Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 03 Oct 2026

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

Best Bet

Senators Moneyline @ -102

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There is -102 on offer when it comes to the Senators on the Moneyline and we’re expecting the visitors to beat the Maple Leafs. There’s plenty of juice when it comes to backing our prediction.

Our Senators vs Maple Leafs picks go beyond the Best Bet, with a Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction also featured. Scroll down for a closer look at the reasoning behind the card.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Ottawa Senators meet the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, October 3.

Ottawa Senators were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Carolina Hurricanes by a 4-2 scoreline at Canadian Tire Centre. Drake Batherson and Dylan Cozens scored one goal each. Goalie Linus Ullmark had 26 saves (.929).

Toronto Maple Leafs won their last game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Scotiabank Arena against New York Islanders. Colton Sissons and Easton Cowan scored one goal each. Goalie Anthony Stolarz played a starring role, stopping 26 shots (.963).

H2H: Sens 3-1 to the Good in Previous H2H

The last head-to-head saw the Sens claim a 3-1 win over the Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre. The Sens have won three on the spin against the Leafs. They’ve also claimed 5 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

Starting Goalies

Linus Ullmark (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
25/26	28-16-8	2.7	.895	3

Sergei Bobrovsky (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	0-1-0	3.1	.875	0
25/26	27-23-1	3.1	.877	4

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 28.3 shots on goal, with a 22.2% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have given up 2.2 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.0%.

Drake Batherson is the top points scorer with 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists, with Dylan Cozens recording 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 1.78 goal against average with a .937 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 2 wins, 7 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.7 goals from 22.7 shots on goal, with a 27.3% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 4.3 goals from 30.7 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.4%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 14 points, 7 goals and 7 assists, while John Tavares is next best after having 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 2.62 GAA with a .906 SV%.

Best Bet

It’s time to side with Senators to record a victory in this NHL clash. The road team should have the upper hand and the -102 for our pick on the Moneyline looks a generous price.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Maple Leafs have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 3 games against Senators.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our hockey predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NHL action.

Sens Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you’re confident with your Moneyline pick but want more juice from your wager, then a Bet Builder provides the opportunity to add in other selections for a bigger return.

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Senators Moneyline @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Senators 4 - 1 Maple Leafs

A 4-1 win in favor of the Senators can be backed at odds of +1600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Senators

Maple Leafs

1-0

Senators

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-0

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4500

2-1

Senators

+1400

Maple Leafs

+1400

3-0

Senators

+3300

Maple Leafs

+3000

3-1

Senators

+1700

Maple Leafs

+1600

3-2

Senators

+950

Maple Leafs

+900

4-0

Senators

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4500

4-1

Senators

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1500

4-2

Senators

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Senators

+1050

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-1

Senators

+2900

Maple Leafs

+2400

5-2

Senators

+1800

Maple Leafs

+1500

5-3

Senators

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1900

5-4

Senators

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1500

6-1

Senators

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-2

Senators

+3500

Maple Leafs

+3300

6-3

Senators

+3000

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-4

Senators

+4500

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-5

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4000

7-2

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-3

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-4

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+6000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Toronto Maple Leafs are -118 to win against Ottawa Senators who are priced at betting odds of -102. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 54% likely to claim a victory.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to back Over 6.5, it’s +110.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League matchup, visit the best sportsbooks and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Senators

-102

Maple Leafs

-118

3-Way Moneyline

Senators

+165

Tie

+295

Maple Leafs

+135

Puck Line

Senators +1.5

-250

Maple Leafs -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ottawa Senators Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.10 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.60 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 4.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 8.6
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 33.3
• Hits: 31.1
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.7
• Blocks: 13.4
• Faceoff Wins : 31
• Hits: 25.7
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 5.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 22.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 13.8
• Blocks: 12.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 23.3
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 25
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 12.2
• Blocks: 11.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.8
• Hits: 23
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 3.8

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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