Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Oct 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals Predictions

Best Bet

Capitals 3-Way Moneyline @ -105

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We’re keeping things simple by backing the Capitals on the 3-Way Moneyline. They should get the better of the Penguins and our betting prediction is available at odds of -105.

Get our expert Penguins vs Capitals picks, including our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Scroll down for a closer look at the reasoning behind the card.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins square off against the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Wednesday, October 7.

Pittsburgh Penguins lost when they last took to the ice. At PPG PAINTS Arena, they were turned over 3-2 at home to Winnipeg Jets. Declan Carlile and Benjamin Kindel scored one goal apiece.

Washington Capitals were beaten last game and this was on the road at Benchmark International Arena. Tampa Bay Lightning claimed a 3-1 win. Charlie Lindgren recorded 27 saves (.931), with Justin Sourdif scoring the only goal.

H2H: Caps Won 3-0 When Teams Last Met

The Caps have won the last two meetings against the Penguins. They triumphed 6-3 at PPG PAINTS Arena and then 3-0 at Capital One Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Caps have won six.

Starting Goalies

Arturs Silovs (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	2-0-0	2.5	.886	1
25/26	21-13-8	3	.891	2

Logan Thompson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	1-0-0	2	.939	0
25/26	31-21-6	2.5	.912	4

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 28.2 shots on goal, with a 13.7% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have given up 3.1 goals from 26.4 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.8%.

Evgeni Malkin is the top points scorer with 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, with Erik Karlsson racking up 7 points, 1 goal and 6 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Arturs Silovs have a 2.14 goal against average with a .911 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Caps have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 24.7 shots on goal, with a 16.2% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.0 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.

The top points scorer is Tom Wilson with 13 points, 5 goals and 7 assists, while Pierre-Luc Dubois is next in line after registering 12 points, 1 goal and 11 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.44 GAA with a .907 SV%, including two shutouts.

Best Bet

Our pick is that there will be a home win in this NHL clash. You can currently get -105 about a regulation time win which looks like great odds.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

• Capitals have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Capitals have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Capitals have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• Penguins have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Penguins have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Capitals have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our NHL analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our hockey predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Caps 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The top betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

If you also have a strong view on the Over / Under line, then it could be worth a Match Winner & Total Goals wager where you can effectively back Washington at a bigger price.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Capitals 3-Way Moneyline @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 6, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Penguins 2 - 3 Capitals

The Capitals are available at +900 to win by a 3-2 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Penguins

Capitals

1-0

Penguins

+7000

Capitals

+5500

2-0

Penguins

+5500

Capitals

+4000

2-1

Penguins

+1500

Capitals

+1400

3-0

Penguins

+4500

Capitals

+2800

3-1

Penguins

+2000

Capitals

+1500

3-2

Penguins

+1000

Capitals

+900

4-0

Penguins

+6600

Capitals

+3500

4-1

Penguins

+2200

Capitals

+1400

4-2

Penguins

+1700

Capitals

+1300

4-3

Penguins

+1100

Capitals

+950

5-0

Penguins

+1100

Capitals

+5500

5-1

Penguins

+3500

Capitals

+2000

5-2

Penguins

+2200

Capitals

+1300

5-3

Penguins

+2500

Capitals

+1700

5-4

Penguins

+1700

Capitals

+1400

6-1

Penguins

+1700

Capitals

+3500

6-2

Penguins

+5500

Capitals

+2500

6-3

Penguins

+3500

Capitals

+2200

6-4

Penguins

+5000

Capitals

+3400

6-5

Penguins

+4000

Capitals

+3500

7-1

Penguins

+4000

Capitals

+5500

7-2

Penguins

+4000

Capitals

+4500

7-3

Penguins

+4000

Capitals

+5000

7-4

Penguins

+4000

Capitals

+5000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Washington Capitals are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -164 about them triumphing means a 62% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Pittsburgh Penguins are the underdogs at +136 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. The best sportsbooks have a huge range of pre-game and in-game betting options.

Moneyline

Penguins

+136

Capitals

-164

3-Way Moneyline

Penguins

+225

Tie

+325

Capitals

-105

Puck Line

Penguins +1.5

-169

Capitals -1.5

+138

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-106

Over 6.5

-114

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.80 pts and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 12.8
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 25.7
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 13.1
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 5.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.4
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 25.4
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 13.9
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 7.2
• Blocks: 11.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.6
• Hits: 20.2
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 5.2

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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