Montreal Canadiens

Ice Hockey KeyBank Center Thu 14 May 19:00

Buffalo Sabres

  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Correct Score
  4. Odds
  5. Team Stats
  6. Player Stats
  7. Player Props
  8. Team News
  9. Lineups
  10. Injuries
  11. Roster
  12. Standings

Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview: Canadiens vs Sabres

The Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 24-9-8 on the road) take on the Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 26-10-5 at home) at KeyBank Center in Game 5 of this second-round Stanley Cup Playoffs series. The series is tied 2-2.

We Expect Sabres to Deliver the Goods

The Canadiens look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make the Sabres our betting prediction. You can currently get -120 for this pick which looks good value.

Sabres Won 3-2 in Teams’ Previous H2H

Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres faced off two nights ago, with the Sabres winning 3-2 at Bell Centre.

The Sabres had 22 shots on goal, with Mattias Samuelsson, Tage Thompson and Zach Benson scoring one goal apiece. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made a total of 28 saves (.933). The Habs managed 30 shots on goal, with Cole Caufield and Alex Newhook scoring one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been six Habs wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Jakub Dobes (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 29-10-4 2.8 .901 0
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 22-9-3 2.5 .909 1
23/24 27-22-4 2.57 .910 5
Montreal Canadiens – Last 10 Games

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Habs have given up 2.2 goals from 26.8 shots, averaging 6.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Lane Hutson is the top points scorer with 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists, with Alex Newhook racking up 7 points, 6 goals and 1 assist, over the last 10 games. Goalie Jakub Dobes have a 2.14 goal against average with a .918 save percentage.

Buffalo Sabres – Last 10 Games

The Sabres have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.0 goals from 28.5 shots on goal, with a 9.1% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.7 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 6.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.2%.

The top points scorer is Tage Thompson with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, while Josh Doan is next in line after having 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Alex Lyon have a 2.18 GAA with a .921 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping our pick nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the -120 that Buffalo Sabres are able to secure a victory in this NHL encounter.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our hockey picks. We combine this insight with up-to-date NHL stats for sharper predictions.

Key Canadiens vs Sabres stats:

  • Sabres have won 6 of their last 10 games.
  • Sabres have won 12 of their last 20 games.

Sabres Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

We recommend going down the Bet Builder route if you want to bet on the Moneyline and also throw in some other combinations until you’re happy with the overall odds.

Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction
Sabres Moneyline @ -120 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 13, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:56, 13 May 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Doan Over 0.5 Assists +155 BetMGM logo

Josh Doan (Sabres) has had at least one assist in 5 straight games. We’re sweet on him covering the Player Assists line, especially with the odds of +155 available that this happens.

Latest Josh Doan Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Sabres
To Score Tage Thompson
Assists Josh Doan Over 0.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes the Sabres on the moneyline combined with Tage Thompson (Sabres) to score and Josh Doan (Sabres) to have Over 0.5 assists.

A hockey same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Books

Buffalo Sabres are on offer at -120 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Montreal Canadiens available at -100. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 50% according to the most popular sportsbooks.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -130.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to betting on this popular league and we recommend visiting the best NHL sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Tage Thompson is the First Goalscorer Favorite

There is +160 available that Tage Thompson finds the net at anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +1050.

Player Goals

Tage Thompson (Sabres)
First
+160
Anytime
+1050
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Cole Caufield (Canadiens)
First
+170
Anytime
+1050
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Alex Tuch (Sabres)
First
+195
Anytime
+1150
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Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)
First
+210
Anytime
+1250
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Player Assists

Lane Hutson (Canadiens)
Over 0.5
-149
Under 0.5
+110
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Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)
Over 0.5
-130
Under 0.5
-100
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Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)
Over 0.5
-105
Under 0.5
-125
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Tage Thompson (Sabres)
Over 0.5
+110
Under 0.5
-149
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Player Shots

Tage Thompson (Sabres)
Over 3.5
-100
Under 3.5
-141
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Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)
Over 2.5
-135
Under 2.5
-100
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Cole Caufield (Canadiens)
Over 2.5
-164
Under 2.5
+120
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Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Last 5 & H2H

