Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Oct 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Rangers

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, October 1.

We should take advantage of the +104 when it comes to the Lightning and the Rangers going Under 5.5. These odds look to be on the generous side.

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten 2-1 at Benchmark International Arena in their previous game, being turned over at home to Montreal Canadiens. Dominic James was the solitary scorer after Lightning registered 29 shots.

New York Rangers were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 3-0 reverse against Boston Bruins at TD Garden. Rangers won the shots on goal battle, 24-23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the Rangers and the Lightning saw the former win. It was a 4-2 scoreline at Benchmark International Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Rangers have won six.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
25/26	42-19-4	2.3	.910	3

Igor Shesterkin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
26/27	0-1-0	2	.909	0
25/26	25-19-6	2.5	.912	1

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.3 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.4 goals from 22.8 shots, averaging 5.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.5%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, with Brandon Hagel racking up 9 points, 7 goals and 2 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.14 goal against average with a .903 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Rangers have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 23.6 shots on goal, with a 18.0% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.2 goals from 24.5 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.9%.

The top points scorer is Adam Fox with 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, while Mika Zibanejad is next in line after registering 9 points, 2 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Igor Shesterkin have a 1.88 GAA with a .920 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers picks, including a main match prediction, correct score forecast and a bet builder ready to use. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

The two teams may struggle to power score, so we’ll go under the total goals line in this NHL encounter. Our pick is available at +104 which looks a great price.

We only publish our hockey predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable NHL stats to support every pick we make.

Key Lightning vs Rangers stats:

• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Lightning games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Rangers games.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Rangers games.

Under 5.5 Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 49% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

There’s a way of getting more juice from betting Under when it comes to Total Goals. Combining this selection in a Bet Builder means you can choose other options until you’re happy with the odds.

Stop! Before you bet, grab a top welcome bonus. Check out our guide for the latest betting offers available now.

Our Game Prediction

Under 5.5 Goals @ +104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Sep 30, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 2 - 3 Rangers

You can secure odds of +900 that the Rangers are able to land a 3-2 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Rangers

1-0

Lightning

+4500

Rangers

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+3400

Rangers

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1200

Rangers

+1300

3-0

Lightning

+2200

Rangers

+3500

3-1

Lightning

+1400

Rangers

+1700

3-2

Lightning

+850

Rangers

+900

4-0

Lightning

+3400

Rangers

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1400

Rangers

+1800

4-2

Lightning

+1400

Rangers

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Rangers

+1050

5-1

Lightning

+2200

Rangers

+3300

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Rangers

+2000

5-3

Lightning

+1900

Rangers

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+1600

Rangers

+1700

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Rangers

+6600

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Rangers

+4500

6-3

Lightning

+2800

Rangers

+3400

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Rangers

+6000

6-5

Lightning

+4000

Rangers

+4500

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning are -143 favorites and that means a 59% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. The market suggests that New York Rangers are least likely to win at +118.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -128.

There’s no shortage of betting options, with a wide range of game lines and team props offered for every matchup. Explore the top NHL sportsbooks to find the picks that deliver the best value.

Moneyline

Lightning

-143

Rangers

+118

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+115

Tie

+310

Rangers

+190

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+172

Rangers +1.5

-222

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+104

Over 5.5

-128

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

New York Rangers Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.30 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10.9
• Blocks: 16.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24
• Hits: 28.5
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 15.5
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 25.7
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 16.8
• Takeaways: 5.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 23.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 28.9
• Hits: 26.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 23.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 11.5
• Blocks: 12.7
• Faceoff Wins : 31.2
• Hits: 27.2
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 4.8

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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