Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Bruins

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Boston Bruins at TD Garden, with face-off scheduled for 12:30 on Saturday, April 11.

We’re heading to the Moneyline and our betting prediction is for the Bruins to win. They have a strong chance of beating the Lightning and the +102 makes plenty of appeal.

Tampa Bay Lightning have been defeated in their previous four road games. They recently suffered a 2-1 loss against Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre. Darren Raddysh bagged the only goal from just 18 Lightning shots.

Boston Bruins have been beaten in their last four games. On the road at Lenovo Center, Carolina Hurricanes recently beat them 6-5 (OT). Morgan Geekie managed a hat trick, with Hampus Lindholm and Pavel Zacha also on the scoresheet. Goalie Joonas Korpisalo made a total of 16 saves (.941).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Benchmark International Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Bruins. The Lightning have enjoyed four consecutive victories against the Bruins. They’ve landed 7 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	39-15-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Jeremy Swayman (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	31-18-4	2.7	.907	2
23/24	25-10-7	2.53	.916	3

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.1 goals from 27.9 shots on goal, with a 7.6% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 3.1 goals from 25.5 shots, averaging 7.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.6%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 14 points, 6 goals and 8 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 3 goals and 6 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.53 goal against average with a .894 save percentage.

The Bruins have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.3 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 16.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 29.8 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.4%.

The top points scorer is David Pastrnak with 15 points, 2 goals and 13 assists, while Pavel Zacha is next best after registering 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Jeremy Swayman have a 3.09 GAA with a .903 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Prediction & Picks

Get set for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re keeping our pick nice and simple by heading to the Moneyline. Take the +102 that Boston Bruins are able to secure a victory in this NHL encounter.

We only publish our hockey predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable NHL stats to support every pick we make.

Key Lightning vs Bruins stats:

• Bruins have won 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• Bruins have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Bruins have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Lightning have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Lightning have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Bruins Moneyline Probability

The best sportsbooks make it a 49.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

We recommend going down the Bet Builder route if you want to bet on the Moneyline and also throw in some other combinations until you’re happy with the overall odds.

Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Bruins Moneyline @ +102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 10, 16:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: David Pastrnak Over 0.5 Assists -185

David Pastrnak (Bruins) has finished with one assist or more in 5 straight games at home. Using this stat, we can therefore back him at -185 when it comes to a Player Assists bet which looks like a value pick.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 1 - 3 Bruins

The Bruins are available to back at +1800 to secure a 3-1 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Bruins

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Bruins

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Bruins

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3000

Bruins

+3300

3-1

Lightning

+1800

Bruins

+1800

3-2

Lightning

+850

Bruins

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4000

Bruins

+4000

4-1

Lightning

+1500

Bruins

+1600

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Bruins

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Bruins

+1050

5-0

Lightning

+6600

Bruins

+7500

5-1

Lightning

+2400

Bruins

+2800

5-2

Lightning

+1600

Bruins

+1800

5-3

Lightning

+2400

Bruins

+2500

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Bruins

+2200

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Bruins

+12000

6-1

Lightning

+5500

Bruins

+6600

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Bruins

+3500

6-3

Lightning

+3000

Bruins

+3300

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Bruins

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Bruins

+11000

7-2

Lightning

+8000

Bruins

+9000

7-3

Lightning

+5500

Bruins

+6600

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Bruins

+7500

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Bruins

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Bruins

+12500

8-4

Lightning

+12000

Bruins

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of +104 that Boston Bruins land victory, with Tampa Bay Lightning alternatively at -125. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 49% likely to claim a victory.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you're keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at +106.

National Hockey League fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top betting apps and find the best value wagers.

Moneyline

Lightning

-125

Bruins

+104

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+133

Tie

+325

Bruins

+155

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+198

Bruins +1.5

-250

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

Should you be more interested in a specific player, check out the gambling sites’ prop bets where you can pick out goalie and player props that focus on performance rather than the game lines and final score. For example Goaltender Saves and Powerplay Points.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on the NHL and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Boston Bruins Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.80 pts and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 7.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 19.6
• Blocks: 16.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27.6
• Hits: 20.9
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 6.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 19.6
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 27.8
• Hits: 22.1
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 4.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 26.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 9.3
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 33.9
• Hits: 20
• Giveaways: 18.9
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.6
• Penalty Minutes: 9.4
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 32.1
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 17.6
• Takeaways: 4.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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