Tampa Bay Lightning

Ice Hockey NHL KeyBank Center Wed 11 Nov 19:00

Buffalo Sabres

  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Correct Score
  4. Odds
  5. Team Stats
  6. Player Stats
  7. Player Props
  8. Team News
  9. Lineups
  10. Injuries
  11. Roster
  12. Standings
  13. Live Stream

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Best Bet

Lightning Moneyline @ -125

Bet Now BetMGM logo T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Back Lightning to Beat Sabres

The Lightning are on offer at -125 when it comes to the Moneyline. Our prediction is that the visitors will have the edge over the Sabres and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

Get our primary Lightning vs Sabres picks, built around our Best Bet, Same Game Parlay and Correct Score Prediction. Review the dedicated breakdowns below for the full reasoning behind the plays.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, November 11.

Tampa Bay Lightning suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 4-3 scoreline occurred on the road at Canada Life Centre against Winnipeg Jets. Pontus Holmberg registered two goals, with Brandon Hagel scoring one.

Buffalo Sabres were beaten 4-1 at KeyBank Center in their last game, being turned over at home to Vegas Golden Knights. Sabres had 28 shots and Beck Malenstyn scored the only goal.

H2H: 4-2 Win for Sabres in Pair’s Last Meeting

The scoreline was 4-2 in favor of the Sabres when they last played the Lightning, with the encounter taking place at KeyBank Center. The Sabres have enjoyed three consecutive victories against the Lightning. They’ve landed 6 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
26/27 8-4-1 2.9 .883 0
25/26 42-19-4 2.3 .910 3
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Expected)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
26/27 5-3-3 3.3 .878 0
25/26 25-12-3 2.6 .904 1
Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 4.2 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 24.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.3 goals from 25.0 shots, averaging 3.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.3%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 14 points, 4 goals and 10 assists, with Brayden Point racking up 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.11 goal against average with a .881 save percentage.

Buffalo Sabres – Last 10 Games

The Sabres have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.1 goals from 30.3 shots on goal, with a 14.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.1 goals from 29.4 shots, averaging 4.3 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.4%.

The top points scorer is Jack Quinn with 12 points, 7 goals and 5 assists, while Tage Thompson is next best after registering 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen have a 2.99 GAA with a .900 SV%.

Best Bet

The best pick for this NHL clash is to back Lightning at -125. We think that the home team are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction:

  • Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games.
  • Lightning have won 12 of their last 20 games.
  • Sabres have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.
  • Sabres have lost 3 of their last 5 games at home.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our NHL analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our hockey predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

According to the top betting sites, there’s a 55.6% chance of our pick landing a return. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Tampa Bay can be backed in different ways and you might find the odds more attractive when you check out the Match Winner & Total Goals, Puck Line or the Winning Margin lines.

Take full advantage of our betting promo codes. Browse our up-to-date guide featuring top bonuses and exclusive offers.

Lightning Moneyline @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 10, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 23:56, 10 November 2026

Same Game Parlay Pick

Moneyline Lightning
Totals Under 6.5
Highest Scoring Period Second Period

Our same game parlay pick is the Lightning on the moneyline, Under 6.5 goals and the second period to be highest scoring.

A same game parlay is a single event wager where you make predictions that are going to happen in a particular hockey game. Should a bettor get these selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Books

With the sportsbooks giving them a 56% probability of winning this game, Tampa Bay Lightning might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -125 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Buffalo Sabres are trading at +104.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at -115.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning logo Tampa Bay Lightning Stats
Buffalo Sabres logo Buffalo Sabres Stats
Moneyline
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games
Puck Line
Puck Line
Total Goals
Total Goals
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Live Streaming

Enjoy NHL live streaming on your mobile, laptop or tablet. It’s great to watch the latest games through your online sportsbook account, with customers able to access high definition streams.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Team News
# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
86 Nikita Kucherov 17 21.29 5 17 22 6
38 Brandon Hagel 17 20.84 9 9 18 -2
59 Jake Guentzel 17 20.93 10 8 18 10
# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
72 Tage Thompson 17 19.39 10 9 19 6
22 Jack Quinn 17 19.08 9 7 16 3
6 Zach Benson 17 20.24 2 13 15 11

Injuries & Suspensions

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.