Head to Head

Montreal vs Buffalo
  • NHL: 13/05 2026 Sabres 3 Canadiens 2
  • NHL: 11/05 2026 Sabres 2 Canadiens 6
  • NHL: 09/05 2026 Canadiens 5 Sabres 1
  • NHL: 07/05 2026 Canadiens 2 Sabres 4
  • NHL: 01/02 2026 Canadiens 4 Sabres 2
  • NHL: 23/01 2026 Sabres 4 Canadiens 2
  • NHL: 16/01 2026 Canadiens 3 Sabres 5
  • NHL: 21/10 2025 Sabres 2 Canadiens 4
  • NHL: 04/03 2025 Sabres 3 Canadiens 4
  • NHL: 02/03 2025 Canadiens 4 Sabres 2
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Montreal Canadiens logo Montreal Canadiens Stats
Buffalo Sabres logo Buffalo Sabres Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games
Puck Line
Puck Line
Total Goals
Total Goals
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News
# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
48 Lane Hutson 11 26.17 2 8 10 2
14 Nick Suzuki 11 22.32 3 6 9 -4
13 Cole Caufield 11 18.63 3 4 7 -6
# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
72 Tage Thompson 10 19.93 4 7 11 0
91 Josh Doan 10 15.54 2 7 9 5
89 Alex Tuch 10 20.95 4 3 7 2

Injuries & Suspensions

Montreal Canadiens Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Patrik Laine
Injured

Buffalo Sabres Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Justin Danforth
Injured
Noah Oestlund
Injured
Jiri Kulich
Unavailable

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Montreal Canadiens Lineups

12 May NHL Playoffs
Sabres 3-2 Canadiens
10 May NHL Playoffs
Sabres 2-6 Canadiens
08 May NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 5-1 Sabres
06 May NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 2-4 Sabres
03 May NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 2-1 Lightning
01 May NHL Playoffs
Lightning 1-0 Canadiens
29 Apr NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 3-2 Lightning
26 Apr NHL Playoffs
Lightning 3-2 Canadiens
24 Apr NHL Playoffs
Lightning 2-3 Canadiens
21 Apr NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 2-3 Lightning

