New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Sep 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Islanders vs Maple Leafs

The New York Islanders go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Wednesday, September 30.

There are many reasons to support the prediction that the Islanders will get the better of the Maple Leafs. Therefore, we’re heading to the Moneyline where you can get an attractive -100.

The New York Islanders enter the new season under Pete DeBoer, who replaced Patrick Roy late last term. Former captain Anders Lee departed during the offseason, while Bo Horvat has taken over the captaincy. Matias Maccelli and Matthew Kessel are among the new additions, with youngsters Victor Eklund and Calum Ritchie also making the opening roster.

The Islanders closed out the 2025-26 season with a 2-1 home defeat to Carolina Hurricanes at UBS Arena, finishing the campaign 43-34-5 and missing the playoffs. New York registered 30 shots, with Bo Horvat scoring his 31st goal of the season and 300th of his NHL career. Mathew Barzal recorded his 53rd assist, while Victor Eklund picked up his first NHL point on his debut. David Rittich made 19 saves.

The Toronto Maple Leafs have a new look this season, with Jim Hiller replacing Craig Berube as head coach and Sergei Bobrovsky taking over as the No. 1 goalie. No. 1 draft pick Gavin McKenna is another major addition, while Kirill Marchenko joined Toronto in a blockbuster trade just before the season began.

The Leafs opened their season last night with a 3-2 home defeat against Montreal Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena. William Nylander scored both Toronto goals on a team-high five shots, while Kirill Marchenko, Morgan Rielly, Easton Cowan and John Tavares each recorded an assist. Sergei Bobrovsky made 21 saves on 24 shots in his Maple Leafs debut.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Islanders beat the Leafs 5-3 at UBS Arena in their most recent matchup. New York has won three straight games against Toronto and owns an 8-2 record over the past 10 meetings.

Starting Goalies

Ilya Sorokin (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
25/26	29-24-2	2.7	.906	7

Anthony Stolarz (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
25/26	10-10-3	3.3	.893	0

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting angles, including a key match prediction, our correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping our pick simple and backing New York Islanders to claim a victory. They should be able to win this NHL clash and you can get the road team at a juicy -100.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert hockey picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate NHL predictions possible.

Key Islanders vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have lost their last 8 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 9 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 15 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 3 games against Islanders.

Islanders Moneyline Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are lots of good alternatives to simply betting Islanders to win and perhaps Puck Line could be the way to go. We also recommend Winning Margin and 3-Way Moneyline.

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Our Game Prediction

Islanders Moneyline @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 30, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Islanders 3 - 2 Maple Leafs

We’re going for the Islanders at +950 to secure a 3-2 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Islanders

Maple Leafs

1-0

Islanders

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-0

Islanders

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4000

2-1

Islanders

+1400

Maple Leafs

+1300

3-0

Islanders

+2900

Maple Leafs

+2800

3-1

Islanders

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-2

Islanders

+950

Maple Leafs

+900

4-0

Islanders

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4000

4-1

Islanders

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-2

Islanders

+1400

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Islanders

+1050

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Islanders

+1050

Maple Leafs

+7000

5-1

Islanders

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2500

5-2

Islanders

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1500

5-3

Islanders

+2000

Maple Leafs

+2000

5-4

Islanders

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1600

6-1

Islanders

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-2

Islanders

+4000

Maple Leafs

+3000

6-3

Islanders

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2800

6-4

Islanders

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Islanders

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

7-2

Islanders

+4500

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-3

Islanders

+4500

Maple Leafs

+6600

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of -120 about Toronto Maple Leafs winning, with New York Islanders currently available at -100. This means the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 50% chance of success.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 6.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +110.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League matchup, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Islanders

-100

Maple Leafs

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Islanders

+160

Tie

+335

Maple Leafs

+128

Puck Line

Islanders +1.5

-233

Maple Leafs -1.5

+186

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Islanders Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 4.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 14.1
• Faceoff Wins : 30.7
• Hits: 19.5
• Giveaways: 14.6
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 30.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10
• Blocks: 15.6
• Faceoff Wins : 29.6
• Hits: 22.9
• Giveaways: 13
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 21.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 13.4
• Blocks: 11.6
• Faceoff Wins : 27.7
• Hits: 23.7
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 12
• Blocks: 12
• Faceoff Wins : 29
• Hits: 23.7
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 3.8

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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