Buffalo Sabres Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

08 Nov NHL
Lightning 3-4 Jets
07 Nov NHL
Lightning 4-3 Wild
05 Nov NHL
Blackhawks 1-4 Lightning
03 Nov NHL
Red Wings 2-4 Lightning
31 Oct NHL
Lightning 4-5 Predators
29 Oct NHL
Jets 4-6 Lightning
24 Oct NHL
Lightning 4-5 Mammoth
23 Oct NHL
Lightning 3-6 Avalanche
20 Oct NHL
Lightning 6-2 Golden Knights
17 Oct NHL
Canucks 2-4 Lightning

Previous Buffalo Sabres Lineups

08 Nov NHL
Golden Knights 4-1 Sabres
06 Nov NHL
Blue Jackets 2-5 Sabres
04 Nov NHL
Senators 2-1 Sabres
31 Oct NHL
Sabres 3-2 Kings
29 Oct NHL
Sabres 7-6 Ducks
27 Oct NHL
Sabres 2-0 Sharks
24 Oct NHL
Sabres 3-4 Capitals
21 Oct NHL
Flyers 3-1 Sabres
17 Oct NHL
Sabres 3-4 Canadiens
15 Oct NHL
Sabres 5-4 Maple Leafs
NHL Standings Select Season
Metropolitan GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 19 14 3 2 30 0.789 13 14 78 45 33 6-1-1 8-2-1 0-1 7-3 2W
2 New Jersey 19 13 6 0 26 0.684 8 12 68 55 13 8-2-0 5-4-0 1-0 8-2 1L
3 NY Rangers 19 10 8 1 21 0.553 10 10 56 55 1 8-2-0 2-6-1 0-0 4-6 1L
4 Washington 16 10 6 0 20 0.625 8 10 56 53 3 7-4-0 3-2-0 0-0 7-3 2W
5 NY Islanders 17 7 6 4 18 0.529 5 6 49 52 -3 4-3-2 3-3-2 1-2 4-6 4L
6 Philadelphia 20 5 10 5 15 0.375 5 5 45 66 -21 3-4-3 2-6-2 0-1 4-6 1W
7 Columbus 16 7 9 0 14 0.438 2 5 41 51 -10 6-4-0 1-5-0 2-0 4-6 2L
8 Pittsburgh 18 6 10 2 14 0.389 3 5 58 65 -7 4-3-1 2-7-1 1-1 3-7 1L
East Atlantic GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Boston 18 13 4 1 27 0.75 10 12 68 41 27 8-1-0 5-3-1 1-0 7-3 4W
2 Montreal 18 11 3 4 26 0.722 7 9 62 55 7 5-2-3 6-1-1 2-0 7-3 1L
3 Tampa Bay 17 11 4 2 24 0.706 9 11 63 53 10 8-0-0 3-4-2 0-1 6-4 1L
4 Ottawa 19 11 6 2 24 0.632 9 9 60 57 3 6-2-1 5-4-1 2-0 5-5 1L
5 Florida 19 10 7 2 22 0.579 8 10 60 56 4 4-2-0 6-5-2 0-0 5-5 1W
6 Buffalo 17 8 6 3 19 0.559 6 8 50 57 -7 4-5-0 4-1-3 0-1 5-5 1L
7 Toronto 20 8 10 2 18 0.45 7 8 67 70 -3 4-7-1 4-3-1 0-1 4-6 4L
8 Detroit 19 7 9 3 17 0.447 5 5 51 59 -8 4-5-1 3-4-2 2-2 4-6 4L
East Central GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Minnesota 20 13 3 4 30 0.75 12 13 65 44 21 5-0-2 8-3-2 0-0 7-3 1W
2 Colorado 19 11 6 2 24 0.632 11 11 78 59 19 7-1-2 4-5-0 0-1 6-4 2W
3 Nashville 18 9 4 5 23 0.639 7 8 55 51 4 6-3-2 3-1-3 1-3 6-4 5W
4 Dallas 17 10 5 2 22 0.647 7 9 49 41 8 6-4-0 4-1-2 1-2 7-3 1W
5 Utah 18 10 7 1 21 0.583 8 10 63 63 0 4-2-0 6-5-1 0-0 4-6 2L
6 Winnipeg 19 8 8 3 19 0.5 7 8 53 65 -12 5-4-1 3-4-2 0-0 4-6 4W
7 St Louis 18 8 8 2 18 0.5 8 8 53 55 -2 5-2-1 3-6-1 0-0 5-5 1W
8 Chicago 18 4 13 1 9 0.25 3 4 39 76 -37 4-5-0 0-8-1 0-0 1-9 6L