Previous Buffalo Sabres Lineups

12 May NHL Playoffs
Sabres 3-2 Canadiens
10 May NHL Playoffs
Sabres 2-6 Canadiens
08 May NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 5-1 Sabres
06 May NHL Playoffs
Canadiens 2-4 Sabres
01 May NHL Playoffs
Sabres 4-1 Bruins
28 Apr NHL Playoffs
Bruins 2-1 Sabres
26 Apr NHL Playoffs
Sabres 6-1 Bruins
23 Apr NHL Playoffs
Sabres 3-1 Bruins
21 Apr NHL Playoffs
Bruins 4-2 Sabres
19 Apr NHL Playoffs
Bruins 3-4 Sabres
NHL Standings Select Season
Metropolitan GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 82 53 22 7 113 0.689 39 48 296 240 56 29-10-2 24-12-5 5-4 7-3 1W
2 Pittsburgh 82 41 25 16 98 0.598 34 38 293 268 25 20-13-8 21-12-8 3-10 5-5 3L
3 Philadelphia 82 43 27 12 98 0.598 27 33 250 243 7 20-13-8 23-14-4 10-4 7-3 3W
4 Washington 82 43 30 9 95 0.579 37 41 263 244 19 25-11-5 18-19-4 2-6 8-2 4W
5 Columbus 82 40 30 12 92 0.561 28 33 253 253 0 20-13-8 20-17-4 7-2 2-8 2L
6 NY Islanders 82 43 34 5 91 0.555 29 39 233 241 -8 22-17-2 21-17-3 4-5 3-7 3L
7 New Jersey 82 42 37 3 87 0.53 29 38 230 254 -24 21-17-3 21-20-0 4-1 5-5 1L
8 NY Rangers 82 34 39 9 77 0.47 25 31 238 250 -12 14-20-7 20-19-2 3-1 6-4 1W
East Atlantic GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Buffalo 82 50 23 9 109 0.665 42 45 288 241 47 26-10-5 24-13-4 5-1 6-4 1L
2 Tampa Bay 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 40 46 290 231 59 26-14-1 24-12-5 4-2 5-5 1L
3 Montreal 82 48 24 10 106 0.646 34 44 283 256 27 24-15-2 24-9-8 4-5 7-3 1L
4 Boston 82 45 27 10 100 0.61 33 41 272 250 22 29-11-1 16-16-9 4-3 5-5 2W
5 Ottawa 82 44 27 11 99 0.604 38 41 278 246 32 23-12-6 21-15-5 3-1 6-4 1W
6 Detroit 82 41 31 10 92 0.561 30 39 241 258 -17 21-16-4 20-15-6 2-4 2-8 3L
7 Florida 82 40 38 4 84 0.512 32 35 251 276 -25 23-15-3 17-23-1 5-2 5-5 3W
8 Toronto 82 32 36 14 78 0.476 23 31 253 299 -46 18-15-8 14-21-6 1-4 2-8 7L
East Central GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Colorado 81 54 16 11 119 0.735 47 50 300 203 97 25-9-6 29-7-5 4-6 6-4 2W
2 Dallas 82 50 20 12 112 0.683 38 44 279 226 53 26-11-4 24-9-8 6-4 7-3 5W
3 Minnesota 82 46 24 12 104 0.634 31 42 272 240 32 23-10-8 23-14-4 4-5 6-4 1W
4 Utah 82 43 33 6 92 0.561 33 43 268 240 28 22-16-3 21-17-3 0-0 6-4 1L
5 St Louis 82 37 33 12 86 0.524 33 36 231 258 -27 20-14-7 17-19-5 1-4 6-4 4W
6 Nashville 82 38 34 10 86 0.524 28 33 247 269 -22 21-17-3 17-17-7 5-2 4-6 2L
7 Winnipeg 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 231 260 -29 19-16-6 16-19-6 2-4 5-5 4L
8 Chicago 82 29 39 14 72 0.439 22 26 213 275 -62 14-19-8 15-20-6 3-5 2-8 1W
West Pacific GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Vegas 82 39 26 17 95 0.579 30 38 265 250 15 20-12-9 19-14-8 1-8 7-3 3W
2 Edmonton 82 41 30 11 93 0.567 32 41 282 269 13 22-14-5 19-16-6 0-4 6-4 1W
