Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Golden Knights

The Washington Capitals meet the Vegas Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 21:30 on Saturday, March 28.

There could be a shortage of goals between the Capitals and the Golden Knights, leading us to a prediction of Under 6.5 goals. There are appealing odds of -133 for this outcome.

Washington Capitals won their previous game by a 7-4 scoreline. It was on the road against Utah Mammoth at Delta Center. Alexander Ovechkin scored a hat trick and was +3 overall.

Vegas Golden Knights have lost their last three home games, most recently suffering a 4-3 (OT) defeat to Edmonton Oilers at T-Mobile Arena. Mark Stone recorded two goals and Ivan Barbashev scored the other.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between the Caps and the Knights saw the former win. It was a 3-2 scoreline at Capital One Arena. The Caps have beaten the Knights on three consecutive occasions. Going back over 10 meetings, they have lost 6 of the past 10 head-to-head clashes.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	31-21-6	2.5	.912	4
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Adin Hill (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-9-6	3.1	.871	1
23/24	19-12-2	2.71	.909	2

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 24.6 shots on goal, with a 11.1% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 2.5 goals from 29.9 shots, averaging 4.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.7%.

Alexander Ovechkin is the top points scorer with 6 points, 5 goals and 1 assist, with Ryan Leonard recording 5 points, 4 goals and 1 assist, in the past 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.33 goal against average with a .921 save percentage.

The Knights have 3 wins, 6 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.1 goals from 28.8 shots on goal, with a 10.4% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.8 goals from 21.0 shots, averaging 4.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.9%.

The top points scorer is Pavel Dorofeyev with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, while Ivan Barbashev is next best after having 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Adin Hill have a 2.48 GAA with a .884 SV%, including one shutout.

Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction & Picks

We bring you the complete Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights betting insight, including our top match prediction, correct score forecast, player prop advice and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

The teams could struggle to light the lamp in this NHL encounter and the -133 has plenty of appeal for Unders to happen. The success of this bet depends on six or less goals to be scored.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together hockey forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our NHL predictions.

Key Capitals vs Golden Knights stats:

• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Capitals games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Capitals games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Golden Knights games.
• The 6.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Golden Knights games.

Under 6.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 57.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

For a larger payout, many bettors will include their Under pick on the Totals with other selections. A Bet Builder is perfect for combining all your predictions.

Before placing a wager, see what betting offers are on the table. Our in-depth guide lists the top welcome bonuses right now.

Our Game Prediction

Under 6.5 Goals @ -133 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 28, 02:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ivan Barbashev Over 1.5 Shots -125

Ivan Barbashev (Golden Knights) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -125 currently available.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Capitals 4 - 1 Golden Knights

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +2200 and it involves the Capitals winning 4-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Capitals

Golden Knights

1-0

Capitals

+5500

Knights

+5000

2-0

Capitals

+5500

Knights

+4500

2-1

Capitals

+1600

Knights

+1300

3-0

Capitals

+4000

Knights

+2800

3-1

Capitals

+2200

Knights

+1700

3-2

Capitals

+950

Knights

+800

4-0

Capitals

+6000

Knights

+3400

4-1

Capitals

+2200

Knights

+1300

4-2

Capitals

+1900

Knights

+1400

4-3

Capitals

+1100

Knights

+950

5-0

Capitals

+11000

Knights

+5500

5-1

Capitals

+4000

Knights

+2000

5-2

Capitals

+2200

Knights

+1400

5-3

Capitals

+2800

Knights

+2000

5-4

Capitals

+2200

Knights

+1800

6-0

Capitals

+15000

Knights

+8000

6-1

Capitals

+9000

Knights

+4500

6-2

Capitals

+4500

Knights

+2500

6-3

Capitals

+4000

Knights

+2500

6-4

Capitals

+5500

Knights

+4000

6-5

Capitals

+5000

Knights

+4500

7-0

Capitals

+5000

Knights

+12500

7-1

Capitals

+14000

Knights

+7500

7-2

Capitals

+12000

Knights

+6000

7-3

Capitals

+7500

Knights

+4500

7-4

Capitals

+8000

Knights

+5500

7-5

Capitals

+11000

Knights

+10000

7-6

Capitals

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-1

Capitals

+12000

Knights

+12500

8-2

Capitals

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-3

Capitals

+12000

Knights

+11000

8-4

Capitals

+14000

Knights

+10000

8-5

Capitals

+14000

Knights

+12500

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Washington Capitals vs Vegas Golden Knights Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Vegas Golden Knights at -154 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 61% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At +128, Washington Capitals are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at +110.

Every National Hockey League matchup brings hundreds of team props and game lines to explore, with the top betting apps delivering a deep lineup of pre-game and in-game markets.

Moneyline

Capitals

+128

Knights

-154

3-Way Moneyline

Capitals

+225

Tie

+310

Knights

-100

Puck Line

Capitals +1.5

-196

Knights -1.5

+158

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Goaltender Saves, Powerplay Points, Assists and Goals. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

Vegas Golden Knights Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.50 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 12
• Faceoff Wins : 25.2
• Hits: 19.6
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 24.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 13.3
• Blocks: 14.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.8
• Hits: 19.4
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.9
• Blocks: 14.1
• Faceoff Wins : 29.4
• Hits: 21.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.5
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 31.7
• Hits: 20.6
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 4.3

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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