West Pacific GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Edmonton 19 13 3 3 29 0.763 11 12 78 56 22 6-3-2 7-0-1 1-2 6-4 2W
2 Vegas 19 12 5 2 26 0.684 10 11 64 51 13 6-3-0 6-2-2 1-1 5-5 3W
3 Anaheim 18 10 7 1 21 0.583 9 10 69 66 3 3-4-1 7-3-0 0-0 6-4 5W
4 Seattle 16 9 6 1 19 0.594 6 7 57 57 0 5-3-0 4-3-1 2-0 5-5 1L
5 Calgary 18 8 9 1 17 0.472 7 8 46 63 -17 6-4-0 2-5-1 0-0 6-4 1W
6 San Jose 20 8 11 1 17 0.425 2 6 51 71 -20 4-5-0 4-6-1 2-1 3-7 1W
7 LA Kings 16 5 9 2 12 0.375 3 5 45 55 -10 2-6-0 3-3-2 0-0 5-5 2L
8 Vancouver 20 3 16 1 7 0.175 1 3 56 90 -34 1-8-0 2-8-1 0-0 1-9 6L
Eastern GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 19 14 3 2 30 0.789 13 14 78 45 33 6-1-1 8-2-1 0-1 7-3 2W
2 Boston 18 13 4 1 27 0.75 10 12 68 41 27 8-1-0 5-3-1 1-0 7-3 4W
3 Montreal 18 11 3 4 26 0.722 7 9 62 55 7 5-2-3 6-1-1 2-0 7-3 1L
4 New Jersey 19 13 6 0 26 0.684 8 12 68 55 13 8-2-0 5-4-0 1-0 8-2 1L
5 Tampa Bay 17 11 4 2 24 0.706 9 11 63 53 10 8-0-0 3-4-2 0-1 6-4 1L
6 Ottawa 19 11 6 2 24 0.632 9 9 60 57 3 6-2-1 5-4-1 2-0 5-5 1L
7 Florida 19 10 7 2 22 0.579 8 10 60 56 4 4-2-0 6-5-2 0-0 5-5 1W
8 NY Rangers 19 10 8 1 21 0.553 10 10 56 55 1 8-2-0 2-6-1 0-0 4-6 1L
9 Washington 16 10 6 0 20 0.625 8 10 56 53 3 7-4-0 3-2-0 0-0 7-3 2W
10 Buffalo 17 8 6 3 19 0.559 6 8 50 57 -7 4-5-0 4-1-3 0-1 5-5 1L
11 NY Islanders 17 7 6 4 18 0.529 5 6 49 52 -3 4-3-2 3-3-2 1-2 4-6 4L
12 Toronto 20 8 10 2 18 0.45 7 8 67 70 -3 4-7-1 4-3-1 0-1 4-6 4L
13 Detroit 19 7 9 3 17 0.447 5 5 51 59 -8 4-5-1 3-4-2 2-2 4-6 4L
14 Philadelphia 20 5 10 5 15 0.375 5 5 45 66 -21 3-4-3 2-6-2 0-1 4-6 1W
15 Columbus 16 7 9 0 14 0.438 2 5 41 51 -10 6-4-0 1-5-0 2-0 4-6 2L
16 Pittsburgh 18 6 10 2 14 0.389 3 5 58 65 -7 4-3-1 2-7-1 1-1 3-7 1L
Western GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Minnesota 20 13 3 4 30 0.75 12 13 65 44 21 5-0-2 8-3-2 0-0 7-3 1W
2 Edmonton 19 13 3 3 29 0.763 11 12 78 56 22 6-3-2 7-0-1 1-2 6-4 2W
3 Vegas 19 12 5 2 26 0.684 10 11 64 51 13 6-3-0 6-2-2 1-1 5-5 3W
4 Colorado 19 11 6 2 24 0.632 11 11 78 59 19 7-1-2 4-5-0 0-1 6-4 2W
5 Nashville 18 9 4 5 23 0.639 7 8 55 51 4 6-3-2 3-1-3 1-3 6-4 5W
6 Dallas 17 10 5 2 22 0.647 7 9 49 41 8 6-4-0 4-1-2 1-2 7-3 1W
7 Anaheim 18 10 7 1 21 0.583 9 10 69 66 3 3-4-1 7-3-0 0-0 6-4 5W
8 Utah 18 10 7 1 21 0.583 8 10 63 63 0 4-2-0 6-5-1 0-0 4-6 2L
9 Seattle 16 9 6 1 19 0.594 6 7 57 57 0 5-3-0 4-3-1 2-0 5-5 1L
10 Winnipeg 19 8 8 3 19 0.5 7 8 53 65 -12 5-4-1 3-4-2 0-0 4-6 4W
11 St Louis 18 8 8 2 18 0.5 8 8 53 55 -2 5-2-1 3-6-1 0-0 5-5 1W
12 Calgary 18 8 9 1 17 0.472 7 8 46 63 -17 6-4-0 2-5-1 0-0 6-4 1W
13 San Jose 20 8 11 1 17 0.425 2 6 51 71 -20 4-5-0 4-6-1 2-1 3-7 1W