3 Anaheim 82 43 33 6 92 0.561 26 35 273 288 -15 24-13-4 19-20-2 8-0 2-8 1W
4 LA Kings 82 35 27 20 90 0.549 22 30 225 247 -22 15-17-9 20-10-11 5-9 6-4 2L
5 San Jose 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 27 37 251 292 -41 21-14-6 18-21-2 2-2 5-5 1W
6 Seattle 81 34 36 11 79 0.488 26 32 226 261 -35 19-17-5 15-19-6 2-6 2-8 2L
7 Calgary 82 34 39 9 77 0.47 27 30 212 259 -47 23-13-5 11-26-4 4-3 4-6 1W
8 Vancouver 82 25 49 8 58 0.354 15 19 216 316 -100 9-27-5 16-22-3 6-2 4-6 1L
Eastern GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 82 53 22 7 113 0.689 39 48 296 240 56 29-10-2 24-12-5 5-4 7-3 1W
2 Buffalo 82 50 23 9 109 0.665 42 45 288 241 47 26-10-5 24-13-4 5-1 6-4 1L
3 Tampa Bay 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 40 46 290 231 59 26-14-1 24-12-5 4-2 5-5 1L
4 Montreal 82 48 24 10 106 0.646 34 44 283 256 27 24-15-2 24-9-8 4-5 7-3 1L
5 Boston 82 45 27 10 100 0.61 33 41 272 250 22 29-11-1 16-16-9 4-3 5-5 2W
6 Ottawa 82 44 27 11 99 0.604 38 41 278 246 32 23-12-6 21-15-5 3-1 6-4 1W
7 Pittsburgh 82 41 25 16 98 0.598 34 38 293 268 25 20-13-8 21-12-8 3-10 5-5 3L
8 Philadelphia 82 43 27 12 98 0.598 27 33 250 243 7 20-13-8 23-14-4 10-4 7-3 3W
9 Washington 82 43 30 9 95 0.579 37 41 263 244 19 25-11-5 18-19-4 2-6 8-2 4W
10 Detroit 82 41 31 10 92 0.561 30 39 241 258 -17 21-16-4 20-15-6 2-4 2-8 3L
11 Columbus 82 40 30 12 92 0.561 28 33 253 253 0 20-13-8 20-17-4 7-2 2-8 2L
12 NY Islanders 82 43 34 5 91 0.555 29 39 233 241 -8 22-17-2 21-17-3 4-5 3-7 3L
13 New Jersey 82 42 37 3 87 0.53 29 38 230 254 -24 21-17-3 21-20-0 4-1 5-5 1L
14 Florida 82 40 38 4 84 0.512 32 35 251 276 -25 23-15-3 17-23-1 5-2 5-5 3W
15 Toronto 82 32 36 14 78 0.476 23 31 253 299 -46 18-15-8 14-21-6 1-4 2-8 7L
16 NY Rangers 82 34 39 9 77 0.47 25 31 238 250 -12 14-20-7 20-19-2 3-1 6-4 1W
Western GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Colorado 81 54 16 11 119 0.735 47 50 300 203 97 25-9-6 29-7-5 4-6 6-4 2W
2 Dallas 82 50 20 12 112 0.683 38 44 279 226 53 26-11-4 24-9-8 6-4 7-3 5W
3 Minnesota 82 46 24 12 104 0.634 31 42 272 240 32 23-10-8 23-14-4 4-5 6-4 1W
4 Vegas 82 39 26 17 95 0.579 30 38 265 250 15 20-12-9 19-14-8 1-8 7-3 3W
5 Edmonton 82 41 30 11 93 0.567 32 41 282 269 13 22-14-5 19-16-6 0-4 6-4 1W
6 Utah 82 43 33 6 92 0.561 33 43 268 240 28 22-16-3 21-17-3 0-0 6-4 1L
7 Anaheim 82 43 33 6 92 0.561 26 35 273 288 -15 24-13-4 19-20-2 8-0 2-8 1W
8 LA Kings 82 35 27 20 90 0.549 22 30 225 247 -22 15-17-9 20-10-11 5-9 6-4 2L
9 St Louis 82 37 33 12 86 0.524 33 36 231 258 -27 20-14-7 17-19-5 1-4 6-4 4W
10 Nashville 82 38 34 10 86 0.524 28 33 247 269 -22 21-17-3 17-17-7 5-2 4-6 2L
11 San Jose 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 27 37 251 292 -41 21-14-6 18-21-2 2-2 5-5 1W
12 Winnipeg 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 231 260 -29 19-16-6 16-19-6 2-4 5-5 4L
