Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Kraken vs Lightning

The Seattle Kraken meet the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 18:00 on Thursday, March 26.

The Lightning should prove too strong for the Kraken and our prediction is to back them at -1.5 on the puck line. The odds of -115 looks like a value proposition.

Seattle Kraken have been defeated in their previous four games. On the road, they recently suffered a 5-4 (SO) loss against Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena. Jordan Eberle found the net along with three other players.

Tampa Bay Lightning won their last game which was at home. It was a 6-3 triumph at Benchmark International Arena against Minnesota Wild. Darren Raddysh recorded 3 points which includes 1 goal and 2 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the Lightning and the Kraken saw the former win. It was a 6-2 scoreline at Climate Pledge Arena. The Lightning have four straight victories against the Kraken. They have won 8 of the 9 previous head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Philipp Grubauer (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-12-4	2.7	.909	0
23/24	14-16-2	2.85	.899	2

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	39-15-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

2 wins, 7 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.9 goals from 27.7 shots on goal, with a 13.3% powerplay efficiency. The Kraken have given up 4.1 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

Jordan Eberle is the top points scorer with 10 points, 1 goal and 9 assists, with Matthew Beniers recording 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Joey Daccord have a 3.78 goal against average with a .867 save percentage.

The Lightning have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.6 goals from 27.2 shots on goal, with a 17.4% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.3 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.3%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 24 points, 8 goals and 16 assists, while Brandon Hagel is next in line after having 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.27 GAA with a .914 SV%.

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, correct score suggestion, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning could prove too strong in this NHL encounter and there’s lots of juice when it comes to backing them on the puck line. Take the -115 that the favorites cover a -1.5 goal deficit.

Team news plays a key role in our hockey predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NHL form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Kraken vs Lightning stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Lightning in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Lightning in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kraken in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Kraken in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Lightning in 3 consecutive games against Kraken.

Lightning -1.5 Probability

According to the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 53.5% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

There’s an opportunity to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your Puck Line pick by taking an alternative betting view.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning -1.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 25, 22:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Hagel Over 0.5 Assists -105

Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has recorded at least one assist in 4 of the past 5 games. We can therefore place a Player Assists wager at an eye-catching -105 in the hope that our pick covers the line.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Kraken 3 - 6 Lightning

The Lightning are available at +2000 when it comes to them winning 6-3. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Kraken

Lightning

1-0

Kraken

+6600

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Kraken

+7000

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Kraken

+2000

Lightning

+1400

3-0

Kraken

+6000

Lightning

+2200

3-1

Kraken

+3000

Lightning

+1500

3-2

Kraken

+1200

Lightning

+800

4-0

Kraken

+9000

Lightning

+2200

4-1

Kraken

+3300

Lightning

+1000

4-2

Kraken

+2500

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Kraken

+1400

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Kraken

+1400

Lightning

+3500

5-1

Kraken

+6000

Lightning

+1300

5-2

Kraken

+3400

Lightning

+1050

5-3

Kraken

+3500

Lightning

+1900

5-4

Kraken

+2500

Lightning

+1900

6-0

Kraken

+2500

Lightning

+5000

6-1

Kraken

+14000

Lightning

+2800

6-2

Kraken

+7000

Lightning

+1800

6-3

Kraken

+5500

Lightning

+2000

6-4

Kraken

+7000

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Kraken

+6000

Lightning

+4500

7-0

Kraken

+6000

Lightning

+8000

7-1

Kraken

+6000

Lightning

+4500

7-2

Kraken

+6000

Lightning

+4000

7-3

Kraken

+11000

Lightning

+3500

7-4

Kraken

+10000

Lightning

+5000

7-5

Kraken

+14000

Lightning

+9000

7-6

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+11000

8-0

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+7500

8-2

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+7000

8-3

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+8000

8-4

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+8000

8-5

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+12000

9-1

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+12500

9-2

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+12000

9-3

Kraken

+13000

Lightning

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favorites are 76% likely to win according to the sportsbooks’ latest Moneyline odds, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced at -313 to triumph in this game. Seattle Kraken are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +245.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +104.

You can find hundreds of game lines and team props for every National Hockey League clash, with the top betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Kraken

+245

Lightning

-313

3-Way Moneyline

Kraken

+420

Tie

+375

Lightning

-185

Puck Line

Kraken +1.5

-102

Lightning -1.5

-120

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-128

Over 6.5

+104

We’re fond of player props as an alternative to betting on the game lines. The gambling sites will have Shots, Blocked Shots, Goals, Assists and Goaltender Saves among the choices and you can take a particular view.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Seattle Kraken Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.60 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.60 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 6.2
• Blocks: 11.1
• Faceoff Wins : 26.5
• Hits: 19.1
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 5

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.3
• Blocks: 12.7
• Faceoff Wins : 26.8
• Hits: 16
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 14.9
• Blocks: 14.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.1
• Hits: 22.3
• Giveaways: 14.2
• Takeaways: 3.8

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 31.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 19.8
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28.7
• Hits: 24.2
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 3.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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