14 LA Kings 16 5 9 2 12 0.375 3 5 45 55 -10 2-6-0 3-3-2 0-0 5-5 2L
15 Chicago 18 4 13 1 9 0.25 3 4 39 76 -37 4-5-0 0-8-1 0-0 1-9 6L
16 Vancouver 20 3 16 1 7 0.175 1 3 56 90 -34 1-8-0 2-8-1 0-0 1-9 6L
GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 19 14 3 2 30 0.789 13 14 78 45 33 6-1-1 8-2-1 0-1 7-3 2W
2 Minnesota 20 13 3 4 30 0.75 12 13 65 44 21 5-0-2 8-3-2 0-0 7-3 1W
3 Edmonton 19 13 3 3 29 0.763 11 12 78 56 22 6-3-2 7-0-1 1-2 6-4 2W
4 Boston 18 13 4 1 27 0.75 10 12 68 41 27 8-1-0 5-3-1 1-0 7-3 4W
5 Montreal 18 11 3 4 26 0.722 7 9 62 55 7 5-2-3 6-1-1 2-0 7-3 1L
6 Vegas 19 12 5 2 26 0.684 10 11 64 51 13 6-3-0 6-2-2 1-1 5-5 3W
7 New Jersey 19 13 6 0 26 0.684 8 12 68 55 13 8-2-0 5-4-0 1-0 8-2 1L
8 Tampa Bay 17 11 4 2 24 0.706 9 11 63 53 10 8-0-0 3-4-2 0-1 6-4 1L
9 Colorado 19 11 6 2 24 0.632 11 11 78 59 19 7-1-2 4-5-0 0-1 6-4 2W
10 Ottawa 19 11 6 2 24 0.632 9 9 60 57 3 6-2-1 5-4-1 2-0 5-5 1L
11 Nashville 18 9 4 5 23 0.639 7 8 55 51 4 6-3-2 3-1-3 1-3 6-4 5W
12 Dallas 17 10 5 2 22 0.647 7 9 49 41 8 6-4-0 4-1-2 1-2 7-3 1W
13 Florida 19 10 7 2 22 0.579 8 10 60 56 4 4-2-0 6-5-2 0-0 5-5 1W
14 Anaheim 18 10 7 1 21 0.583 9 10 69 66 3 3-4-1 7-3-0 0-0 6-4 5W
15 Utah 18 10 7 1 21 0.583 8 10 63 63 0 4-2-0 6-5-1 0-0 4-6 2L
16 NY Rangers 19 10 8 1 21 0.553 10 10 56 55 1 8-2-0 2-6-1 0-0 4-6 1L
17 Washington 16 10 6 0 20 0.625 8 10 56 53 3 7-4-0 3-2-0 0-0 7-3 2W
18 Seattle 16 9 6 1 19 0.594 6 7 57 57 0 5-3-0 4-3-1 2-0 5-5 1L
19 Buffalo 17 8 6 3 19 0.559 6 8 50 57 -7 4-5-0 4-1-3 0-1 5-5 1L
20 Winnipeg 19 8 8 3 19 0.5 7 8 53 65 -12 5-4-1 3-4-2 0-0 4-6 4W
21 NY Islanders 17 7 6 4 18 0.529 5 6 49 52 -3 4-3-2 3-3-2 1-2 4-6 4L
22 St Louis 18 8 8 2 18 0.5 8 8 53 55 -2 5-2-1 3-6-1 0-0 5-5 1W
23 Toronto 20 8 10 2 18 0.45 7 8 67 70 -3 4-7-1 4-3-1 0-1 4-6 4L
24 Calgary 18 8 9 1 17 0.472 7 8 46 63 -17 6-4-0 2-5-1 0-0 6-4 1W
25 Detroit 19 7 9 3 17 0.447 5 5 51 59 -8 4-5-1 3-4-2 2-2 4-6 4L
26 San Jose 20 8 11 1 17 0.425 2 6 51 71 -20 4-5-0 4-6-1 2-1 3-7 1W
27 Philadelphia 20 5 10 5 15 0.375 5 5 45 66 -21 3-4-3 2-6-2 0-1 4-6 1W
28 Columbus 16 7 9 0 14 0.438 2 5 41 51 -10 6-4-0 1-5-0 2-0 4-6 2L
29 Pittsburgh 18 6 10 2 14 0.389 3 5 58 65 -7 4-3-1 2-7-1 1-1 3-7 1L
30 LA Kings 16 5 9 2 12 0.375 3 5 45 55 -10 2-6-0 3-3-2 0-0 5-5 2L
31 Chicago 18 4 13 1 9 0.25 3 4 39 76 -37 4-5-0 0-8-1 0-0 1-9 6L
32 Vancouver 20 3 16 1 7 0.175 1 3 56 90 -34 1-8-0 2-8-1 0-0 1-9 6L

Where to Bet on Ice Hockey Games

Where to Trade Ice Hockey Games

Availability varies by jurisdiction. Some platforms featured may not be accessible in your location. Please check the relevant review page for details.