13 Seattle 81 34 36 11 79 0.488 26 32 226 261 -35 19-17-5 15-19-6 2-6 2-8 2L
14 Calgary 82 34 39 9 77 0.47 27 30 212 259 -47 23-13-5 11-26-4 4-3 4-6 1W
15 Chicago 82 29 39 14 72 0.439 22 26 213 275 -62 14-19-8 15-20-6 3-5 2-8 1W
16 Vancouver 82 25 49 8 58 0.354 15 19 216 316 -100 9-27-5 16-22-3 6-2 4-6 1L
GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Colorado 81 54 16 11 119 0.735 47 50 300 203 97 25-9-6 29-7-5 4-6 6-4 2W
2 Carolina 82 53 22 7 113 0.689 39 48 296 240 56 29-10-2 24-12-5 5-4 7-3 1W
3 Dallas 82 50 20 12 112 0.683 38 44 279 226 53 26-11-4 24-9-8 6-4 7-3 5W
4 Buffalo 82 50 23 9 109 0.665 42 45 288 241 47 26-10-5 24-13-4 5-1 6-4 1L
5 Tampa Bay 82 50 26 6 106 0.646 40 46 290 231 59 26-14-1 24-12-5 4-2 5-5 1L
6 Montreal 82 48 24 10 106 0.646 34 44 283 256 27 24-15-2 24-9-8 4-5 7-3 1L
7 Minnesota 82 46 24 12 104 0.634 31 42 272 240 32 23-10-8 23-14-4 4-5 6-4 1W
8 Boston 82 45 27 10 100 0.61 33 41 272 250 22 29-11-1 16-16-9 4-3 5-5 2W
9 Ottawa 82 44 27 11 99 0.604 38 41 278 246 32 23-12-6 21-15-5 3-1 6-4 1W
10 Pittsburgh 82 41 25 16 98 0.598 34 38 293 268 25 20-13-8 21-12-8 3-10 5-5 3L
11 Philadelphia 82 43 27 12 98 0.598 27 33 250 243 7 20-13-8 23-14-4 10-4 7-3 3W
12 Washington 82 43 30 9 95 0.579 37 41 263 244 19 25-11-5 18-19-4 2-6 8-2 4W
13 Vegas 82 39 26 17 95 0.579 30 38 265 250 15 20-12-9 19-14-8 1-8 7-3 3W
14 Edmonton 82 41 30 11 93 0.567 32 41 282 269 13 22-14-5 19-16-6 0-4 6-4 1W
15 Utah 82 43 33 6 92 0.561 33 43 268 240 28 22-16-3 21-17-3 0-0 6-4 1L
16 Detroit 82 41 31 10 92 0.561 30 39 241 258 -17 21-16-4 20-15-6 2-4 2-8 3L
17 Columbus 82 40 30 12 92 0.561 28 33 253 253 0 20-13-8 20-17-4 7-2 2-8 2L
18 Anaheim 82 43 33 6 92 0.561 26 35 273 288 -15 24-13-4 19-20-2 8-0 2-8 1W
19 NY Islanders 82 43 34 5 91 0.555 29 39 233 241 -8 22-17-2 21-17-3 4-5 3-7 3L
20 LA Kings 82 35 27 20 90 0.549 22 30 225 247 -22 15-17-9 20-10-11 5-9 6-4 2L
21 New Jersey 82 42 37 3 87 0.53 29 38 230 254 -24 21-17-3 21-20-0 4-1 5-5 1L
22 St Louis 82 37 33 12 86 0.524 33 36 231 258 -27 20-14-7 17-19-5 1-4 6-4 4W
23 Nashville 82 38 34 10 86 0.524 28 33 247 269 -22 21-17-3 17-17-7 5-2 4-6 2L
24 San Jose 82 39 35 8 86 0.524 27 37 251 292 -41 21-14-6 18-21-2 2-2 5-5 1W
25 Florida 82 40 38 4 84 0.512 32 35 251 276 -25 23-15-3 17-23-1 5-2 5-5 3W
26 Winnipeg 82 35 35 12 82 0.5 28 33 231 260 -29 19-16-6 16-19-6 2-4 5-5 4L
27 Seattle 81 34 36 11 79 0.488 26 32 226 261 -35 19-17-5 15-19-6 2-6 2-8 2L
28 Toronto 82 32 36 14 78 0.476 23 31 253 299 -46 18-15-8 14-21-6 1-4 2-8 7L
29 Calgary 82 34 39 9 77 0.47 27 30 212 259 -47 23-13-5 11-26-4 4-3 4-6 1W
30 NY Rangers 82 34 39 9 77 0.47 25 31 238 250 -12 14-20-7 20-19-2 3-1 6-4 1W
31 Chicago 82 29 39 14 72 0.439 22 26 213 275 -62 14-19-8 15-20-6 3-5 2-8 1W
32 Vancouver 82 25 49 8 58 0.354 15 19 216 316 -100 9-27-5 16-22-3 6-2 4-6 1L