline @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 13, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Doan Over 0.5 Assists +155

Josh Doan (Sabres) has had at least one assist in 5 straight games. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists line, especially with the odds of +155 available that this happens.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Canadiens 2 - 3 Sabres

There’s the option to wager on the Sabres to win by a 3-2 scoreline. Odds of +950 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Canadiens

Sabres

1-0

Canadiens

+5000

Sabres

+6000

2-0

Canadiens

+4500

Sabres

+4500

2-1

Canadiens

+1400

Sabres

+1400

3-0

Canadiens

+2800

Sabres

+2800

3-1

Canadiens

+1600

Sabres

+1500

3-2

Canadiens

+1000

Sabres

+950

4-0

Canadiens

+4000

Sabres

+4500

4-1

Canadiens

+1400

Sabres

+1400

4-2

Canadiens

+1400

Sabres

+1400

4-3

Canadiens

+1150

Sabres

+1050

5-0

Canadiens

+7000

Sabres

+6600

5-1

Canadiens

+2800

Sabres

+2500

5-2

Canadiens

+1500

Sabres

+1400

5-3

Canadiens

+2000

Sabres

+1900

5-4

Canadiens

+1700

Sabres

+1600

6-1

Canadiens

+6000

Sabres

+5000

6-2

Canadiens

+3500

Sabres

+3000

6-3

Canadiens

+2500

Sabres

+2500

6-4

Canadiens

+4500

Sabres

+4000

6-5

Canadiens

+4000

Sabres

+3500

7-2

Canadiens

+4000

Sabres

+6600

7-3

Canadiens

+4000

Sabres

+6600

7-4

Canadiens

+7000

Sabres

+6000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Buffalo Sabres are on offer at -120 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Montreal Canadiens available at -100. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 50% according to the most popular sportsbooks.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -132.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to betting on this popular league and we recommend visiting the best NHL sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Moneyline

Canadiens

-100

Sabres

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Canadiens

+160

Tie

+300

Sabres

+143

Puck Line

Canadiens +1.5

-250

Sabres -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+108

Over 5.5

-132

If you have a view on Goalscorers, Assists, Shots on Goal, Powerplay Points, Blocked Shots or Saves, then the goalie and player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 25.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 19
• Blocks: 15.5
• Faceoff Wins : 30.9
• Hits: 32.4
• Giveaways: 12
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 24.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.9
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 30.7
• Hits: 29.8
• Giveaways: 13
• Takeaways: 5.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 15.8
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 26.9
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 13.6
• Blocks: 16.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 28.8
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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